Stock daily read

What happened with AGI today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

AGI in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Alamos Gold extracts gold-bearing ore and processes it to recover gold for sale to buyers worldwide. Third-party refineries in Canada and Switzerland refine its production to market-delivery standards. Buyers pay in U.S. dollars, generally when the metal changes hands or within a few days, and the company does not depend on a single gold customer.

All commercial production comes from the Island Gold District and Young-Davidson in Ontario, Canada, and the Mulatos District in Sonora, Mexico. Island Gold District, which includes Island Gold and Magino, is the largest revenue contributor. The Canadian operations together supply most revenue. Lynn Lake in Manitoba and Puerto Del Aire at Mulatos are development projects, not current production sources.

Earnings depend on gold prices and how much gold the mines can recover from their ore. Most expenses are in Canadian dollars and Mexican pesos, so exchange rates also affect profitability. Sustaining production over time requires replacing the reserves depleted by mining. Operations and expansions require permits; higher production at Island Gold District may need further approvals, while Mexico’s tighter mining rules create uncertainty around new concessions and future open-pit permits.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in AGI’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

AGI says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Agnico Eagle and Alamos both earn money selling mined gold, with gold prices and mining costs in Canada and Mexico affecting both companies’ margins. Agnico Eagle’s costs per ounce offer a comparison for Alamos, while its spot-price gold sales show its exposure to current gold prices.

  • IAMGold Corporation and Alamos are mid-sized gold producers whose Canadian mines expose their gold-sales margins to the same gold prices and Canadian mining costs. IAMGold’s Côté Gold and Westwood operations are the relevant comparison for Alamos’s Canadian mines.

  • Equinox Gold Corp. and Alamos both produce gold in Canada and are expanding output, so gold prices, Canadian mining costs and construction progress matter to both. Equinox sells refined gold to bullion banks, traders and refiners; its Valentine Phase 2 studies and engineering are worth watching alongside Alamos’s growth projects.

  • Kinross Gold and Alamos both earn mainly from mined gold sold into the world bullion market, so gold prices directly affect their margins. Kinross ships its gold for refining and sells the refined metal to banks and refiners; its gold-sales results provide a comparison for Alamos’s exposure to gold prices.

  • B2Gold Corp. and Alamos both sell mined gold at market-linked prices and operate Canadian mines within wider mining portfolios. B2Gold sells to bullion dealers and refiners; its Goose mine in Nunavut is the Canadian operation to compare with Alamos’s Ontario mines.

  • Barrick Mining and Alamos both earn from producing gold, so gold prices and mining costs affect both companies’ margins. Watch Barrick’s gold-mine results rather than its overall earnings for this comparison, because copper is also a principal source of its earnings.

  • AngloGold Ashanti and Alamos both mine gold and sell refined production, so higher gold prices lift their revenue per ounce. AngloGold sends its mined gold for refining and sells directly to bullion banks, making those gold sales the relevant comparison for Alamos.

  • Gold Fields and Alamos both generate cash by producing and selling gold, with higher realized prices supporting profitability. Gold Fields’ average price received rose 45% to US$3,496 per ounce in 2025, helping profitability and cash generation—a useful comparison for the price benefit in Alamos’s results.

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  • Pan American Silver and Alamos both operate gold-producing mines in Canada and Mexico, sharing exposure to gold prices and regional mining costs. Pan American earns from both gold and silver, so its gold business is the closer comparison for Alamos than its overall results.

  • Coeur Mining and Alamos both produce gold in Sonora, Mexico, giving them shared regional mining exposure, although Coeur also produces substantial silver. Coeur’s Las Chispas silver-gold mine is the local operation to watch; it sells refined gold and silver to banks, bullion traders and refiners worldwide.

  • OR Royalties receives payments from production on parts of Alamos’s Island Gold District, so Alamos’s output and gold prices directly affect those receipts. Its royalty receipts from the covered Island Gold properties and small portions of Magino are the lines to watch, rather than treating them as exposure to the entire district.

  • Franco-Nevada collects a share of proceeds from Alamos’s Magino mine and part of Island Gold through royalties, linking those receipts to production and gold prices rather than mine operating margins. Watch its Magino and Goudreau Lake royalty receipts for that connection to Alamos’s Island Gold District.

  • Aris Mining Corporation and Alamos both sell partially refined gold bars, or doré, while funding mine expansions, making gold prices and expansion execution important to both. Aris sells mainly to refiners; watch Segovia’s output ramp-up after its processing-plant expansion and construction at Marmato’s Bulk Mining Zone.

  • Centerra Gold Inc. and Alamos both operate gold mines with Canadian mining exposure, but Centerra also has substantial copper and molybdenum businesses. Its Mount Milligan gold-copper mine in British Columbia is the Canadian comparison; its business upgrading molybdenum for metallurgical and chemical buyers is a separate earnings source.

  • Harmony Gold and Alamos generate operating cash mainly from gold sales, so realized gold prices materially affect both. Harmony attributed its fiscal 2025 gold-revenue increase mainly to a 31.1% rise in its average received US-dollar gold price, a useful comparison for the gold-price contribution to Alamos’s cash generation.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. 10:30 AMET

    EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Oct/16)

    For Alamos Gold, US crude oil and gasoline inventories signal fuel-market tightness that can move the prices it pays for carbon-based fuels to run its mines.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Alamos Gold Inc. earningsThis company

    Alamos Gold’s report will show how much gold its three operating districts sold and whether the price per ounce covered mining costs well enough to leave cash for expansion.

  2. Time to be announced

    Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd. earningsAEM

    Agnico Eagle’s per-ounce costs and spot-price gold sales give readers a comparison for how gold-miner margins are holding up in the same gold-price environment as Alamos.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    Coeur Mining, Inc. earningsCDE

    Coeur Mining’s Las Chispas gold-silver mine is also in Sonora, so its report offers a local comparison for the operating conditions around Alamos’s Mulatos District.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    IAMGold Corporation earningsIAG

    IAMGOLD’s Canadian mine results give readers a comparison for whether mining costs and operating pressures in Canada are also affecting Alamos Gold’s Ontario mines.

in 22 daysWed, Nov 11

  1. Time to be announced

    Franco-Nevada Corporation earningsFNV

    Franco-Nevada collects royalties from parts of Alamos Gold’s properties, so its related receipts show how production and gold prices flow through to the royalty holder.