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What happened with ICFI today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

ICFI in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

ICF International combines consulting with hands-on implementation: it advises clients on policies and programs, analyzes data, and builds or operates the technology and services needed to carry them out. Energy, environment, infrastructure and disaster recovery work supplies most of its revenue; health and social programs are its next-largest market.

Government clients provide most of the revenue, while commercial businesses supply a substantial part. The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services is its largest client and accounts for a substantial share of its business. ICF usually contracts directly with the end customer. It earns mainly negotiated fixed prices for agreed work or hourly fees for employees’ time, rather than income from selling or licensing technology.

The business depends on government funding and winning or renewing contracts. Clients can stop or reduce some work on short notice, and fixed-price work requires ICF to control delivery costs. Its government advisory roles can also restrict which other clients it may serve: work on regulations or enforcement can create conflicts of interest that prevent it from accepting otherwise suitable assignments.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in ICFI’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

ICFI says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

ICF International, Inc.’s results depend on government program funding, especially from HHS, and demand for energy and environmental services, while privately held Abt Global and CLEAResult also shape competition beyond this list.

  • Tetra Tech competes with ICF for government and commercial spending on environmental, energy and infrastructure consulting and program implementation. Watch its government and commercial environmental work for a read on demand in ICF’s largest client market.

  • DLH Holdings Corp. and ICF compete for federal health and technology-services contracts, making HHS funding important to both. HHS supplied 49.8% of DLH’s revenue in the fiscal year ended September 30, 2025, versus 22% of ICF’s fiscal 2025 revenue, so watch DLH’s revenue from that agency.

  • MAXIMUS, Inc. and ICF both earn fees helping governments run health and human-services programs and reach the people they serve, tying both to program funding. Watch Maximus’s federal program operations, including Medicare contact-center support, for a view of spending on this work.

  • Booz Allen Hamilton competes with ICF for federal agencies’ consulting, analytics and digital-services spending. Its work modernizing agencies’ technology is the overlap to watch, rather than its broader defense and commercial offerings.

  • Leidos competes with ICF for federal professional and technology-services contracts, particularly in health and civilian programs. Its Health & Civil business is the closer comparison for ICF than its defense businesses.

  • AECOM competes with ICF for public and private clients’ infrastructure advisory, planning and program-management fees. Watch whether its initial planning assignments expand into larger programs: that is the infrastructure spending both companies pursue.

  • Jacobs Solutions overlaps with ICF in infrastructure and environmental advisory and program management for clients, and also holds a majority stake in ICF rival PA Consulting. Its Infrastructure & Advanced Facilities work in environmental resilience and energy security is the demand to watch alongside ICF.

  • Stantec and ICF both sell environmental consulting and project and program services to government and commercial clients, exposing them to overlapping spending. Stantec’s Environmental Services business is the clearest place to watch that shared demand.

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  • Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) competes with ICF for government contracts to modernize IT and support civilian programs. Watch its Civilian segment, which serves federal, state and local agencies in areas including health, travel and trade.

  • Accenture competes with ICF for clients’ consulting and digital-implementation budgets, including federal agency work through Accenture Federal Services. That federal business is the relevant comparison for ICF, rather than Accenture’s worldwide consulting and outsourced operations as a whole.

  • CACI competes with ICF to supply government agencies with analytics, technology and staff who support programs. Watch its government software, data-platform and analytics work for competition in the services ICF also sells.

  • CGI Inc. competes with ICF to advise public-sector clients and implement their technology systems, including for U.S. federal agencies. Its Momentum platform’s use across all three branches of the U.S. federal government makes federal modernization work the overlap to watch.

  • Onterris, Inc. competes with ICF for public and private clients’ environmental advisory and assessment work. Watch its Assessment, Permitting and Response revenue for demand from clients assessing projects and securing permits; Onterris says regulation and public-health concerns typically make its services’ funding non-discretionary.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    CACI INTERNATIONAL CLA earningsCACI

    CACI’s report will show whether agencies are still spending on software, data platforms and analytics—the government work where it competes with ICF.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    The Fed’s interest-rate decision sets the benchmark for borrowing costs, which can affect what ICF pays on its $401.4 million of debt and leave more or less cash for its operations.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    Leidos Holdings, Inc. earningsLDOS

    Leidos’s report will show how its Health & Civil business is faring in federal work that overlaps with ICF’s health and civilian programs.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    ICF International, Inc. earningsThis company

    ICF’s report will show whether commercial work can offset weaker federal-client revenue while ICF holds its operating margin.

in 22 daysWed, Nov 11

  1. Time to be announced

    Tetra Tech Inc earningsTTEK

    Tetra Tech’s report will show how government and commercial clients are spending on environmental, energy and infrastructure work, ICF’s largest client market.

in 50 daysWed, Dec 9

  1. Time to be announced

    DLH Holdings Corp. earningsDLHC

    DLH Holdings’ report will show how its revenue from the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services is changing, a funding source important to ICF and a point of competition.