Stock daily read

What happened with GABC today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

GABC in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

German American Bancorp serves households and businesses in Indiana, Kentucky and Ohio through German American Bank. In Columbus and Greater Cincinnati, the bank operates under the Heartland Bank name. It gathers customer deposits and uses that money to make loans for homes, consumer spending, businesses, agriculture and property. Borrowers pay interest, and the bank also earns interest on investments. After interest paid on deposits and borrowings, the remainder—net interest income—is its main source of earnings.

Customers also pay for deposit services and wealth management, including help managing investments, trusts and retirement plans. The company provides brokerage services through German American Investment Services and sells residential mortgage loans to other buyers.

The business depends on retaining customer deposits and on the gap between interest earned and funding costs. Most of its loans are commercial real estate loans, and its customer base is concentrated in its local markets, making those economies important to borrowers’ ability to repay. Banking rules require minimum capital, while statutory restrictions limit dividends from the bank to the parent company, which relies mainly on those payments for its own revenue.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in GABC’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

GABC says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • First Merchants Corp competes with German American for business borrowers, consumer deposits and wealth-management clients in Indiana and Ohio. Its commercial lending and private-wealth business are worth watching for competition over German American’s loan income and advisory fees.

  • Republic Bancorp Inc/KY competes with German American for borrowers and depositors in Kentucky, southern Indiana and Greater Cincinnati. Watch the rates and fees Republic offers those customers: they show the terms German American faces when attracting deposits and making loans.

  • First Financial Corporation competes with German American for loan, deposit and trust customers in Indiana and western Kentucky. Its business, home and consumer lending and trust-account services overlap with the customers who generate German American’s loan income and trust fees.

  • Community Trust Bancorp Inc competes with German American for banking and wealth-management customers in central Kentucky. Its lending to businesses and individuals, along with services managing trusts and investments, puts both German American’s loan income and wealth-management fees in play.

  • Peoples Bancorp Inc/OH competes with German American for business and consumer banking customers in overlapping Ohio and Kentucky markets, giving those customers another provider for their banking needs.

  • Northwest Bancshares, Inc competes with German American for Indiana customers who deposit money, borrow to buy homes or finance businesses. Watch Northwest’s deposit interest costs and income from home and business loans for a comparison with German American’s deposit-funded lending.

  • Mercantile Bank Corp offers a comparison for German American’s Midwestern business credit and lending margins: both take deposits to fund commercial and real estate loans. Watch the interest Mercantile earns on floating-rate business loans against its deposit costs to gauge the gap that supports lending earnings.

  • Independent Bank Corp. and German American both run community banks driven by lending, so Midwestern borrowing demand and the cost of attracting deposits matter to both companies’ earnings.

Agenda

todayTue, Oct 20

  1. Time to be announced

    Mercantile Bank Corp earningsMBWM

    Mercantile Bank Corp’s report will show how floating-rate business-loan income compares with deposit costs, a lending-margin comparison for German American.

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    Community Trust Bancorp Inc earningsCTBI

    Community Trust Bancorp’s report will show how demand and competition for trust and investment services in central Kentucky bear on German American’s wealth-management fees.

in 6 daysMon, Oct 26

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    German American Bancorp, Inc. earningsThis company

    German American Bancorp relies chiefly on the difference between what it earns on loans and investments and what it pays depositors, and this report will show whether that spread is holding up.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For German American Bank, the Fed’s rate decision signals how borrowing costs may change, affecting what it earns on repricing loans and securities and what it pays for deposits and borrowings.