Stock daily read

What happened with FRME today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

FRME in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

First Merchants Corp serves businesses and individuals through its wholly owned First Merchants Bank in Indiana, Ohio and Michigan. The bank takes customer deposits and uses deposits and other funding to make loans and hold investments. Borrowers pay interest, and investments also generate interest income; the bank keeps what remains after paying interest to depositors and other lenders. It also provides mortgage and personal wealth-management services through branches and digital channels.

Business lending accounts for most of its loan portfolio, with substantial exposure to residential and commercial property landlords. The business depends on borrowers in its regional markets being able to repay, retaining deposits, and the gap between lending and investment yields and funding costs.

The parent company receives substantially all its cash from subsidiary dividends. Banking regulations limit how much the bank can pass up to the parent, while regulatory capital requirements constrain operations and distributions.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in FRME’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

FRME says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • First Financial Bancorp competes with First Merchants for business borrowers, household deposits and wealth-management clients in Indiana and Ohio. Watch its commercial lending and deposit growth in those markets for signs of pressure on First Merchants’ customer base.

  • German American Bancorp competes with First Merchants for deposits, business borrowers and household banking customers in Indiana and Ohio, using public deposits to fund local loans. Its Heartland Bank business in Columbus and Greater Cincinnati is worth watching for competition over those Ohio customers.

  • Northwest Bancshares competes with First Merchants for personal and business deposits and loans in Indiana and Ohio. Its bank uses those deposits to help fund home, consumer and business loans, so watch the interest it pays depositors as a sign of competition for funding.

  • Independent Bank Corp. competes with First Merchants for business and household banking customers in Michigan.

  • First Commonwealth Financial Corporation and First Merchants serve overlapping Ohio markets, competing to provide banking services to businesses and consumers.

  • S&T Bancorp competes with First Merchants for Ohio business and household customers through deposits, loans and wealth services. Its focus on individuals and small and medium-sized businesses makes growth in those customer groups more relevant than wins with large corporations.

  • First Busey Corporation and First Merchants share exposure to Midwestern business lending: both earn from the gap between loan interest and funding costs, while property-related loan performance also matters to earnings.

  • Regions Financial competes with First Merchants for business loans, deposits and retail banking customers in Indiana, but its much broader southern banking footprint makes it a less local comparison.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    First Merchants Corp earningsThis company

    First Merchants' report will show whether loan income can outpace deposit costs and leave more interest income from its banking business.

in 2 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced

    S&T Bancorp Inc earningsSTBA

    S&T Bancorp's report will show whether households and small businesses are still borrowing from and placing deposits with rival banks in Ohio, where First Merchants competes for those customers.

in 6 daysMon, Oct 26

  1. Time to be announced

    Northwest Bancshares, Inc earningsNWBI

    Northwest Bancshares' report will show whether banks are paying more to retain personal and business deposits, a signal of the funding-cost pressure facing First Merchants.

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    First Busey Corporation earningsBUSE

    First Busey's report will show whether property-linked business loans are seeing more repayment trouble across a Midwestern bank, a relevant credit-risk signal for First Merchants.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For First Merchants, the Fed’s rate decision matters because it can change what the Bank earns on loans and other assets versus what it pays depositors and other funders, affecting net interest income.