Stock daily read

What happened with FFBC today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

FFBC in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

First Financial Bancorp is a bank holding company serving businesses and individuals through First Financial Bank, primarily in Ohio, Indiana, Kentucky and Illinois. The bank takes customer deposits and lends to finance business operations, property and consumer purchases. Borrowers pay interest, and securities provide additional interest income. Most of its income comes from what remains after paying interest on deposits and borrowings.

Its specialized lending businesses reach beyond the branch network: Summit Funding Group finances business equipment, while Agile Premium Finance lends businesses money to pay insurance premiums. Clients also pay for wealth management through Yellow Cardinal Advisory Group and for banking services. Bannockburn provides currency payments and foreign-exchange and commodity hedging; that business depends heavily on a small number of large clients and their transaction activity.

The core banking business depends on retaining deposits at a cost that leaves room to earn on loans, borrowers repaying, and economic conditions in its main local markets. The parent company receives substantially all its own revenue through subsidiary dividends. Banking laws restrict those transfers, and bank dividends above regulatory limits require approval.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in FFBC’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

FFBC says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • First Merchants Corp competes with First Financial for business and retail customers in Indiana and Ohio, lending to them and managing private wealth. Its commercial lending and private-wealth results are worth watching for competition in those shared markets.

  • Northwest Bancshares, Inc competes with First Financial for household deposits and banking relationships, as well as commercial loans, in Indiana and northeastern Ohio. Watch its personal and business deposits in those markets, where First Financial also draws funding and expanded through Westfield.

  • First Commonwealth Financial Corporation competes directly with First Financial for Ohio customers who borrow for businesses or personal needs, place deposits and use wealth-management services.

  • First Busey Corporation competes with First Financial for Illinois businesses seeking banking services and commercial property loans, and for wealth-management clients.

  • CF Bankshares Inc., through CFBank, competes with First Financial for business banking customers in Cincinnati, other Ohio cities and Indianapolis. Its loan interest and fees show how its lending business is performing; direct access to decision-makers is part of its pitch to customers.

  • First Horizon Corporation competes with First Financial to lend to franchise operators and other specialty business borrowers across regions, beyond either bank’s branch network. Its franchise-finance business is the clearest comparison with First Financial’s loans to restaurant franchisees through First Franchise Capital.

  • United Community Banks, Inc. competes with First Financial to finance business equipment nationwide; both also use deposits to fund commercial lending and offer wealth management. Watch its equipment-finance business alongside First Financial’s Summit Funding Group, rather than just comparing their branch markets.

  • Enterprise Financial Services Corporation offers a business-model comparison for First Financial despite different branch markets: both build business-client relationships through commercial and specialty loans, wealth management and services that help clients hedge financial risks. Watch Enterprise’s business borrowing, commercial property loan losses and core-deposit costs for the pressures shared by this model.

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  • Fulton Financial Corp is a comparison for First Financial’s mix of deposit-funded business lending, equipment financing and wealth management for business and retail clients. Its small- and medium-sized business lending, commercial property credit quality and changes in loan rates versus deposit costs are the useful points to watch.

Agenda

todayTue, Oct 20

  1. Time to be announced

    United Community Banks, Inc. earningsUCB

    United Community Banks' equipment-finance business will show how companies are borrowing for equipment and repaying, a market shared with First Financial's Summit Funding Group.

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    Enterprise Financial Services Corporation earningsEFSC

    Enterprise Financial Services Corporation's deposit costs, net interest margin and commercial-property loan losses will show pressures on a business-banking model First Financial also runs.

  2. Time to be announced

    First Merchants Corp earningsFRME

    First Merchants' commercial lending and wealth business in Indiana and Ohio will show how it competes with First Financial for customers in shared markets.

in 6 daysMon, Oct 26

  1. Time to be announced

    Northwest Bancshares, Inc earningsNWBI

    Northwest Bancshares' deposits in Indiana and northeastern Ohio will show how readily regional banks can attract funding in markets where First Financial expanded.

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    First Financial Bancorp earningsThis company

    First Financial earns most of its revenue from interest on loans and securities, so this report will show whether deposit and borrowing costs are squeezing that income.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For First Financial, the Fed’s policy rate—the rate guiding borrowing costs across the economy—can change what the bank pays depositors and lenders versus what it earns on loans and securities, its main source of income.

in 17 daysFri, Nov 6

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Non Farm Payrolls (Oct)

    For First Financial, the monthly jobs report counts jobs added or lost and signals employment and income conditions in its markets, which can affect whether consumer borrowers repay loans and the credit-loss costs the bank must recognize.