Stock daily read

What happened with FCF today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

FCF in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

First Commonwealth Financial Corporation serves individuals and businesses through First Commonwealth Bank in Pennsylvania and Ohio. Most commercial customers are small and midsized businesses in those states. Customer deposits provide the bank’s main funding for loans and investments. Borrowers and investments generate interest income; after interest paid on deposits and borrowings, the remainder—net interest income—provides most revenue. The bank also earns fees for account services and managing customer assets, while First Commonwealth Insurance Agency earns commissions for placing insurance policies.

The business depends on retaining deposits at a cost that leaves room to earn a spread on loans and investments, and on borrowers repaying their loans. Commercial real estate is a substantial part of lending, so successful property and business operations matter to repayments.

The parent company receives substantially all of its own revenue as dividends from subsidiaries. Federal and state laws limit those payments, including dividends from First Commonwealth Bank, which can constrain the parent’s ability to pay its debts and shareholder dividends.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in FCF’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

FCF says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • S&T Bancorp Inc competes directly with First Commonwealth through a similarly sized Pennsylvania–Ohio bank serving individuals and small and midsized businesses with deposits and loans. Watch its pricing of tailored banking services for those customers—the same group First Commonwealth relies on.

  • WesBanco Inc challenges First Commonwealth for household and business banking customers across western Pennsylvania and Ohio, including home loans and managing assets for customers through trust services. Its mortgage and trust businesses are worth watching for competition in those overlapping services.

  • Northwest Bancshares, Inc competes with First Commonwealth across Pennsylvania and northeastern Ohio for deposits, home mortgages and business loans. Watch the interest Northwest pays on deposits: personal and business deposits are a principal source of funding for its lending.

  • PNC Financial Services Group competes with First Commonwealth in Pennsylvania and Ohio for household and business deposits, lending and customers who pay for wealth-management services.

  • First Financial Bancorp competes with First Commonwealth in Ohio for business and consumer loans, deposits and wealth-management customers. Its lending for businesses’ working capital and longer-term financing is the business to watch for this overlap, rather than its nationwide specialist operations.

  • First Merchants Corp competes with First Commonwealth in Ohio by serving businesses, consumers, home borrowers and private-wealth clients. Watch its local service and access to those products, which First Merchants identifies as reasons customers choose its bank.

  • Park National Corporation competes with First Commonwealth in Ohio for household and business deposits, commercial borrowers and customers seeking wealth management.

  • Peoples Bancorp Inc/OH competes with First Commonwealth in Ohio for business and consumer banking customers, businesses financing equipment purchases and wealth-management clients.

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  • AmeriServ Financial Inc is a smaller rival to First Commonwealth for Pennsylvania banking, business lending and trust customers. Its personal and institutional trust services are worth watching alongside business loans, since banking and trust and wealth management generate substantially all its income.

  • CF Bankshares Inc., through CFBank, competes with First Commonwealth for business loans and deposits in Ohio’s major metropolitan markets. Watch its business deposit accounts and loan interest and fees: deposits help fund its loans, while lending supplies its principal revenue.

  • WSFS Financial Corp competes with First Commonwealth for commercial banking and wealth clients in Greater Philadelphia, where First Commonwealth has a Berwyn business center. Watch WSFS’s commercial loans and leases and its Wealth and Trust business—the parts serving those overlapping customers.

Agenda

in 3 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced

    S&T Bancorp Inc earningsSTBA

    S&T Bancorp competes with First Commonwealth for similar household and small-business customers in Pennsylvania and Ohio, and its report will show what a comparable bank is paying to attract deposits and price loans.

in 7 daysMon, Oct 26

  1. Time to be announced

    Northwest Bancshares, Inc earningsNWBI

    Northwest Bancshares competes with First Commonwealth for deposits in Pennsylvania and Ohio, and its report will show how much interest a bank may need to pay to keep that funding.

in 8 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    First Commonwealth Financial Corporation earningsThis company

    First Commonwealth earns most of its revenue from the gap between interest on loans and investments and the cost of deposits and borrowings, so this report will show whether that spread is holding up as credit costs change.

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For First Commonwealth, the Fed’s policy rate—the rate that guides borrowing costs across the economy—can change what the bank earns on loans and securities versus what it pays for deposits and borrowings, its main source of revenue.