Stock daily read

What happened with BJRI today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

BJRI in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

BJ’s Restaurants serves diners across the United States, with signature deep-dish pizza, Pizookie desserts, proprietary craft beer and a full bar among its offerings. All its restaurants are company-owned, so revenue comes from guests’ food and beverage purchases rather than franchise fees. Guests can dine in or order takeout and delivery through its website, app and delivery partners; third-party delivery companies receive commissions on those sales.

The business depends in large part on visitors to nearby shopping and entertainment centers. A leading foodservice distributor supplies most of its food. BJ’s brews its branded beer itself and uses independent brewers working from its recipes, but the law requires most of that beer to reach its restaurants through independent wholesalers. Brewing and alcohol sales require licenses, and state liquor rules can restrict beer sales and how brewing and non-brewing restaurants operate.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in BJRI’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

BJRI says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • The Cheesecake Factory competes with BJ’s for diners seeking distinctive food, signature desserts and an upscale-feeling casual restaurant. Its restaurant sales are the relevant line to watch for that rivalry, rather than its bakery sales to retailers and other customers.

  • Brinker International’s Chili’s competes directly with BJ’s for casual diners buying American meals and drinks from a full bar. Watch Chili’s value offers such as 3 for Me alongside BJ’s Pizookie Meal Deal, which helped bring in traffic but lowered average checks in fiscal 2025.

  • Darden Restaurants competes with BJ’s for customers paying for sit-down meals and drink-led outings, including through Yard House and Cheddar’s. Those brands sit in Darden’s Other Business segment, making that segment more relevant to this overlap than its fine-dining restaurants.

  • Bloomin’ Brands competes with BJ’s for casual and more upscale casual meals through Outback, Carrabba’s and Bonefish Grill. Its U.S. restaurant business is the place to watch this competition; the company earns money both from diners at its own restaurants and from fees paid by franchise operators.

  • Texas Roadhouse and BJ’s compete for diners choosing moderately priced meals with table service. Texas Roadhouse’s steaks, with fresh-baked rolls and most entrées including two sides, give investors a concrete meal-value offer to compare with BJ’s broad menu.

  • Dine Brands Global’s Applebee’s competes with BJ’s for casual sit-down diners, but the companies collect revenue differently. BJ’s sells meals and drinks at its own restaurants, while Dine Brands primarily collects royalties and advertising fees from franchise operators, so Applebee’s restaurant demand reaches it through those fees.

  • Good Times Restaurants’ Bad Daddy’s Burger Bar competes with BJ’s for customers buying American meals and craft beer in a family-friendly, full-service bar setting. Bad Daddy’s dine-in alcohol sales are a useful focus for this overlap, rather than Good Times’ separate drive-thru burger business.

  • The ONE Group Hospitality competes with BJ’s for full-service meals and bar-oriented outings through polished-casual restaurants including Kona Grill. Its own restaurants collect diners’ spending directly, while restaurants it manages or franchises pay fees tied to revenue and, in some cases, profits.

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  • Cracker Barrel and BJ’s both need dine-in customers’ spending to cover food, labor and other restaurant costs. Watch Cracker Barrel’s restaurant business rather than total revenue alone: restaurants generated approximately 81% of its revenue in 2026.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    Brinker International, Inc. earningsEAT

    Brinker International's Chili's and BJ's Restaurants both compete for casual diners buying American meals and drinks, so this report can show whether customers respond to Chili's value offers.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. 10:00 AMET

    JOLTs Job Openings (Sep)

    BJ’s Restaurants’ openings measure employers’ demand for workers, which can make hiring and retaining restaurant staff more costly and squeeze what BJ’s keeps from food and beverage sales.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    BJ's Restaurants, Inc. earningsThis company

    BJ's Restaurants earns directly from restaurant sales, and this report will show whether guest traffic can offset lower average checks and pressure on store costs.

in 17 daysFri, Nov 6

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Non Farm Payrolls (Oct)

    The monthly jobs report counts jobs added or lost, and its signal about hiring demand can affect the wage bill BJ’s Restaurants pays to staff its restaurants and the margin left from food and beverage sales.