Stock daily read

What happened with BHRB today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

BHRB in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. conducts its banking business through Burke & Herbert Bank & Trust Company. It serves local businesses, especially small and medium-sized firms, and individuals, with northern Virginia and West Virginia as its primary markets. Customers place deposits with the bank, which uses that money to make business, mortgage and consumer loans. Commercial real estate accounts for most of its loan portfolio.

Borrowers pay interest, and the bank also earns interest from securities investments. After paying interest on deposits and borrowings, the remaining interest income is its principal source of earnings. Fees from banking services and managing customers’ trusts and wealth provide additional income.

The business depends on retaining deposits at an affordable cost and on the rates it earns keeping ahead of its funding costs. Its lending also ties it closely to borrowers’ ability to repay and property conditions in its markets. Banking regulation restricts lending, investments, expansion and dividends.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in BHRB’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

BHRB says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • United Bankshares Inc competes directly with Burke & Herbert for business borrowers and depositors in northern Virginia and West Virginia; both offer commercial loans and deposit accounts.

  • Shore Bancshares Inc, through Shore United, competes with Burke & Herbert for deposits, commercial property borrowers and wealth-management clients in Maryland, Delaware and Virginia. Watch its commercial property lending and deposit growth for signs of competition in markets Burke & Herbert also serves.

  • WesBanco Inc competes with Burke & Herbert for household and business banking customers in West Virginia, Kentucky and Maryland. Its retail and corporate banking business is the part to watch for competition over those customer relationships.

  • First United Corp competes with Burke & Herbert for business and household deposits and loans in Maryland and West Virginia. Watch its deposit rates and lending fees: First United identifies both as factors in winning these customers.

  • Community Trust Bancorp Inc competes with Burke & Herbert for deposits and business and real estate borrowers in Kentucky and West Virginia. Its lending to small and mid-sized communities is worth watching alongside Burke & Herbert’s real estate-heavy loan book.

  • Peoples Bancorp Inc/OH, through Peoples Bank, competes with Burke & Herbert for community banking customers in West Virginia, Kentucky, Maryland and Virginia. Both serve businesses and individuals with banking services.

  • Carter Bankshares, Inc., through Carter Bank, seeks the same Virginia business and consumer loan and deposit relationships as Burke & Herbert. Watch its loan and deposit pricing: interest rates are a stated competitive factor, and loan interest is a primary revenue source.

  • National Bankshares Inc/VA shares Burke & Herbert’s model of using local Virginia deposits to fund real estate and business loans, although their core markets differ.

Agenda

todayTue, Oct 20

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Housing Starts (Sep)

    New-home starts, permits and sales track homebuilding and demand for new houses; for Burke & Herbert, that activity can affect demand for construction and development loans and the value of real-estate collateral securing many of its loans.

in 2 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. earningsThis company

    Burke & Herbert earns mainly from loan interest after funding costs, and this report will show whether that spread still supports earnings as credit costs change.

  2. Time to be announced

    Carter Bankshares, Inc. earningsCARE

    Carter Bankshares’ report will show whether Virginia banks’ competition for deposits and borrowers is squeezing Burke & Herbert’s spread.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Burke & Herbert earns most of its income from interest on business and consumer loans and securities, less what it pays depositors and other lenders, so policy-rate changes can shift that gap as assets and funding reprice at different speeds.