Stock daily read

What happened with WAFD today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

WAFD in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

WaFd, Inc. is the parent company of WaFd Bank, which takes deposits from individuals and businesses and uses that money mainly to make loans. Borrowers pay interest to the bank; a smaller share of its funds goes into government and agency securities and other investments. Its lending and deposit gathering are concentrated in the western United States and Texas.

Commercial lending makes up most of the loan portfolio, including financing for apartment buildings, other commercial properties, construction and business needs. Existing single-family home loans remain a substantial part of the portfolio, although the bank has announced plans to stop making new single-family mortgages and home equity lines of credit and focus on commercial lending.

Earnings depend largely on keeping loan and investment yields above funding costs. Deposit rates can change at a different pace from returns on its long-term, fixed-rate home loans. Its heavy exposure to real estate also makes borrowers’ repayment capacity and property values important. An FDIC rating of “Needs to Improve” under the Community Reinvestment Act, which the bank is appealing, limits certain acquisitions and branch openings or relocations unless the rating is changed.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in WAFD’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

WAFD says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Banner Corp. competes with WaFd for business borrowers and deposits in Washington, Oregon, California, Idaho, Utah and Nevada; both earn interest by lending money funded by deposits. Watch Banner’s gap between loan interest earned and deposit interest paid for a read on the lending spreads WaFd faces in these markets.

  • Heritage Financial Corp competes with WaFd for business deposits and commercial and construction loans in Washington, Oregon and Idaho, lending to small and medium-sized businesses and their owners. Its construction-loan credit quality offers a comparison for the risks in WaFd’s lending to building projects.

  • Hope Bancorp, Inc., through Bank of Hope, competes with WaFd for commercial property borrowers, business credit and deposits in California, Washington and Texas; both use customer deposits to fund loans. Watch Bank of Hope’s commercial real estate loan quality as a comparison for WaFd’s property-lending risks.

  • Cathay General Bancorp competes with WaFd in California for business deposits, commercial real estate loans and small-business credit, serving businesses with deposit accounts and financing. Its lending to small and medium-sized businesses offers a comparison for the credit conditions facing WaFd’s business borrowers.

  • CVB Financial Corp, through Citizens Business Bank, competes with WaFd for California business banking customers, taking their deposits and providing commercial loans.

  • UMB Financial Corp’s expanded banking network competes with WaFd for depositors and borrowers in Arizona and New Mexico. After buying Heartland Financial on January 31, 2025, UMB ranked among the top ten banks by deposit market share in both states, making its deposit franchise worth watching for WaFd’s local funding competition.

  • Westamerica Bancorporation competes with WaFd for California small-business banking customers and deposits through Westamerica Bank. Its focus on small businesses in Northern and Central California makes those customer relationships the part to watch for WaFd’s local competition.

  • Wells Fargo & Co. competes with WaFd in the Western U.S. for consumer deposits, business banking customers and commercial real estate loans, offering households deposit accounts and businesses banking and financing.

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  • Provident Financial Services, Inc. and WaFd share exposure to commercial property credit and the gap between loan income and deposit costs: both use public and business deposits to fund commercial real estate, business and residential mortgage loans, though WaFd stopped originating consumer home loans in January 2025. Provident’s commercial real estate loan quality is a useful comparison for WaFd, rather than a measure of competition in the same local markets.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    Banner Corp. earningsBANR

    Banner Corp.'s report will show whether loan interest is pulling further ahead of deposit costs in markets it shares with WaFd.

  2. Time to be announced

    Cathay General Bancorp earningsCATY

    Cathay General Bancorp's report will show, through California small and medium-sized business borrowers, what credit conditions may mean for WaFd's local business lending.

in 2 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced

    Heritage Financial Corp earningsHFWA

    Heritage Financial Corp.'s report will show whether construction borrowers in Washington, Oregon and Idaho are under repayment pressure, a comparison for WaFd's project lending.

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    UMB Financial Corp earningsUMBF

    UMB Financial Corp.'s report will show how it is attracting deposits in Arizona and New Mexico, where it competes with WaFd for funding.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    Hope Bancorp, Inc. earningsHOPE

    Hope Bancorp, Inc.'s report will show whether commercial property borrowers in California, Washington and Texas are keeping up with payments, a comparison for WaFd's property lending.

  2. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    The Fed’s rate decision signals the direction of borrowing costs, which can change the interest WaFd earns on loans and investments and pays on deposits and borrowings, moving its net interest margin.

in 17 daysFri, Nov 6

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Non Farm Payrolls (Oct)

    The monthly jobs report counts jobs added or lost, indicating whether WaFd’s western-state borrowers may have steadier income to repay real-estate loans and whether demand for those loans may strengthen or weaken.