Stock daily read

What happened with UMBF today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

UMBF in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

UMB Financial Corp serves businesses, institutions and individuals, primarily in the Midwestern, Southwestern and Western United States. Deposits supply most of the money it lends and invests. Small and middle-market businesses use its loans to finance operations and commercial property; business and commercial real estate loans dominate its lending. Borrowers pay interest, while investment securities provide another important source of interest income.

The company also earns fees for looking after clients’ investments and handling financial administration. UMBFS administers and keeps accounts for mutual funds and alternative investment groups, while other operations provide trust, custody and wealth-management services. These services are an important second revenue source, with fees often linked to the value of client assets.

The business depends on the gap between asset yields and funding costs. Its funding leans heavily on commercial and institutional deposits, whose customers tend to be more sensitive to deposit rates than consumers. Borrowers’ ability to repay, particularly in commercial real estate, also matters. Banking capital requirements constrain how much the company can expand lending.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in UMBF’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

UMBF says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Commerce Bancshares Inc competes directly with UMB Financial Corp for Missouri and Kansas businesses’ loans, deposits and payments, and for clients’ wealth-management relationships.

  • U.S. Bancorp competes with UMB Financial Corp to lend to businesses, manage their cash and provide trust services, while also safeguarding institutional assets and handling funds’ accounts and administration. Its fund-administration business is worth watching alongside UMB’s services for mutual funds and alternative investment groups.

  • Wintrust Financial Corp and UMB Financial Corp have similarly sized banking businesses that take deposits and lend to small and midsized companies, making Midwestern business loan demand, deposit costs and credit quality useful comparisons. Watch Wintrust’s business lending and the rates it pays to attract deposits.

  • Old National Bancorp offers a comparison for UMB Financial Corp’s acquisition-led growth: both regional banks use customer deposits to fund loans, and recent acquisitions materially affect their growth and integration costs.

  • First Horizon Corporation competes with UMB Financial Corp for business and specialty loans, clients buying or selling fixed-income investments, and wealth-management business. Its specialty lending spans multiple regions or the nation, so those loans matter beyond its southern U.S. branch markets.

  • Associated Banc-Corp competes with UMB Financial Corp for business and household loans, deposits and banking services in Missouri and the broader Midwest. Watch the rates Associated pays depositors and charges borrowers, which it identifies as key ways to retain and win customers.

  • SouthState Bank Corporation competes with UMB Financial Corp for Colorado loans and deposits; both run similarly sized banks that use deposits to fund lending. SouthState’s interest expense on customer deposits provides a concrete comparison for UMB’s funding costs.

  • FirstSun Capital Bancorp, through Sunflower Bank, competes with UMB Financial Corp for business loans and deposits in Kansas, Colorado and other overlapping central and western U.S. markets.

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  • Community Financial System, Inc., through BPAS, competes with UMB Financial Corp to provide institutional trust services, administer funds, maintain investor ownership records and service health savings accounts. BPAS’s fund administration and health savings account business is the relevant comparison for UMB’s institutional services, rather than its local bank branches.

  • Huntington Bancshares Inc and UMB Financial Corp both lend to businesses and help manage their cash and payments, alongside consumer banking and wealth management, so business loan demand, deposit pricing and credit quality offer useful comparisons. Huntington’s Commercial Banking segment is the clearest place to watch those business-customer trends.

  • Regions Financial Corp. competes with UMB Financial Corp for business and consumer customers in overlapping Midwestern markets, offering business loans, deposit accounts and wealth services.

Agenda

todayTue, Oct 20

  1. Time to be announced

    Commerce Bancshares Inc earningsCBSH

    Commerce Bancshares Inc's report will show whether businesses and households in Missouri and Kansas are still borrowing and depositing money, and whether banks must pay more to keep those deposits.

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    Old National Bancorp earningsONB

    Old National Bancorp's report will show whether acquired businesses are retaining deposits as integration costs ease, a useful comparison for UMB's integration of HTLF.

  2. Time to be announced

    SouthState Bank Corporation earningsSSB

    SouthState Bank's report will show whether banks are paying more to retain customer deposits, offering a concrete comparison for UMB's funding costs.

in 2 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced

    Huntington Bancshares Inc earningsHBAN

    Huntington Bancshares' Commercial Banking results will show how business loan demand and credit quality are holding up, a reference point for UMB's business customers.

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    UMB Financial Corp earningsThis company

    UMB Financial's report will show whether it can turn the deposits gained with HTLF into loan income without deposit costs eating away at its lending margin.

  2. Time to be announced

    Community Financial System, Inc. earningsCBU

    Community Financial System's report will show demand for fund administration and health savings account services through BPAS, which competes with UMB's institutional trust and securities-processing business.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    UMB Financial earns income from loans and securities after paying for deposits and other funding, so the Fed’s decisions about short-term interest rates can change both what it earns and what it pays.