Stock daily read

What happened with CBU today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

CBU in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Community Financial System’s largest business is Community Bank, N.A., which serves individuals, businesses and government customers in parts of New York, Pennsylvania, Vermont, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. Customer deposits provide most of its funding for loans and investment securities. Borrowers and securities pay interest; the bank keeps the difference after paying interest on deposits and borrowings. It also charges for banking services, including payments and deposit accounts.

Its largest nonbank business is BPAS, which administers retirement and employee-benefit plans, maintains records and provides trust and fund services nationwide and in Puerto Rico. Plan sponsors and fund companies pay for these services, with some business reaching BPAS through independent financial advisors. Smaller businesses include OneGroup’s insurance agency and the Nottingham businesses’ investment management, advice and trust services.

Banking revenue depends heavily on the interest spread and continued access to deposits, while borrowers’ ability to repay is tied to the bank’s regional economies. Benefit-trust and wealth-management revenue also depends substantially on the value of assets managed or administered. Banking and other financial regulations limit capital use, products and services. The parent company relies primarily on earnings and dividends from Community Bank and BPAS; bank capital requirements and dividend restrictions limit how much cash the bank can pass upstream.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in CBU’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

CBU says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • NBT Bancorp Inc competes with Community Financial System for borrowers and depositors in closely overlapping markets in Upstate New York, Northeastern Pennsylvania, Vermont, Southern New Hampshire and Western Massachusetts. Watch NBT’s loans and deposits in those markets for a read on competition facing Community’s banking business.

  • Financial Institutions Inc’s Five Star Bank competes with Community Financial System for consumer, business and municipal banking customers in Western and Central New York. Five Star funds lending mainly with deposits, making its deposit growth a useful measure of competition for local funding.

  • KeyCorp, through KeyBank, competes with Community Financial System for retail deposits and commercial borrowers across Upstate New York, putting both banks in pursuit of the same household savings and business lending customers.

  • Community Bancorp. competes with Community Financial System for local loans and deposits in Vermont, making it a rival for both borrowers and the savings that fund lending.

  • Fulton Financial Corp competes with Community Financial System for Pennsylvania consumer deposits and small- and medium-sized business loans; both also provide wealth services. Fulton’s lending to those businesses is the clearest part of its results to watch for competition facing Community.

  • F.N.B. Corp competes with Community Financial System for Pennsylvania households and businesses across banking, wealth management and insurance, so their rivalry extends beyond loans and deposits to those customers’ investment and insurance needs.

  • WSFS Financial Corp offers a comparison for Community Financial System beyond banking: both use customer deposits to fund regional lending and also earn fees for managing investments and administering institutional trust assets. Watch WSFS’s Wealth and Trust business alongside its lending results when assessing Community’s mix of banking and fee revenue.

  • Independent Bank Corp/MA’s Rockland Trust shares Community Financial System’s exposure to New England lending and funding conditions: both use deposits to finance loans to businesses and consumers in the region.

Agenda

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Community Financial System, Inc. earningsThis company

    Community Financial System uses deposits to fund loans, and this report will show whether loan income is growing enough to cover deposit costs and support its banking revenue.

  2. Time to be announced

    NBT Bancorp Inc earningsNBTB

    NBT Bancorp Inc’s loans and deposits will show borrowing and funding demand in markets where it overlaps with Community Financial System, as well as the competition its banking business faces.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For Community Financial System, Fed rate decisions affect what its loans and securities earn and what it pays on deposits and borrowings, changing the spread that drives much of its banking income.