Stock daily read

What happened with CMTV today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

CMTV in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Community Bancorp. is the holding company for Community National Bank, whose lending, deposits and fee income come almost entirely from northeastern and central Vermont. Commercial lending is a focus, alongside home mortgages and loans to local municipalities. Borrowers pay interest, and loans generate most of the bank’s interest income; investments provide a smaller share.

The bank relies primarily on deposits to fund lending. Its largest source of operating income is the interest left after paying depositors and other funding providers, known as net interest income. Customer service fees add a smaller income stream. The business depends on attracting deposits at manageable costs and on borrowers repaying their loans. With much of the loan portfolio secured by real estate, local economic conditions and property values matter heavily.

Cash typically reaches the holding company through dividends from Community National Bank. Federal banking rules limit those payments based on bank profits, retained earnings and capital, constraining the cash available to the parent to service debt and pay shareholders.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in CMTV’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

CMTV says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Community Financial System’s Community Bank competes with Community Bancorp for Vermont businesses’ and households’ loans and deposits. Its Vermont commercial lending is worth watching because business lending is a strategic focus for Community Bancorp.

  • NBT Bancorp Inc competes with Community Bancorp for customers’ loans and deposits in Vermont and New Hampshire. Watch NBT’s lending in those markets alongside Community Bancorp’s commercial property lending around Burlington and White River Junction.

  • KeyCorp’s KeyBank competes with Community Bancorp for business borrowers and depositors in Vermont through its retail and commercial banking operations.

  • Camden National Corporation and Community Bancorp both take deposits and lend to households, businesses and municipalities in northern New England, giving them shared exposure to loan demand, property credit quality and deposit costs. Watch the interest Camden pays depositors against what it earns on loans: that gap also matters to Community Bancorp’s largest operating-income source, net interest income.

  • First Bancorp, Inc. (ME) offers a Maine comparison for Community Bancorp’s Vermont-focused lending: both serve local customers with deposits, business loans and home mortgages. First Bancorp’s business and mortgage loan demand and repayment performance offer a regional check on Community Bancorp, rather than evidence of conditions in its own Vermont markets.

Agenda

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    Camden National Corporation earningsCAC

    Camden National Corporation’s report will show how the interest it pays depositors compares with what it earns on loans, the same gap that drives Community Bancorp’s largest source of income.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For Community Bancorp, the Fed’s rate decision signals how borrowing costs across the economy may change, affecting interest earned on its loans and investments and interest paid on deposits and other funding.