Stock daily read

What happened with WTFC today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

WTFC in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Wintrust Financial Corp is a bank holding company whose community banks supply most of its revenue. They serve individuals, small and midsized businesses, local governments and institutions, mainly around Chicago and in neighboring parts of Wisconsin, Indiana and Michigan. Customer deposits are the main funding source for loans. Borrowers pay interest, and Wintrust earns the difference between income from loans and other earning assets and the interest it pays depositors and other lenders.

Insurance-premium financing is its other substantial business. Through FIRST Insurance Funding in the United States and FIFC Canada, it lends customers the portion of their property and casualty insurance premiums not covered by a down payment, paying the insurer directly or through an insurance intermediary. Customers repay the loans with interest. These businesses rely on approved insurance agents and brokers to arrange loans. Wintrust Life Finance also lends to wealthy customers to fund life insurance premiums.

The banking business depends heavily on local economic conditions, borrowers’ repayment capacity and retaining deposits at a cost that leaves room for interest income. Loan and deposit rates can change at different speeds, squeezing that income. At the holding-company level, cash comes primarily from bank dividends, which banking rules restrict when distributions would leave the banks inadequately capitalized or regulators deem them unsafe.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in WTFC’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

WTFC says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Old National Bancorp competes with Wintrust for businesses’ loans and customer deposits in Chicago and overlapping Midwest markets.

  • Associated Banc-Corp competes with Wintrust for individuals’ and businesses’ banking relationships in Wisconsin and Illinois. Watch the rates Associated offers depositors and charges borrowers: those are terms on which both banks compete to retain customers.

  • First Business Financial Services, Inc. competes with Wintrust in Wisconsin for businesses’ banking needs and private clients’ wealth-management relationships.

  • KeyCorp’s KeyBank competes with Wintrust for Michigan businesses’ banking relationships and customers seeking financing for commercial equipment.

  • First Horizon Corporation offers a comparison for Wintrust: both run sizable banks that use customer deposits to fund business loans and specialty financing. Watch First Horizon’s commercial lending, which accounted for 77% of loans, including certain leases and before loss allowances, at year-end 2025.

  • Zions Bancorporation N.A. and Wintrust run similarly sized, locally focused commercial banks; both depend on the gap between loan earnings and funding costs, and on business borrowers’ ability to repay.

  • SouthState Bank Corporation is a useful comparison for Wintrust because both run similarly sized banks that fund commercial loans with customer deposits and earn residential mortgage revenue. Watch SouthState’s gains from selling home loans alongside its deposit interest costs to separate mortgage activity from the cost of funding loans.

  • Hancock Whitney Corporation offers a comparison across several Wintrust businesses: both use deposits to fund commercial loans and also provide equipment leasing and wealth services. Its equipment financing for middle-market and corporate customers is a concrete line to watch alongside Wintrust’s equipment loans and leases.

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  • United Community Banks, Inc. offers a comparison for Wintrust’s mix of local business banking and nationwide equipment financing. Watch its equipment-finance activity separately from local lending: both companies finance businesses’ equipment beyond their branch markets.

Agenda

todayTue, Oct 20

  1. Time to be announced

    KeyCorp earningsKEY

    KeyCorp’s report will show demand and competition for Michigan business loans and commercial equipment financing, where it competes with Wintrust for customers.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Wintrust earns most of its income from the difference between interest on loans and securities and the cost of deposits and other funding, so the Fed’s rate decision can change what it earns and pays as those rates reset at different times.