Stock daily read

What happened with MBBC today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

MBBC in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Marathon Bancorp, Inc. is the holding company for Marathon Bank, a Wisconsin-chartered community savings bank. The bank gathers deposits from local residents and businesses and uses that money mainly to lend against commercial properties, apartment buildings and homes. Borrowers pay interest, and the bank also earns interest on debt securities. Most income comes from the interest left after paying interest on deposits and borrowings; the Federal Home Loan Bank of Chicago provides supplemental funding.

Commercial property and apartment loans together make up most of the loan portfolio, while home mortgages are another substantial line. Lending is concentrated in Wisconsin, with commercial property loans primarily secured by properties in Southeastern Wisconsin and mostly involving buildings not occupied by their owners. The business depends on retaining deposits and on the difference between lending returns and funding costs. The holding company itself receives cash from bank dividends and earnings on its retained investment funds.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in MBBC’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

MBBC says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Marathon Bancorp, Inc.’s results hinge on Wisconsin commercial and multifamily property loan quality and the gap between loan yields and deposit costs; these peers are business-model comparisons, not close local rivals.

  • Bogota Financial Corp. offers a comparison for Marathon’s lending margins and property credit risks: both banks use deposits to fund residential, commercial real estate and multifamily loans. Watch how interest earned on those loans holds up against deposit costs.

  • ECB Bancorp, Inc. provides a small-local-bank comparison for Marathon: its Everett Co-operative Bank and Marathon both collect public deposits and lend mainly against residential, multifamily and commercial properties. Everett’s property loan quality is a useful comparison, but its three offices serve Massachusetts rather than Marathon’s Wisconsin markets.

  • Winchester Bancorp, Inc. exposes investors to a similar balance of property loan income and deposit costs as Marathon: both operate small branch networks and put public deposits mainly into residential and commercial property loans. Winchester’s competition for deposits in Massachusetts is worth watching for pressure on this funding model, rather than as a measure of Marathon’s local competition.

  • Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. is a comparison for Marathon’s funding costs: its Broadstreet Bank and Marathon both fund residential and commercial real estate loans with retail deposits and money borrowed from Federal Home Loan Banks. Watch the gap between property loan yields and the cost of those deposits and borrowings.

  • Timberland Bancorp Inc shares Marathon’s exposure to property credit and mortgage rate resets: both combine retail deposits with commercial real estate, multifamily and adjustable-rate residential loans kept on their books. Watch Timberland’s commercial property loan quality and the income from mortgages whose rates adjust, rather than treating its Washington borrowers as a guide to Wisconsin credit.

  • First Northwest Bancorp offers a property-backed lending comparison for Marathon: its First Fed bank and Marathon focus on residential mortgages, commercial real estate and multifamily loans rather than primarily unsecured business lending. First Fed’s credit quality in those property loans is the relevant comparison for Marathon, not First Northwest’s passive investments.

Agenda

in 7 daysMon, Oct 26

  1. Time to be announced

    First Northwest Bancorp earningsFNWB

    First Northwest Bancorp's report will show how returns and credit quality are holding up in residential, commercial real estate and multifamily lending—the same property-loan markets Marathon Bancorp serves.

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For Marathon Bank, the Fed’s policy-rate decision affects what it earns on its commercial real estate, multifamily and residential loans and investments, and what it pays on deposits and borrowings, shaping its net interest income.