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What happened with BSBK today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

BSBK in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Bogota Financial Corp.’s banking business serves customers in New Jersey through Bogota Savings Bank. The bank takes deposits from individuals, businesses and municipalities and uses this money, supplemented by borrowing from the Federal Home Loan Bank of New York, to make loans and invest in securities. Most lending finances home purchases, refinancing and borrowing against home equity; commercial property and multifamily housing loans make up the next-largest category. Borrowers pay interest, and the company earns mainly what remains of interest from loans and investments after paying interest on its funding.

The business depends heavily on New Jersey borrowers and property values because almost all loans are secured by real estate, mostly in its local market. Funding costs also matter: most deposits are certificates of deposit, while much of the lending carries fixed rates. Deposit costs can therefore rise faster than loan income. Banking regulators can restrict operations, and capital and liquidity requirements limit how the company deploys its funds.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in BSBK’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

BSBK says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
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  • Moderate
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Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Bogota’s results hinge on New Jersey mortgage credit and deposit funding costs; TD Bank is another significant local competitor to watch beyond this list.

  • SR Bancorp’s Somerset Regal Bank competes with Bogota for savers and home-loan borrowers in overlapping northern New Jersey markets, including Essex and Morris counties. Its residential mortgage originations and purchases of loans from mortgage brokers are worth watching for competition in Bogota’s largest lending category.

  • M&T Bank competes with Bogota for local deposits and loans to homebuyers, commercial-property owners and rental-apartment owners. Its lending to consumers and small and medium-size businesses, including property-backed loans, is the part to watch for competition with Bogota.

  • PNC Financial Services Group competes with Bogota for depositors and borrowing customers in Bogota’s New Jersey markets, serving individuals and businesses through its banking operations. PNC’s reports of deposit-pricing pressure and customers moving their money are worth watching for the funding competition Bogota faces.

  • Flagstar Bank, National Association’s New York–New Jersey banking business competes with Bogota for deposits and property borrowers, including owners seeking loans on rental-apartment buildings.

  • Wells Fargo competes with Bogota for local savers and home-loan borrowers, but its nationwide banking operations make its overall results a less direct comparison. Its consumer deposits and mortgage business are more relevant to Bogota than its broader investment and commercial-finance operations.

  • Bank of America competes with Bogota for local deposits and loans, while its global businesses make overall earnings a less focused comparison. Its banking business for consumers and small businesses is the more relevant part to watch, rather than investment banking and trading.

  • JPMorgan Chase competes with Bogota for depositors and borrowers in its local markets, but global investment banking and asset management weaken the earnings comparison. Its Consumer & Community Banking results, covering consumers and small businesses, are the more relevant part to watch.

Agenda

in 3 daysFri, Oct 23

  1. Time to be announced

    Flagstar Bank, National Association earningsFLG

    Flagstar Bank's report offers a read on deposit competition and rental-apartment lending in New York and New Jersey, two parts of banking that overlap with Bogota Financial's business.

in 6 daysMon, Oct 26

  1. Time to be announced

    SR Bancorp, Inc. earningsSRBK

    SR Bancorp's report will show how its home-lending and deposit business is faring in northern New Jersey, where it overlaps with Bogota Financial.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Bogota Savings Bank earns the spread between interest on its mostly fixed-rate home loans and investments and what it pays depositors and FHLBNY; Fed rate decisions can change that spread.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Bogota Financial Corp. earningsThis company

    Bogota Financial earns mainly from interest on loans and investments minus what it pays for deposits and borrowings, and this report will show whether funding costs are squeezing that spread.

in 87 daysFri, Jan 15

  1. Time to be announced

    PNC Financial Services Group earningsPNC

    PNC Financial Services Group's report can show whether savers are still moving to higher-rate deposits, a signal of the pricing pressure Bogota Financial faces for funding.