Stock daily read

What happened with SRBK today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

SRBK in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

SR Bancorp is the holding company for Somerset Regal Bank, serving individuals and small businesses in northern and central New Jersey. The bank gathers deposits from these communities and lends mainly for residential mortgages and commercial purposes, with multifamily properties making up a substantial part of commercial lending. Borrowers pay interest, and the bank also earns interest on investments. Most income comes from what remains after paying interest on deposits and other funding.

The business depends on retaining deposits at affordable rates and on borrowers’ ability to repay. Nearly all loans are secured by real estate, largely in its New Jersey market, making local property values and economic conditions especially important. Changes in interest rates can narrow the gap between lending income and funding costs. The bank also relies on mortgage brokers to supply some residential loans and, especially, referrals for multifamily loans, while underwriting each loan itself.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in SRBK’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

SRBK says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Bogota Financial Corp.’s Bogota Savings competes with SR Bancorp’s Somerset Regal for deposits and residential and multifamily property loans in overlapping northern New Jersey markets. Its mortgage lending and deposit costs are worth watching alongside Somerset Regal’s.

  • Flagstar Bank, National Association is a much larger rival for SR Bancorp’s Somerset Regal in New Jersey banking, and both lend to multifamily property borrowers in the New York metropolitan area. Watch Flagstar’s news about those borrowers for signs of credit pressure relevant to Somerset Regal.

  • Parke Bancorp Inc. and SR Bancorp’s Somerset Regal both lend to individuals and smaller businesses in New Jersey, so the state’s economy shapes their lending opportunities and borrowers’ ability to repay, though they serve different areas. Watch Parke Bank’s southern New Jersey customers, rather than treating its wider business as a direct match for Somerset Regal’s northern and central New Jersey markets.

  • Western New England Bancorp, Inc.’s Westfield Bank and SR Bancorp’s Somerset Regal both lend mainly against residential and commercial property, making mortgage earnings and borrowers’ repayment performance important to both. Watch Westfield’s property-loan interest income relative to deposit costs, and how those loans perform.

  • ECB Bancorp, Inc.’s Everett Co-operative and SR Bancorp’s Somerset Regal share a small local-bank model: they take public deposits to fund residential, multifamily and commercial property loans. Everett’s interest earnings on those loans relative to what it pays depositors offer a useful comparison for Somerset Regal, though Everett serves Massachusetts rather than New Jersey.

  • Winchester Bancorp, Inc.’s Winchester Savings and SR Bancorp’s Somerset Regal both use small branch networks to gather public deposits and finance mainly residential and other property loans, exposing both to mortgage repricing and competition for deposits. Watch the rates Winchester earns on home loans and pays to retain deposits, while keeping its eastern Massachusetts market distinct from Somerset Regal’s New Jersey market.

Agenda

in 6 daysMon, Oct 26

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    SR Bancorp, Inc. earningsThis company

    SR Bancorp earns mainly from interest on loans after paying deposit costs, and its report will show whether that spread can withstand funding costs and loan losses.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For SR Bancorp, the Fed’s rate decision matters because it can change interest earned on Somerset Regal Bank’s loans and investments relative to what the bank pays depositors and lenders, its main source of pre-tax income.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    Bogota Financial Corp. earningsBSBK

    Bogota Financial’s report will show whether a bank competing with Somerset Regal for northern New Jersey deposits and property borrowers can earn enough on loans to cover its funding costs.