Stock daily read

What happened with WNEB today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

WNEB in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Western New England Bancorp’s main business is Westfield Bank, a community bank serving businesses and individuals in western Massachusetts and Connecticut’s Capital Region. Customers place money in checking, savings and time-deposit accounts, providing the bank’s main source of lending funds. Borrowers pay interest, which supplies most of the business’s revenue; fee income plays a much smaller role.

Commercial real estate is the largest part of the loan portfolio, followed by residential real estate. Commercial property borrowers repay primarily from property income and cash flow, tying the bank’s business to local property activity and borrowers’ ability to pay. Earnings also depend on the gap between interest received and funding costs, which can change as loans and deposits adjust to interest rates at different times. The bank also relies heavily on Federal Home Loan Bank borrowing for liquidity.

The parent company receives substantially all of its own revenue through dividends from Westfield Bank. Federal and state rules limit those payments, and regulators can prohibit them when they consider a payment unsafe or unsound.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in WNEB’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

WNEB says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Lake Shore Bancorp and Western New England Bancorp share exposure to property borrowers’ repayments and deposit costs: both banks use customer deposits mainly to fund commercial property loans and home mortgages. Commercial property accounts for more than half of each bank’s loans, making Lake Shore’s credit quality in that book a useful comparison for Westfield Bank.

  • BCB Bancorp offers a similar-sized comparison for Western New England Bancorp: both community banks use customer deposits to lend against commercial and residential property. Watch BCB’s ability to attract low-cost deposits, which speaks to the funding costs behind this lending model.

  • Finward Bancorp is a business-model comparison for Western New England Bancorp rather than a local-market match: its Peoples Bank also uses public deposits to fund loans mainly secured by homes and commercial property, but serves northwest Indiana and Cook County, Illinois. The rates it charges property borrowers and pays depositors are useful checks on the lending margins of this model.

  • Eastern Bankshares and Western New England Bancorp share exposure to Massachusetts loan demand and deposit costs: Eastern Bank and Westfield Bank both use customer deposits to fund loans to businesses and consumers in the state, although their core local markets differ.

  • Provident Financial Services and Western New England Bancorp share exposure to Northeastern property lending and deposit costs: both banks use local households’ and businesses’ deposits to finance commercial property, businesses and homes. Provident’s property-loan performance is the closer comparison for Westfield Bank than its wealth-management and insurance fee income.

  • Provident Financial Hldgs and Western New England Bancorp share a reliance on customer deposits to fund residential and commercial property loans they keep on their books. At Provident Savings Bank, which serves consumers and small to mid-sized businesses in Southern California’s Inland Empire, interest earned on those loans is the revenue line to compare with Westfield Bank’s lending business.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    Lake Shore Bancorp, Inc. earningsLSBK

    Lake Shore Bancorp’s report will show how commercial property borrowers are repaying, a useful check on the large commercial real estate book at Westfield Bank.

in 2 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced

    Eastern Bankshares, Inc. earningsEBC

    Eastern Bankshares’ report will show borrowing demand from Massachusetts businesses and consumers, and the cost of deposits, as a state-level check for Westfield Bank.

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Western New England Bancorp, Inc. earningsThis company

    Western New England Bancorp earns mainly from loan interest, and this report will show whether Westfield Bank’s deposit costs, loan returns and credit risks still support that business.

  2. Time to be announced

    Finward Bancorp earningsFNWD

    Finward Bancorp’s report will show the gap between loan returns and deposit costs, a check on the deposit-funded lending model at Westfield Bank.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Western New England Bancorp earns most of its revenue from Westfield Bank loans, so changes in the Fed’s benchmark rate can alter interest charged on adjustable-rate commercial real estate loans and prime-linked home equity lines as well as the rates paid on deposits and borrowings, changing net interest income.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    BCB Bancorp Inc earningsBCBP

    BCB Bancorp’s report will show whether it can attract deposits at a controlled cost, a check on the funding costs behind Westfield Bank’s property lending.