Stock daily read

What happened with LSBK today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

LSBK in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Lake Shore Bancorp is the holding company for Lake Shore Bank, which serves individuals and businesses in Western New York through branches and online and mobile banking. The bank gathers deposits from nearby communities and uses that money mainly to finance property purchases and other real estate borrowing. Commercial real estate is its largest lending category, followed by residential mortgages. It keeps most loans it originates and collects interest from borrowers; investment securities also provide interest income. The parent company receives most of its revenue through dividends from the bank.

The business depends on retaining deposits at a cost below the interest it earns and on borrowers’ ability to repay. Lending and property collateral are concentrated in Erie and Chautauqua Counties, tying the bank closely to the local economy and property market. Much of its earning assets carries long-term fixed rates, so funding costs can rise faster than loan income. Federal law also requires the parent to support the bank financially, and regulators may require it to inject capital.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in LSBK’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

LSBK says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Lake Shore’s results hinge on Western New York property credit and deposit pricing, including competition from the Buffalo-headquartered super-regional bank identified in its filing, rather than direct rivalry with these geographically separate peers.

  • Western New England Bancorp and Lake Shore both lend mainly against commercial property and homes, so property borrowers’ ability to repay and interest-rate changes matter to both. Watch Western New England’s commercial property and residential mortgage loan quality as a comparison for Lake Shore’s main lending exposures.

  • Kearny Financial and Lake Shore both use public deposits to fund portfolios dominated by commercial property loans and home mortgages, making loan interest earned relative to deposit interest paid a useful comparison. Kearny has greater exposure to multifamily mortgages, so its property-loan results need to be read with that difference in mind.

  • BCB Bancorp and Lake Shore both use community deposits to lend to property and business borrowers, leaving both exposed to property-loan losses and rising funding costs. Watch BCB’s ability to attract low-cost deposits, which helps show how much loan interest a bank can keep after paying depositors.

  • Finward Bancorp and Lake Shore both earn banking income by taking public deposits and collecting interest on residential and commercial property loans they keep on their books. Finward’s deposit rates are worth watching alongside its property-loan yields, since both banks depend on what remains after paying depositors.

  • Provident Financial Hldgs and Lake Shore both put local deposits into residential and commercial property loans they retain, earning interest from those borrowers. Provident’s interest income from retained property loans offers a comparison for Lake Shore, which has historically kept most home mortgages it originates.

Agenda

todayWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Lake Shore Bancorp, Inc. earningsThis company

    Lake Shore Bancorp’s report will show whether interest from its loan-heavy portfolio is outpacing what it pays depositors while credit costs stay contained.

tomorrowThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced

    Kearny Financial Corporation earningsKRNY

    Kearny Financial’s report will show whether deposit costs are eating into loan interest at a bank with a similar deposit-funded property-lending model.

in 6 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    Western New England Bancorp, Inc. earningsWNEB

    Western New England Bancorp’s report will show how its commercial property and home-mortgage borrowers are repaying, offering a comparison for Lake Shore Bancorp’s largest lending exposures.

in 7 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For Lake Shore Bank, the Fed’s rate decision signals how the cost of deposits and borrowings may move relative to the interest earned on its loans and securities, its main source of income.