Stock daily read

What happened with FNWB today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

FNWB in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

First Northwest Bancorp owns First Fed, a bank serving individuals, businesses and nonprofit organizations in Washington State. First Fed uses customer deposits as its main source of money for lending and investing, supplemented by borrowings. Borrowers pay interest on loans, and investments also earn interest; the bank’s main income is what remains after paying interest to depositors and lenders.

Most of its loans are secured by real estate, including homes, commercial properties and apartment buildings. Its business is concentrated in Washington, particularly the North Olympic Peninsula and Puget Sound. Repayment of commercial-property and apartment-building loans often depends on borrowers’ business income or rents. The bank also sells some residential mortgages to Freddie Mac and other investors, earning sale gains and, when it keeps servicing the loans, servicing fees.

The business depends on retaining deposits and the gap between lending returns and funding costs. The parent company receives most of its cash flow through First Fed’s dividends, which federal and Washington rules restrict.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in FNWB’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

FNWB says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Beyond Washington property lending and deposit costs, First Northwest Bancorp depends on Woodside Credit and Triad Financial Services for substantial portfolios of purchased collector-car and manufactured-home loans.

  • FS Bancorp, Inc.’s 1st Security Bank competes with First Northwest Bancorp’s First Fed for Washington households’ deposits and for borrowers taking out residential, commercial property and consumer loans.

  • Timberland Bancorp Inc’s Timberland Bank competes with First Northwest Bancorp’s First Fed for Washington consumer and business deposits and for residential, commercial and multifamily property borrowers. Watch its property lending results for clues to conditions in the markets where First Fed also lends.

  • Heritage Financial Corp’s Heritage Bank competes with First Northwest Bancorp’s First Fed for Washington business loans and deposits, serving small and medium-sized businesses and their owners. Watch its newly acquired Kitsap Bank branches: they extend Heritage’s reach with 16 additional Washington branches competing for those customers.

Agenda

tomorrowTue, Oct 20

  1. Time to be announced

    FS Bancorp, Inc. earningsFSBW

    FS Bancorp’s report will show how Washington households’ and borrowers’ demand for deposits and residential, commercial-property and consumer loans is changing—the same customers First Fed competes to serve.

in 7 daysMon, Oct 26

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    First Northwest Bancorp earningsThis company

    First Northwest Bancorp earns mainly from interest on loans and investments after paying for deposits and borrowings, so this report shows whether First Fed is sustaining that income without credit problems worsening.

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For First Northwest, the Fed’s policy rate—the rate guiding borrowing costs across the economy—affects what First Fed pays for deposits and borrowings versus earns on loans and investments, as well as demand for mortgages it sells to investors.