FNWB in three months: buy, wait or sell?
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First Northwest Bancorp owns First Fed, a bank serving individuals, businesses and nonprofit organizations in Washington State. First Fed uses customer deposits as its main source of money for lending and investing, supplemented by borrowings. Borrowers pay interest on loans, and investments also earn interest; the bank’s main income is what remains after paying interest to depositors and lenders.
Most of its loans are secured by real estate, including homes, commercial properties and apartment buildings. Its business is concentrated in Washington, particularly the North Olympic Peninsula and Puget Sound. Repayment of commercial-property and apartment-building loans often depends on borrowers’ business income or rents. The bank also sells some residential mortgages to Freddie Mac and other investors, earning sale gains and, when it keeps servicing the loans, servicing fees.
The business depends on retaining deposits and the gap between lending returns and funding costs. The parent company receives most of its cash flow through First Fed’s dividends, which federal and Washington rules restrict.
The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.
Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.
Beyond Washington property lending and deposit costs, First Northwest Bancorp depends on Woodside Credit and Triad Financial Services for substantial portfolios of purchased collector-car and manufactured-home loans.
FS Bancorp, Inc.’s 1st Security Bank competes with First Northwest Bancorp’s First Fed for Washington households’ deposits and for borrowers taking out residential, commercial property and consumer loans.
Timberland Bancorp Inc’s Timberland Bank competes with First Northwest Bancorp’s First Fed for Washington consumer and business deposits and for residential, commercial and multifamily property borrowers. Watch its property lending results for clues to conditions in the markets where First Fed also lends.
Heritage Financial Corp’s Heritage Bank competes with First Northwest Bancorp’s First Fed for Washington business loans and deposits, serving small and medium-sized businesses and their owners. Watch its newly acquired Kitsap Bank branches: they extend Heritage’s reach with 16 additional Washington branches competing for those customers.
FS Bancorp, Inc. earningsFSBW
FS Bancorp’s report will show how Washington households’ and borrowers’ demand for deposits and residential, commercial-property and consumer loans is changing—the same customers First Fed competes to serve.
Look at FS Bancorp’s deposit trends alongside lending, especially residential, commercial-property and consumer loans. If both remain firm, households and borrowers are still using local banks, supporting demand in First Fed’s markets. If deposits or lending weaken, demand may be softening or competition for customers may be intensifying.
First Northwest Bancorp earningsThis company
First Northwest Bancorp earns mainly from interest on loans and investments after paying for deposits and borrowings, so this report shows whether First Fed is sustaining that income without credit problems worsening.
Read net interest income alongside loan quality. If income holds and past-due or nonperforming loans and credit-loss provisions do not worsen, First Fed is still covering funding costs with interest from loans and investments. If income weakens or problem loans and provisions rise, funding costs, borrower stress, or both are squeezing the bank’s earnings.
Fed Interest Rate Decision
For First Northwest, the Fed’s policy rate—the rate guiding borrowing costs across the economy—affects what First Fed pays for deposits and borrowings versus earns on loans and investments, as well as demand for mortgages it sells to investors.
Expected4.0%Last release4.0%
If it comes in above expectations
If rates rise more than expected, First Fed may pay more for deposits and floating-rate funding before yields on its longer-duration assets catch up, squeezing net interest income—the interest earned minus interest paid; higher borrowing costs may also reduce mortgage originations and related fees.
If it comes in below expectations
If rates rise less than expected or fall, First Fed may face less pressure to raise deposit and borrowing costs, supporting the gap between funding costs and loan and investment yields; cheaper borrowing may also support mortgage demand and related fees.