TCBS in three months: buy, wait or sell?
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Texas Community Bancshares conducts its business through its wholly owned Broadstreet Bank, SSB. The bank gathers deposits from individuals and businesses around its offices and lends mainly against residential and commercial property, construction projects and land. Home mortgages are its largest loan category. It also makes some residential loans in Dallas–Fort Worth and smaller amounts of municipal, business and consumer loans.
The bank generally keeps the loans it makes rather than selling them, collecting interest from borrowers over time. Deposits provide its main funding, supplemented by operating funds and borrowings from the Federal Home Loan Bank of Dallas. It also earns interest on securities and charges service fees. Earnings depend primarily on the interest it receives exceeding what it pays for funding, tying the business closely to deposit costs and its largely local real estate lending.
Banking law limits how much Broadstreet Bank can lend to any one borrower. The parent company receives most of its own income through dividends from the bank, and banking laws and regulations restrict those payments.
The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.
Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.
Third Coast Bancshares and Texas Community Bancshares’ Broadstreet Bank both use deposits to fund Texas loans, so loan demand and the interest paid to depositors matter to both. Watch Third Coast’s interest income from loans to small and medium-sized businesses and professionals alongside its deposit costs for a comparison with Broadstreet’s lending spread.
Bogota Financial Corp. shares Broadstreet Bank’s exposure to the cost of funding property loans: both take public deposits and also borrow from a Federal Home Loan Bank to lend to residential and commercial property borrowers. Watch Bogota’s deposit and borrowing costs against its residential mortgage income to gauge the same funding pressure facing Texas Community Bancshares.
ECB Bancorp’s Everett Co-operative Bank and Broadstreet Bank both turn public deposits into residential, commercial property and construction loans and hold mortgage-related securities, giving Texas Community Bancshares a comparison for property-loan spreads and credit losses. Watch Everett’s construction and land loan losses alongside the interest it earns on those loans and pays on deposits.
Winchester Bancorp and Broadstreet Bank both rely on deposits to fund lending concentrated in residential mortgages, commercial property and construction, so property-loan yields and deposit costs matter to both. Winchester’s residential mortgage losses offer a comparison for Texas Community Bancshares’ largest loan category, though Winchester lends primarily in Massachusetts rather than Texas.
Marathon Bancorp and Texas Community Bancshares’ Broadstreet Bank are small deposit-funded banks whose loans are mostly secured by residential and commercial property, making property credit losses important to both. Watch Marathon’s commercial property and multifamily loan losses, while noting that Broadstreet’s largest loan category is one- to four-family housing.
Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. earningsTCBX
Third Coast Bancshares’ report will show whether interest from loans to small businesses and professionals keeps pace with deposit costs, offering Texas Community Bancshares a read on the spread economics of Texas deposit-funded lending.
Read Third Coast Bancshares’ loan interest income alongside its deposit costs. Loan income holding up relative to deposit costs suggests room for Texas banks to earn a spread on deposit-funded lending; loan income lagging those costs points to pressure on the same funding-and-lending economics at Texas Community Bancshares.
Fed Interest Rate Decision
Texas Community Bancshares earns most of its income from the difference between interest on its loans and securities and interest paid on deposits and FHLB borrowings, so Fed rate decisions can change both sides of that spread.
Expected4.0%Last release4.0%
If it comes in above expectations
Higher rates can raise what Broadstreet Bank pays on deposits and FHLB borrowings; if those funding costs rise faster than interest earned on its loans and securities, the Bank’s net interest income may be squeezed.
If it comes in below expectations
Lower rates can ease Broadstreet Bank’s deposit and FHLB borrowing costs, potentially supporting net interest income if its funding costs fall more than yields on its loans and securities.