Stock daily read

What happened with TCBS today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

TCBS in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Texas Community Bancshares conducts its business through its wholly owned Broadstreet Bank, SSB. The bank gathers deposits from individuals and businesses around its offices and lends mainly against residential and commercial property, construction projects and land. Home mortgages are its largest loan category. It also makes some residential loans in Dallas–Fort Worth and smaller amounts of municipal, business and consumer loans.

The bank generally keeps the loans it makes rather than selling them, collecting interest from borrowers over time. Deposits provide its main funding, supplemented by operating funds and borrowings from the Federal Home Loan Bank of Dallas. It also earns interest on securities and charges service fees. Earnings depend primarily on the interest it receives exceeding what it pays for funding, tying the business closely to deposit costs and its largely local real estate lending.

Banking law limits how much Broadstreet Bank can lend to any one borrower. The parent company receives most of its own income through dividends from the bank, and banking laws and regulations restrict those payments.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in TCBS’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

TCBS says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Third Coast Bancshares and Texas Community Bancshares’ Broadstreet Bank both use deposits to fund Texas loans, so loan demand and the interest paid to depositors matter to both. Watch Third Coast’s interest income from loans to small and medium-sized businesses and professionals alongside its deposit costs for a comparison with Broadstreet’s lending spread.

  • Bogota Financial Corp. shares Broadstreet Bank’s exposure to the cost of funding property loans: both take public deposits and also borrow from a Federal Home Loan Bank to lend to residential and commercial property borrowers. Watch Bogota’s deposit and borrowing costs against its residential mortgage income to gauge the same funding pressure facing Texas Community Bancshares.

  • ECB Bancorp’s Everett Co-operative Bank and Broadstreet Bank both turn public deposits into residential, commercial property and construction loans and hold mortgage-related securities, giving Texas Community Bancshares a comparison for property-loan spreads and credit losses. Watch Everett’s construction and land loan losses alongside the interest it earns on those loans and pays on deposits.

  • Winchester Bancorp and Broadstreet Bank both rely on deposits to fund lending concentrated in residential mortgages, commercial property and construction, so property-loan yields and deposit costs matter to both. Winchester’s residential mortgage losses offer a comparison for Texas Community Bancshares’ largest loan category, though Winchester lends primarily in Massachusetts rather than Texas.

  • Marathon Bancorp and Texas Community Bancshares’ Broadstreet Bank are small deposit-funded banks whose loans are mostly secured by residential and commercial property, making property credit losses important to both. Watch Marathon’s commercial property and multifamily loan losses, while noting that Broadstreet’s largest loan category is one- to four-family housing.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. earningsTCBX

    Third Coast Bancshares’ report will show whether interest from loans to small businesses and professionals keeps pace with deposit costs, offering Texas Community Bancshares a read on the spread economics of Texas deposit-funded lending.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Texas Community Bancshares earns most of its income from the difference between interest on its loans and securities and interest paid on deposits and FHLB borrowings, so Fed rate decisions can change both sides of that spread.