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What happened with HIPO today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

HIPO in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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  • 3-month target price
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Company

Company overview

Hippo Holdings Inc. serves individuals and businesses primarily in the United States through regulated insurance subsidiaries, including Spinnaker. Homeowners insurance accounts for most of the premiums it retains and earns, alongside renters and commercial coverage. Policyholders pay premiums for protection, and Hippo bears the claims costs on the portion of insurance risk it keeps.

Hippo also supplies the licensed insurers, capital and access to reinsurance that insurance agencies need to run their programs. It supports both its own agency and outside managing general agencies, known as MGAs, earning fees and commissions for insurance capacity, policy placement and servicing. It transfers much of the risk from most outside programs to reinsurers while selectively retaining exposure. Premium revenue is larger than its fee and commission income.

The business depends on pricing coverage to meet claims costs and on available reinsurance and sufficient regulatory capital. A large portion of its business comes from California and Texas, making catastrophe exposure in those states important. State rules limit which products Hippo can sell and can restrict rate increases, policy nonrenewals and withdrawal from unprofitable business.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in HIPO’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
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Moat

HIPO says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
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Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Palomar Holdings, Inc. competes with Hippo by providing the licensed insurers behind personal and commercial policies, including policies issued for other insurance programs, while keeping selected risks itself. Both operate in admitted and surplus-lines markets; Palomar’s Fronting premiums are a useful comparison for Hippo’s carrier-platform business.

  • Lemonade competes with Hippo for homeowners and renters who buy insurance priced and sold using technology. Watch Lemonade’s customer acquisition and retention in those products as a comparison for Hippo’s home-insurance distribution.

  • Porch Group, Inc. overlaps with Hippo in managing homeowners underwriting and earning commissions and service fees, but the exchange Porch manages belongs to policyholders, not Porch. Its fees for underwriting and policy renewals offer a comparison for Hippo’s insurance-service revenue rather than its retained insurance risk.

  • Allstate competes directly with Hippo for homeowners and renters, with established agency and direct channels and broader options to bundle home coverage with other insurance. Watch its home and renters product rollout for the competing coverage choices Hippo’s customers face.

  • Travelers competes with Hippo for homeowners and also sells businesses property and casualty coverage, overlapping Hippo’s expansion into commercial insurance. Its commercial pricing and underwriting profitability provide a comparison for the business Hippo is building beyond home insurance.

  • HERITAGE INSURANCE HOLDINGS INC and Hippo both collect premiums to insure residential property, share exposure to storm claims, and overlap in California and other U.S. markets. Heritage’s residential storm losses are worth comparing with Hippo’s catastrophe claims, without assuming their geographic exposure is the same.

  • HCI Group, Inc. and Hippo both earn premiums from homeowners insurance, so residential pricing and catastrophe claims matter to both. HCI’s homeowners claims provide a comparison for Hippo’s property risks, though HCI principally insures Florida properties.

  • Universal and Hippo both need homeowners’ premiums to cover claims and operating costs. Universal’s homeowners underwriting profit—what remains after claims, policy acquisition and operating expenses—is a concrete comparison for Hippo’s progress toward profitable underwriting.

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  • Hanover overlaps with Hippo in insuring individuals and businesses and supporting insurance sold through agents authorized to manage programs, or MGAs. Its Hanover Programs business is the closer comparison for Hippo’s partner-program growth, rather than Hanover’s mainly independent-agent sales overall.

  • Assurant’s Global Housing business competes with Hippo in selling homeowners and renters insurance through business partners that reach consumers. Watch its Homeowners and Renters business for a comparison with Hippo’s partner-supported home-insurance sales, rather than Assurant’s device-protection business.

  • United Fire Group Inc. overlaps with Hippo in insuring businesses’ property and liability risks and letting specialist agents manage underwriting through MGA programs. Its delegated-underwriting products provide a comparison for the commercial program relationships driving Hippo’s growth.

  • Hartford competes with Hippo in collecting premiums from U.S. businesses for property and casualty coverage, a growing part of Hippo’s portfolio. Hartford’s Business Insurance earned premiums are the relevant revenue line to compare with Hippo’s commercial expansion, not its group benefits or investment products.

Agenda

tomorrowThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced

    UNIVERSAL INSURANCE HLDG, INC. earningsUVE

    Universal's homeowners underwriting profit will show whether premiums cover claims and operating costs in a comparable line, giving readers a reference point for Hippo's underwriting.

in 5 daysMon, Oct 26

  1. Time to be announced

    The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. earningsHIG

    Hartford's Business Insurance earned premiums will show how the U.S. commercial insurance business is changing, a market reference for Hippo's commercial expansion.

in 7 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    HERITAGE INSURANCE HOLDINGS INC earningsHRTG

    Heritage's residential storm losses will show the catastrophe-claim pressure another home insurer faces and provide a comparison for Hippo's catastrophe claims.

  2. Time to be announced

    The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. earningsTHG

    Hanover's Programs business will show whether insurance sold through program partners is expanding or contracting, a comparison for Hippo's growth through MGA relationships.

in 8 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Hippo Holdings Inc. earningsThis company

    Hippo's report will show whether premiums earned from home, renters and commercial policies leave an underwriting profit after claims and underwriting costs.

in 14 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    The Allstate Corporation earningsALL

    Allstate's home and renters product rollout will show what competing coverage choices Hippo faces when seeking customers.

  2. Time to be announced

    Porch Group, Inc. earningsPRCH

    Porch's fees for underwriting and policy renewals will show how insurance-service revenue is changing, a comparison for Hippo's service and fee income.

in 15 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    Palomar Holdings, Inc. earningsPLMR

    Palomar's Fronting premiums will show how much premium flows through its carrier platform, a comparison for Hippo's insurance platform business.