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What happened with PLMR today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

PLMR in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
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Company

Company overview

Palomar Holdings serves individuals and businesses seeking coverage for risks such as earthquake damage, property losses and liability claims. Earthquake, casualty and other property coverage account for most of its premiums. Customers generally buy through agents, brokers or insurance program administrators, which bring business to Palomar’s insurance subsidiaries. Premiums retained after paying reinsurers provide most of its revenue.

Palomar also lets insurance partners use its licensed insurers to issue policies for their own programs, earning fees for this service, known as fronting. It transfers part of its premiums and insured losses to reinsurers to limit the risk it keeps and support additional underwriting. It also earns investment income, mainly from bonds held while premiums await use for claims and expenses.

California is its largest market exposure. Distribution also depends heavily on a few program administrators: its largest, Arrowhead General Insurance Agency, sells the Value Select Residential Earthquake program, which supplies most of Palomar’s residential earthquake premiums. The business depends on obtaining reinsurance on workable terms, but Palomar remains responsible to policyholders if reinsurers fail to pay. State regulators must approve rates and policy forms for its admitted insurance products; its excess and surplus products do not require those individual-state approvals.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in PLMR’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
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Moat

PLMR says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
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  • Moderate
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  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Palomar’s substantial earthquake business depends on competition with the California Earthquake Authority and on the cost and availability of insurance that covers catastrophe losses for insurers—catastrophe reinsurance.

  • RLI Corp. competes with Palomar for specialty property insurance premiums, and both also sell specialty casualty coverage. RLI’s pricing and coverage for distinctive property risks are the closest points of comparison for Palomar.

  • Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. competes with Palomar to insure businesses whose risks standard policies do not adequately cover, selling tailored coverage through both state-approved and excess-and-surplus channels. Watch its pricing and risk selection in these underserved commercial markets rather than treating it as an earthquake-insurance comparison.

  • Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. competes with Palomar for specialty property and casualty customers reached through insurance brokers, focusing on unusual or hard-to-insure U.S. risks. Its commercial property and small-business casualty premiums offer concrete comparisons for Palomar’s commercial business.

  • Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. competes with Palomar to insure businesses against specialty liability risks, a growing part of Palomar’s business: casualty rose from 15.3% of gross written premiums in 2024 to 26.8% in 2025. Bowhead’s casualty premiums are the most relevant line to watch, rather than its professional or healthcare liability business.

  • W.R. Berkley Corporation competes with Palomar for businesses buying specialty property and casualty insurance through its locally managed, specialized insurers. Its commercial insurance operations are the relevant comparison, not the separate business that insures other insurers’ risks.

  • American Financial Group, Inc. competes directly with Palomar for federal crop insurance customers and also sells specialized commercial coverage to businesses. Its federal crop business is the relevant comparison for a line that supplied 12.2% of Palomar’s gross written premiums in 2025.

  • Chubb Limited competes with Palomar for federal crop insurance customers, making that business more relevant to Palomar than Chubb’s broad insurance portfolio. Palomar’s crop gross written premiums grew from $116.239 million in 2024 to $247.547 million in 2025, increasing the importance of this rivalry.

  • Markel Group Inc. overlaps with Palomar in specialty insurance and in issuing policies for other insurance programs using licensed carriers, known as fronting. Watch Markel Insurance’s underwriting and fronting business rather than group-wide results, which also include substantial noninsurance businesses.

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  • Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. competes with Palomar through Hamilton Select, which insures hard-to-place U.S. casualty risks for small and midsized customers. Hamilton Select is the closest comparison for Palomar’s casualty business; the wider Hamilton group also takes catastrophe risk, so its overall results reflect more than this rivalry.

  • James River Group Holdings, Inc. competes with Palomar’s rapidly growing specialty casualty business by selling businesses both primary liability coverage and extra coverage above it. Watch its pricing discipline: James River says it will reduce premiums written when prices or policy terms are inadequate.

  • Arch Capital Group Ltd competes with Palomar for U.S. specialty insurance customers through both state-approved policies and coverage written outside that approval framework. Its U.S. specialty insurance business is the relevant comparison, rather than worldwide results that also include reinsurance and mortgage insurance.

  • Hippo Holdings Inc. competes with Palomar to let firms that manage and underwrite insurance programs—MGAs—use licensed insurers to launch or expand those programs, through both state-approved and excess-and-surplus coverage. Hippo’s provision of licenses, capital and reinsurance access is the relevant business to watch against Palomar’s carrier-access fees.

  • Kestrel Group, Ltd. competes directly with Palomar to help insurance program managers and underwriting agencies issue policies through licensed carriers, a service known as fronting. Watch Kestrel’s Program Services revenue, which comes from charging for carrier-network access and support, rather than its legacy reinsurance business.

Agenda

tomorrowTue, Oct 20

  1. Time to be announced

    Chubb Limited earningsCB

    Chubb's report will offer a read on federal crop insurance, where it competes with Palomar for customers.

in 3 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced

    Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. earningsKNSL

    Kinsale's report will show how premiums and underwriting are changing in commercial property and small-business casualty, markets that overlap with Palomar's commercial business.

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Palomar earns income from fixed-maturity bonds as they pay interest, while Fed rate changes can also raise the cost of its variable-rate borrowings.

in 17 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Palomar Holdings, Inc. earningsThis company

    Palomar's report will show how much of its newly written business becomes earned premium after reinsurance and how much claims and expenses consume.

in 23 daysWed, Nov 11

  1. Time to be announced

    Kestrel Group, Ltd. earningsKG

    Kestrel Group's report will show whether program managers' demand for access to licensed insurers is changing, a business that overlaps with Palomar's fronting services.