Stock daily read

What happened with AIZ today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

AIZ in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Most of Assurant’s revenue comes from Global Lifestyle, which helps mobile carriers, retailers and vehicle dealers offer protection to their customers. Assurant covers specified losses or repair costs for phones, electronics, appliances and vehicles, collects premiums, and handles claims. Business clients also pay fees for running protection programs and related services. In mobile, those services extend from technical support and repairs to trade-ins, refurbishment and resale of used devices.

Its smaller Global Housing business mainly insures homes, including properties whose owners have let their insurance lapse. Assurant tracks insurance coverage for mortgage lenders and servicers; if it cannot verify coverage, the servicer buys a policy to protect the property. Global Housing also sells renters insurance, primarily through property managers and other partners.

Both businesses receive a substantial share of revenue from a few clients. Mobile carriers and cable operators are particularly important to Global Lifestyle, so retaining these distribution relationships matters to the flow of premiums and service fees.

Earnings depend on pricing coverage to meet claims and service costs, as well as investment income from a portfolio held mainly in bonds and other fixed-maturity securities. Insurance regulators review rates and can require reductions, limiting Assurant’s pricing freedom.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in AIZ’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

AIZ says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Allstate competes with Assurant for consumers buying protection plans, vehicle protection through dealers, and homeowners and renters insurance. Watch Allstate’s Protection Plans and Dealer Services businesses for competition in the products Assurant sells through its partners.

  • CNA Financial Corporation’s warranty operations compete with Assurant to sell customers coverage for vehicle repair costs—vehicle service contracts—and related protection products through dealers.

  • Old Republic International Corporation’s automotive warranty business competes with Assurant for customers buying coverage for mechanical-breakdown repairs through automotive distribution partners, sold as vehicle service contracts.

  • Travelers and Assurant both face residential property losses and changing home insurance prices: Travelers sells homeowners coverage, while Assurant also covers homes when mortgage servicers arrange insurance for owners who lack it. Watch Travelers’ homeowners pricing and claims costs for context on Assurant’s housing business, where weather and water claims affect results.

Agenda

in 2 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced

    Old Republic International Corporation earningsORI

    Old Republic International’s automotive warranty business sells vehicle service contracts through auto partners and competes with Assurant for the same customers, so its activity and claims show the market’s demand and pressure.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Assurant, Inc. earningsThis company

    Assurant earns from mobile-device protection and housing insurance, and this report will show whether growth in those businesses is reaching segment earnings.