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What happened with CHKP today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

CHKP in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Check Point Software Technologies helps businesses and service providers protect their networks, cloud systems and devices from cyberattacks. Its Infinity security architecture brings these protections together. Security gateways combine hardware and software to control network traffic and block threats, using threat information from its ThreatCloud AI system. These appliances and internet security products, together with their related services, account for most of its revenue.

Customers pay for products and licenses, then for access to security services and for continued upgrades, technical support and hardware support. Security subscriptions are the largest revenue category; together with software updates and maintenance, they contribute substantially more revenue than product and license sales. Check Point mainly reaches customers through distributors, which sell to resellers and service providers that supply the end users.

A small group of distributors accounts for much of its sales, so Check Point depends on those partners to keep buying and selling its offerings. Their contracts require no minimum purchases and allow them to sell competing products. Encryption in certain products also limits international sales: exports from the United States require a license or an applicable exception, and some destinations and buyers are prohibited.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in CHKP’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

CHKP says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Fortinet competes directly with Check Point for enterprise purchases of security gateways and platforms that combine networking with protection. Watch Fortinet's secure-networking business for signs of competition facing Check Point's gateways.

  • Palo Alto Networks competes with Check Point for enterprises bringing network, cloud and endpoint protection onto one platform. Its progress replacing customers' separate security products is the development to watch for Check Point's Infinity platform.

  • Zscaler competes with Check Point's network-security and Zero Trust offerings by selling cloud subscriptions that check users and devices before allowing access to applications. Watch adoption among large enterprises and government agencies, customers buying this alternative approach to secure access.

  • Netskope, Inc. competes for the enterprise security spending that Check Point serves, offering a cloud-delivered platform for secure access and data protection against Check Point's network and cloud security.

  • Cisco competes with Check Point for enterprise purchases of firewalls and security subscriptions, overlapping directly with Check Point's security gateways and subscription offerings.

  • CrowdStrike competes with Check Point for enterprise spending on endpoint and cloud protection through subscriptions to its Falcon platform. Watch customers adding Falcon modules: its sensor reuses collected data across security functions without requiring extra sensors.

  • SentinelOne competes with Check Point for enterprise purchases of endpoint and cloud-security platforms. Its Singularity tiers extend from basic endpoint protection to broader cloud and identity security, so watch demand for those broader offerings.

  • Cloudflare competes with Check Point for business spending on cloud-delivered application protection and secure enterprise access. Watch customers adding products to Cloudflare's application-services suite, which lets them start with one product and expand over time.

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  • Microsoft competes for enterprise protection spending through Defender and email-security offerings that overlap with Check Point's endpoint, cloud and email protection.

  • Tenable competes for enterprise spending on finding and prioritizing security weaknesses—the exposure-management work supporting Check Point's CTEM growth. Watch demand for Tenable One, which helps enterprises identify weaknesses and decide what to fix first.

  • Rapid7 competes with Check Point for enterprise budgets to manage security exposures and protect against cloud threats. Watch its Command Platform, which combines finding weaknesses with detecting and responding to threats—the same spending areas Check Point addresses.

  • Qualys competes with Check Point for enterprise security teams' purchases of cloud protection and tools to identify and reduce security exposures. Watch customers expanding their Qualys Cloud Apps subscriptions into cloud security and risk remediation.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    Fortinet, Inc. earningsFTNT

    Fortinet's report will show how demand for secure-networking products is holding up in the security-gateway market where it competes directly with Check Point.

  2. Time to be announced

    Tenable Holdings, Inc. earningsTENB

    Tenable's report will show whether enterprises are spending more to find and prioritize security weaknesses, a market connected to Check Point's exposure-management push.

  3. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    The Fed’s decision on short-term interest rates matters to Check Point because it can change the interest earned on its cash, deposits and fixed-income investments, an important source of net income.

in 13 daysMon, Nov 2

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Check Point Software Technologies Ltd earningsThis company

    Security subscriptions are Check Point's largest revenue stream, and this report will show whether they can keep driving growth while the business holds its operating margin.

in 29 daysWed, Nov 18

  1. Time to be announced

    Palo Alto Networks, Inc. earningsPANW

    Palo Alto Networks' report will show whether enterprises are replacing separate network, cloud, and endpoint protections with one platform, a contest that directly involves Check Point's Infinity platform.

in 35 daysTue, Nov 24

  1. Time to be announced

    Zscaler, Inc. earningsZS

    Zscaler's report will show whether large enterprises and government agencies are adopting cloud subscriptions that control application access, an alternative competing for spending with Check Point's network security products.

in 42 daysTue, Dec 1

  1. Time to be announced

    CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. earningsCRWD

    CrowdStrike's report will show whether customers keep adding security modules to Falcon, signaling demand for bundled endpoint and cloud protection that overlaps with Check Point's business.