Stock daily read

What happened with TCBK today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

TCBK in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Trico Bancshares is the holding company for Tri Counties Bank, which serves individuals and businesses mainly in California. Customers deposit money with the bank and borrow to finance property, business needs and personal spending. The bank uses deposits and other funding to make loans and hold investment securities. Borrowers and securities issuers pay it interest; after funding costs, this supplies most of its revenue. Banking service fees provide a smaller source of income.

Commercial real estate makes up most of its lending, and nearly all its loans are secured by real estate, largely in California. The business therefore depends on borrowers’ income, property operations and California property values. It also needs to retain deposits at costs that leave room to earn on loans and investments, although no single depositor or group supplies a material share of deposits.

Banking rules require adequate capital and can restrict lending, expansion and dividends. The holding company relies on distributions from the bank to meet its commitments, and those distributions are legally restricted.

Read allShow less
Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in TCBK’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

TCBK says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Community West Bancshares competes with Trico Bancshares through their banks for business borrowers and deposits in overlapping Central California markets. Both collect deposits and lend to businesses, so Community West Bank’s loan and deposit pricing is worth watching for pressure on Tri Counties Bank.

  • CVB Financial Corp’s Citizens Business Bank competes with Trico Bancshares’ Tri Counties Bank for California businesses’ deposits and borrowing, and both face the state’s commercial-property credit cycle. Watch its business deposit competition and commercial-property lending alongside Tri Counties Bank’s.

  • Banner Corp.’s Banner Bank competes with Trico Bancshares’ Tri Counties Bank for California business loans and deposits; both earn interest from borrowers and pay interest to depositors. Watch the gap between Banner’s lending income and deposit costs, because the same interest-spread economics drive TriCo’s largest revenue source.

  • Hope Bancorp, Inc.’s Bank of Hope competes with Trico Bancshares’ Tri Counties Bank for California commercial borrowers and deposits, though Hope also serves substantial markets elsewhere. Both use customer deposits to fund lending, so watch Hope’s California commercial and commercial-real-estate loans rather than treating its nationwide results as a direct read on TriCo.

  • S&T Bancorp Inc is a useful comparison for Trico Bancshares’ loan growth and funding pressure: both run similarly sized banks that take deposits and lend to individuals and smaller businesses, though S&T Bank operates in Pennsylvania and Ohio. Watch S&T’s lending growth alongside the cost of retaining deposits to gauge the pressures facing this banking model.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    Banner Corp. earningsBANR

    Banner Corp.'s report will show how much room its lending income has over deposit costs at another California bank, a useful read on the spread economics that drive TriCo Bancshares' earnings.

  2. Time to be announced

    CVB Financial Corp earningsCVBF

    CVB Financial's report will show whether credit conditions in California commercial-property lending are weakening, offering context for TriCo Bancshares' sizable commercial real-estate loan book.

in 2 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Trico Bancshares earningsThis company

    TriCo Bancshares earns most of its revenue from interest on loans and investments, less the cost of deposits and borrowings; this report will show whether that spread holds up and credit losses stay contained.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    TriCo earns most of its revenue from the spread between interest on loans and securities and the cost of deposits and borrowings, so Fed rate decisions can change what the bank earns and pays.