Stock daily read

What happened with TCBI today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

TCBI in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. serves mainly businesses through Texas Capital Bank, alongside securities services through Texas Capital Securities. Customer deposits supply most of the funding for its loans and investments. Most revenue comes from the interest it earns after subtracting interest paid on deposits and borrowings. Customers also pay fees for services such as investment banking, advice and deposit accounts.

Business lending is central to the bank. It also finances property and buys short-term interests in mortgages from unrelated loan originators, then typically sells those interests soon afterward. These mortgage-finance activities and other national businesses extend its reach beyond Texas, but its core business lending remains heavily tied to companies based or operating in the state.

Earnings depend on commercial customers repaying their loans, retaining deposits and the gap between lending rates and funding costs. Mortgage-finance demand also changes with interest rates and housing activity. Regulatory capital requirements constrain lending and expansion. The parent company relies chiefly on bank dividends and external borrowing for its own cash needs, and banking rules can limit those dividends.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in TCBI’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

TCBI says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Prosperity Bancshares competes with Texas Capital for Texas business loans and deposits, and both fund mortgage lenders before their loans are sold. Watch Prosperity’s Warehouse Purchase Program, which supplies cash while lenders close one-to-four-family home loans and await sales to investors, for a read on demand facing Texas Capital’s mortgage-finance business.

  • CUSTOMERS BANCORP INC’s Customers Bank competes with Texas Capital nationally in mortgage finance and specialized business lending, with both using relationship managers and digital deposit channels. Customers’ mortgage-finance lending offers a comparison for Texas Capital’s demand, while deposits attracted by its round-the-clock business payments platform, cubiX, show another way to compete for low-cost funding.

  • BOK Financial Corp’s Bank of Texas competes directly with Texas Capital for midsized businesses in major Texas cities, lending them money, managing their cash and taking their deposits.

  • First Financial Bankshares Inc shares Texas Capital’s exposure to Texas business loan demand and deposit competition, but focuses more on small and midsized communities. Its loan demand and deposit pricing offer a view of Texas banking conditions outside Texas Capital’s main urban markets.

  • Southside Bancshares, Inc. competes with Texas Capital for business loans and deposits in Dallas–Fort Worth, Austin and Houston. Its lending for residential and commercial construction is worth watching alongside Texas Capital’s financing of developers and homebuilders.

  • Home BancShares, Inc. competes with Texas Capital through Centennial Bank’s nationwide lending to businesses and commercial-property borrowers, including from its Dallas office. Watch loans made by its Centennial CFG platform rather than the whole bank for the closest comparison with Texas Capital’s business and property lending.

  • Business First Bancshares, Inc.’s b1BANK competes with Texas Capital for business borrowers and banking relationships in Dallas–Fort Worth and Houston. Its loans to small and midsized businesses, developers and homebuilders provide a comparison for business borrowing and property activity in those shared markets.

  • International Bancshares Corp competes with Texas Capital to lend to Texas businesses and hold their deposits, though it leans more toward border markets and retail banking. Its small and midsized business lending is the closer comparison for Texas Capital than its growing emphasis on consumer banking and mortgages.

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  • Hancock Whitney Corporation competes with Texas Capital for Texas business banking customers through Houston and its other Texas operations, offering businesses loans, deposit accounts and cash-management services.

  • Trustmark Corp competes with Texas Capital for banking customers in Houston, but Houston is only one part of its broader southeastern banking and wealth-management business. Its Houston operations are the relevant comparison; companywide results also reflect markets outside Texas.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. earningsThis company

    Texas Capital earns much of its income from loans and securities, and this report will show whether funding costs and credit-loss provisions are eating into that income.

in 2 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced

    CUSTOMERS BANCORP INC earningsCUBI

    Customers Bancorp's report will show how its mortgage-finance lending and cubiX business-payments platform are drawing loan demand and deposits, offering a comparison for Texas Capital.

in 6 daysMon, Oct 26

  1. Time to be announced

    Business First Bancshares, Inc. earningsBFST

    Business First Bancshares' report will show how it is lending to businesses, developers and homebuilders in Dallas–Fort Worth and Houston, markets it shares with Texas Capital.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For Texas Capital, the Fed’s policy-rate decision tracks the benchmark cost of short-term borrowing, which can change what the bank earns on loans and pays for deposits and other funding, affecting net interest income.