Stock daily read

What happened with SNOW today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

SNOW in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Snowflake’s AI Data Cloud lets organizations bring their data together, analyze it, build applications and use AI. Customers can also share data with other organizations through the platform rather than copy and move it. These activities use the same integrated service, though customers can choose which capabilities they need.

Nearly all revenue comes from platform usage, with existing customers supplying most of it. Customers either commit to buying capacity, typically paying annually in advance, or pay monthly for on-demand use. What they spend depends on how much computing, storage and data transfer they consume, so signed contracts alone do not determine the pace of revenue.

Snowflake runs on AWS, Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud, with most of its business on AWS. These infrastructure suppliers also compete with it, and their pricing materially affects Snowflake’s costs. Data-localization and cross-border transfer rules constrain where data can be stored and moved. In China, law requires Snowflake to serve certain multinational customers’ Chinese affiliates through a Chinese-owned operating partner that controls parts of the platform and acts as the seller.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in SNOW’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

SNOW says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • TERADATA CORPORATION competes directly with Snowflake for large organizations paying to store and analyze data, through its enterprise data warehouse and analytics platform.

  • MongoDB competes more directly with Snowflake as Snowflake expands into databases that run applications: both sell managed cloud data platforms to enterprises. Watch adoption of MongoDB Atlas, which runs and manages customers’ databases in the cloud, for a read on demand in this overlapping market.

  • Microsoft both competes for Snowflake’s cloud data customers through Azure and sells Snowflake infrastructure to run its platform. Azure infrastructure pricing matters to Snowflake’s costs and gross margins.

  • Amazon’s AWS competes for Snowflake’s cloud data customers while also charging Snowflake for the infrastructure its platform uses. Watch AWS infrastructure pricing: it affects how much gross profit Snowflake keeps from customer usage revenue.

  • Alphabet’s Google Cloud competes with Snowflake for cloud data services while supplying the GCP infrastructure on which Snowflake runs. Changes in that infrastructure’s pricing affect Snowflake’s costs and gross margins.

  • Oracle competes with Snowflake for enterprises paying to manage their data, selling database and cloud analytics products that address those workloads.

  • Elastic N.V. and Snowflake both sell enterprises data platforms for analytics and AI, competing for parts of their search and data-processing work. Watch customers’ expanding use of Elastic Cloud, whose paid subscriptions are priced by resources, as a signal of demand for these platforms.

  • Datadog and Snowflake both have exposure to enterprises expanding or optimizing cloud workloads: customers pay Datadog to monitor applications and infrastructure, and Snowflake to process and store data. Datadog’s infrastructure and application monitoring business is the part to watch for that shared demand.

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  • Dynatrace, Inc. and Snowflake share exposure to enterprises’ growing cloud workloads and data volumes: Dynatrace sells a platform that consolidates monitoring and business data in Grail, while Snowflake charges for processing data for analytics and AI. Watch enterprise use of Grail for a view of demand to bring that data together.

Agenda

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Amazon.Com Inc earningsAMZN

    Amazon’s AWS charges Snowflake for cloud infrastructure and competes for enterprise cloud-data business, so its report can shed light on Snowflake’s serving costs and competitive pressure.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    Datadog, Inc. earningsDDOG

    Datadog earns revenue by monitoring companies’ cloud applications and infrastructure, giving Snowflake a read-through on demand for the cloud workloads that also generate data-processing needs.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    TERADATA CORPORATION earningsTDC

    Teradata competes directly with Snowflake for large organizations’ data-warehouse and analytics spending, so its report shows whether that shared market is active and how strong the rivalry may be.

in 43 daysWed, Dec 2

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Snowflake Inc. earningsThis company

    Snowflake recognizes most platform revenue as customers use its services, so this report will show whether rising customer usage is growing product revenue without eroding product margins.