PINE in three months: buy, wait or sell?
Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.
- Buy / Wait / Sell rating
- 3-month target price
- Bear · Base · Bull
- vs. the market
What happened with PINE today?
No read yet
Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.
Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.
Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. owns primarily freestanding retail properties and leases them to businesses under long-term contracts. Tenants generally pay property taxes, insurance and maintenance costs as well as rent—an arrangement called a triple-net lease. Rent supplies most of the company’s revenue. Most properties have a single tenant, so income from each location depends on that business continuing to meet its lease obligations; one tenant’s failure can affect several properties if it rents multiple locations.
The company also lends money for U.S. commercial real estate, including construction projects, and earns interest from borrowers. These loans generally have property or ownership interests in property-owning entities as collateral. Repayment typically depends on the financed property operating successfully, rather than on the borrower’s other income or assets.
Alpine has no employees and relies on a manager owned by CTO and on CTO personnel to select investments, manage properties and loans, and run its administration. As a real estate investment trust, or REIT, it must distribute most of its taxable income and meet rules governing its income and assets. These requirements limit the investments it can hold and can make it reliant on outside capital to fund acquisitions.
The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.
Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.
Watch Lowe’s as well as retail tenant credit and financing conditions: it supplied 10% of Alpine Income Property Trust’s income-property lease revenue in 2025.
Agree Realty Corporation and Alpine share exposure to retailer credit, property purchase yields and financing costs: both buy U.S. retail properties and collect rent under long-term leases that also make tenants pay property expenses. Agree’s rent from national and large regional retailers is the relevant line to watch.
NNN REIT, Inc. faces the same tenant-credit and property-financing pressures as Alpine: both buy freestanding, single-tenant properties and collect long-term rent while tenants cover property operating costs. NNN’s ability to finance and acquire these properties offers a view of the investment market Alpine also uses.
Realty Income Corporation and Alpine depend on creditworthy businesses paying long-term rent on freestanding commercial properties, usually alongside property expenses. Realty Income’s tenant rent and property acquisition yields are useful comparisons, though its European business gives it investment choices beyond Alpine’s U.S. market.
CTO Realty Growth, Inc. depends directly on Alpine’s dividends and equity value: at December 31, 2025, it owned 15.4% of Alpine’s common equity, including operating-partnership units redeemable for cash or shares. CTO also earns income from commercial properties and real-estate investments, so its Alpine dividend income—not all of CTO’s results—is the direct connection.
Dick’s Sporting Goods, Inc. is a direct source of Alpine’s rent, supplying 11% of its income-property lease revenue in 2025. Its sales of sports equipment, apparel and footwear through stores and online matter because store profitability supports its ability to pay Alpine.
Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. and Alpine both earn rent and provide real-estate financing to operating businesses, exposing them to tenant credit and financing costs. Essential’s rent and mortgage interest from middle-market service and experience businesses offer a different customer lens from Alpine’s mainly retail properties.
Getty Realty Corp. and Alpine both collect rent on freestanding retail properties while tenants pay property expenses, sharing exposure to tenant credit and property investment yields. Getty’s rent from convenience stores, car washes and automotive-service operators shows how those physical-location businesses are supporting lease payments.
Four Corners Property Trust, Inc. overlaps Alpine in collecting rent from retail properties under leases that shift property expenses to tenants, with restaurant tenants adding a distinct credit exposure. Watch Four Corners’ property rental revenue rather than sales from the restaurants it operates itself.
Broadstone Net Lease, Inc. competes with Alpine for single-tenant retail properties rented to businesses that also cover property expenses. Its retail rents and acquisitions are the closer comparison for Alpine; industrial properties account for the larger share of Broadstone’s rent.
Generation Income Properties Inc. and Alpine buy single-tenant retail properties and collect rent while tenants bear most or all property expenses, leaving both exposed to tenant credit and financing costs. Generation’s retail lease income is the relevant comparison, rather than its office and other property income.
W.P. Carey Inc. (REIT) overlaps Alpine in leasing single-tenant retail properties to businesses on long-term leases that shift property expenses to tenants. Its retail tenants’ credit and rent payments are the closer signal for Alpine, since W.P. Carey also collects rent from industrial and warehouse properties in the U.S. and Europe.
Global Net Lease, Inc. shares Alpine’s exposure to retail tenants paying rent under leases that shift property expenses to tenants. Its retail rental income is the useful comparison, not its overall results: industrial and office properties generate most of Global Net Lease’s rent.
Agree Realty Corporation earningsADC
Agree Realty Corporation’s report will show how rent from large retailers and financing costs are changing, two pressures that also shape Alpine Income Property Trust’s retail-property business.
Read Agree Realty’s retail rental income alongside its financing costs. Steady rent with contained costs would suggest that large retailers are paying and property investment conditions remain supportive; weaker rent or rising costs would point to a tighter tenant-credit and investment backdrop for Alpine, but would not show that Alpine’s own tenants are in trouble.
Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc earningsThis company
Alpine Income Property Trust earns income from property rent and commercial loans, and this report will show how each part is contributing.
Read lease income alongside interest income from commercial loans. Steady lease income with rising loan interest would show both businesses contributing; falling lease income with rising loan interest would mean lending is cushioning pressure on rentals, not that the property business has recovered.
CTO Realty Growth, Inc. earningsCTO
CTO Realty Growth owns Alpine Income Property Trust shares and redeemable partnership units, so any Alpine dividend income in CTO’s report shows how much that distribution contributes to CTO.
If CTO reports dividend income from Alpine separately, check whether that income holds steady. Steady or higher income means Alpine’s distributions continue to provide cash income to CTO; a decline means this income link has weakened, but does not by itself show that Alpine’s rents or property operations worsened. CTO’s other business income is not a substitute for this measure.
Fed Interest Rate Decision
For Alpine Income Property Trust, the Fed’s rate decision signals whether borrowing costs may rise or fall, affecting debt service and the cost of refinancing its Credit Facility and debt due in 2026 and 2027.
Expected4.0%Last release4.0%
If it comes in above expectations
Higher-than-expected rates could raise costs on debt that reprices and on new borrowing, putting pressure on cash available to service debt and fund Alpine’s property and loan businesses.
If it comes in below expectations
Lower-than-expected rates could reduce costs when debt reprices or Alpine borrows or refinances, leaving more cash for debt service and its property and loan businesses.
Retail Sales MoM (Oct)
Retail sales track how much consumers spend at stores, which matters to Alpine because retail tenants pay the rent that generates most of its income-property revenue.
Stronger retail sales suggest tenants may be better able to sustain their business and pay rent; weaker sales suggest greater strain on tenants, with possible consequences for rent collection and occupancy.
Dick's Sporting Goods, Inc. earningsDKS
Dick’s Sporting Goods’ store and online business supports its ability to pay rent; it contributed 11% of Alpine Income Property Trust’s income-property lease revenue in 2025, making its results relevant to that major rent source.
Read Dick’s Sporting Goods’ sales alongside its profitability. Strength in both would support its ability to keep paying rent and bolster the business behind this important rent source for Alpine; weakness in both would leave that tenant’s ability to pay less well supported, but would not prove that rent has fallen or that the tenant will default.