Stock daily read

What happened with ADC today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

ADC in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Agree Realty Corporation is a real estate investment trust, or REIT, that buys, develops and manages retail properties across the United States. It leases them mainly to national and large regional retailers. Rental income supplies most of its operating cash. Tenants typically pay monthly rent plus property taxes, insurance and maintenance—the arrangement known as a net lease.

Its tenant base is diversified, with no single retailer supplying a dominant share of rent. However, individual properties generally rely on one tenant. If that tenant leaves or stops paying, the property can lose its rental income while Agree Realty takes on operating costs and prepares it for another retailer.

Buying and developing more properties depends on access to debt and equity financing as well as operating cash. To retain REIT tax status, the company must meet income and asset rules that can restrict its investments, and it generally must distribute most of its taxable income to shareholders.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in ADC’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

ADC says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Realty Income competes with Agree Realty for retailers and freestanding property investments; both collect long-term rent while tenants generally pay property expenses. Watch Realty Income’s retail acquisitions for the investment opportunities the two pursue.

  • NNN REIT, Inc. follows the same property-and-rent model as Agree Realty: both acquire and develop freestanding retail properties, collecting long-term rent from tenants that also pay property expenses.

  • NetSTREIT Corp. pursues the same retailers and property investments as Agree Realty, acquiring and developing single-tenant retail properties whose tenants pay rent and property expenses. Watch its partnerships to build properties for specific tenants: NetSTREIT says these earn higher yields than acquisitions.

  • Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. uses a similar buy-and-lease model to Agree Realty, but provides long-term property financing to middle-market service businesses rather than primarily national retailers. Its service and experience-business rental income offers a different tenant lens on the same model, not a direct read on national retailers.

  • Getty Realty Corp. overlaps Agree Realty’s market for freestanding retail investments, renting convenience stores and automotive-related properties to operators that also pay property expenses. Its rent from convenience-store and car-wash operators is the line to watch for this narrower part of the retail property market.

  • Four Corners Property Trust, Inc. invests in the same retail property market as Agree Realty, collecting rent under leases that leave property expenses to tenants, but concentrates primarily on restaurants. Watch its property rental revenue rather than sales from the restaurants it operates for the closer comparison with Agree Realty.

  • W.P. Carey Inc. (REIT) shares Agree Realty’s long-term rental model, leasing single-tenant properties to businesses that also pay property expenses, but has broader industrial and international exposure. Separate its retail rents from industrial and warehouse rents when comparing results with Agree Realty; its properties are primarily in the United States and Europe.

  • Broadstone Net Lease, Inc. shares Agree Realty’s long-term property rental model, with business tenants paying rent and property expenses, but its sizable retail portfolio sits alongside a larger industrial business. Its retail rental income is the closer comparison with Agree Realty, rather than company-wide results dominated by industrial properties.

Agenda

tomorrowTue, Oct 20

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Agree Realty Corporation earningsThis company

    Agree Realty earns rent from long-term leases on retail properties, and this report will show whether rent growth from its expanding portfolio is holding up alongside occupancy.

in 2 daysWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    NetSTREIT Corp. earningsNTST

    NetSTREIT’s report will show whether its tenant-specific retail development partnerships are still producing higher yields than acquisitions in the market where it competes with Agree Realty.

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For Agree Realty, Fed rate decisions matter because higher rates can raise the cost of financing its net-leased retail properties and the acquisition yields it needs to make new purchases worthwhile.

in 29 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Retail Sales MoM (Oct)

    Retail sales show how much consumers spend at retailers, and that matters to Agree Realty because its national and regional retail tenants pay rent from businesses that can be strained when spending weakens.