ITW in three months: buy, wait or sell?
Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.
- Buy / Wait / Sell rating
- 3-month target price
- Bear · Base · Bull
- vs. the market
What happened with ITW today?
No read yet
Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.
Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.
Illinois Tool Works serves businesses that make products, operate commercial kitchens and carry out construction and maintenance. Automotive components, testing and electronics equipment, and commercial food equipment together account for most revenue; automotive is its largest business. Automakers and their parts suppliers buy components and fasteners made mainly to their specifications under long-term supply agreements.
Other customers pay for equipment and the supplies or services used with it. Restaurants, food retailers and institutional kitchens buy Hobart food equipment, while ITW also earns money from separately sold service contracts, repairs and parts. Industrial customers buy Instron and MTS testing systems and related consumables and software. Its other businesses supply welding equipment and consumables, construction fastening systems, maintenance chemicals and packaging equipment.
Most sales come from customers outside the United States. Individual businesses adapt products to key customers’ needs, while ITW focuses resources on its largest and most attractive opportunities and removes less profitable products and complexity.
The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.
Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.
Lincoln Electric competes with ITW’s Miller business for industrial fabricators’ and manufacturers’ spending on arc-welding equipment and consumables. Its welding sales to those customers offer a read on the market Miller serves.
ESAB Corporation competes directly with ITW for industrial fabrication customers buying welding equipment and consumables. Watch its news on product reliability, availability and aftermarket support—the factors ESAB says matter to these buyers.
Dover competes with ITW in equipment that codes and marks products and in commercial refrigeration, overlapping ITW’s Specialty Products and Food Equipment businesses serving industrial and food-service customers.
Stanley Black & Decker and ITW compete for overlapping industrial and building customers buying fastening systems and construction tools. Stanley Black & Decker’s Engineered Fastening results are the more focused line to watch for this overlap.
Nordson competes with ITW for manufacturers’ spending on systems that test and inspect production quality, including electronics manufacturing. Watch its testing and inspection business rather than treating all of Nordson’s equipment sales as a signal for ITW.
Ingersoll Rand and ITW draw on the same manufacturers’ factory investment and maintenance spending: Ingersoll Rand sells equipment such as compressors and pumps plus parts and services, while ITW sells welding and industrial equipment. Its industrial equipment and aftermarket sales offer a view of both new investment and upkeep demand.
RPM International, Inc. competes with ITW’s Polymers & Fluids business in specialty sealants and industrial protective coatings bought for maintenance and improvement work. RPM’s industrial corrosion-control products are a concrete area to watch for this overlap.
Graco shares ITW’s exposure to construction, renovation and industrial spending: contractors and manufacturers buy Graco’s coating-application equipment and ITW’s fastening systems and industrial products. Graco’s Contractor segment, which sells paint sprayers to homeowners and professional contractors, is a useful window on building and renovation demand.
Hillman Solutions Corp. competes with ITW to supply fasteners and anchors to national retail accounts. Watch Hillman’s pricing and in-store merchandising for these products: it identifies sourcing and price as the main competitive factors, with innovation and merchandising helping distinguish its offering.
Graco Inc earningsGGG
Graco’s Contractor business shows demand for paint-spraying equipment among homeowners and professional contractors, offering a read on renovation markets that also buy ITW construction products.
Read sales in Graco’s Contractor business alongside organic revenue in ITW’s Construction Products segment. Strength in both would point to firmer building and renovation demand; if Graco strengthens while ITW’s segment remains weak, their markets or product mix differ, so Graco’s growth would not prove an ITW recovery.
Dover Corporation earningsDOV
Dover’s performance in coding and marking and commercial refrigeration offers a read on markets that overlap with ITW’s Food Equipment and Specialty Products businesses.
Look for Dover’s results or commentary tied to coding and marking or commercial refrigeration, and compare them with organic revenue in ITW’s Specialty Products and Food Equipment segments. Strength on both sides would suggest firmer buying in overlapping industrial and food-service markets; if Dover is stronger while ITW’s related businesses lag, competition, product mix, or customer mix may matter more than overall demand.
Illinois Tool Works Inc. earningsThis company
ITW’s report will show whether organic sales growth is spreading across its businesses and whether operating margin is holding.
Read organic revenue by segment alongside operating margin. Growth across more segments with a steady margin would point to broader demand and efficiency initiatives continuing to offset cost pressure. Growth confined to a few segments alongside a falling margin would point to weakness elsewhere or costs outweighing those benefits.
Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc earningsLECO
Lincoln Electric’s welding business competes with ITW’s Welding segment for industrial customers, showing how those customers’ buying is changing.
Compare Lincoln Electric’s welding sales performance with organic revenue in ITW’s Welding segment. Strength in both would support improving demand for welding among industrial customers; if Lincoln Electric grows while ITW weakens, competition or product mix may matter more than the market’s overall demand.
Ingersoll Rand Inc. earningsIR
Ingersoll Rand’s equipment and aftermarket businesses show manufacturers’ spending on new equipment and upkeep, offering demand clues for ITW’s welding and industrial equipment.
Read Ingersoll Rand’s new-equipment performance alongside its aftermarket parts and services. Growth in both would point to support for factory investment and maintenance, a helpful demand backdrop for ITW’s manufacturing customers; weak equipment sales but steady aftermarket business would suggest customers are maintaining existing factories while possibly delaying new investment.
Hillman Solutions Corp. earningsHLMN
Hillman Solutions Corp. competes with ITW for retail fastener business, and its sales and pricing performance can show how tough that market is.
Watch Hillman Solutions Corp.’s fastener sales and its commentary on pricing and retail competition. Steady sales and pricing would suggest a reasonably supportive retail market; weakening sales or more aggressive price competition could pressure ITW’s overlapping fastener business, though the companies’ customers and product mixes are not identical.
Nordson Corp earningsNDSN
Nordson’s testing and inspection business competes for manufacturers’ quality-control spending, offering a read on ITW’s Test & Measurement and Electronics segment.
Focus on Nordson’s testing and inspection business rather than treating all its equipment sales as a signal, then compare it with organic revenue in ITW’s Test & Measurement and Electronics segment. Strength in both would suggest manufacturers are supporting quality-testing equipment spending; if Nordson strengthens while ITW lags, competition or product mix may explain more than overall market demand.
RPM International, Inc. earningsRPM
RPM International, Inc.’s industrial corrosion-control products compete with ITW’s Polymers & Fluids business for maintenance and improvement work, offering a read on demand in those markets.
Watch sales performance in RPM International, Inc.’s industrial corrosion-control business and compare it with organic revenue in ITW’s Polymers & Fluids segment. Improvement in both would suggest industrial customers are spending more on maintenance and improvement; if RPM strengthens while ITW remains weak, competition, product mix, or customer differences may be offsetting a better market.