Stock daily read

What happened with ITW today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

ITW in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Illinois Tool Works serves businesses that make products, operate commercial kitchens and carry out construction and maintenance. Automotive components, testing and electronics equipment, and commercial food equipment together account for most revenue; automotive is its largest business. Automakers and their parts suppliers buy components and fasteners made mainly to their specifications under long-term supply agreements.

Other customers pay for equipment and the supplies or services used with it. Restaurants, food retailers and institutional kitchens buy Hobart food equipment, while ITW also earns money from separately sold service contracts, repairs and parts. Industrial customers buy Instron and MTS testing systems and related consumables and software. Its other businesses supply welding equipment and consumables, construction fastening systems, maintenance chemicals and packaging equipment.

Most sales come from customers outside the United States. Individual businesses adapt products to key customers’ needs, while ITW focuses resources on its largest and most attractive opportunities and removes less profitable products and complexity.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in ITW’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

ITW says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Lincoln Electric competes with ITW’s Miller business for industrial fabricators’ and manufacturers’ spending on arc-welding equipment and consumables. Its welding sales to those customers offer a read on the market Miller serves.

  • ESAB Corporation competes directly with ITW for industrial fabrication customers buying welding equipment and consumables. Watch its news on product reliability, availability and aftermarket support—the factors ESAB says matter to these buyers.

  • Dover competes with ITW in equipment that codes and marks products and in commercial refrigeration, overlapping ITW’s Specialty Products and Food Equipment businesses serving industrial and food-service customers.

  • Stanley Black & Decker and ITW compete for overlapping industrial and building customers buying fastening systems and construction tools. Stanley Black & Decker’s Engineered Fastening results are the more focused line to watch for this overlap.

  • Nordson competes with ITW for manufacturers’ spending on systems that test and inspect production quality, including electronics manufacturing. Watch its testing and inspection business rather than treating all of Nordson’s equipment sales as a signal for ITW.

  • Ingersoll Rand and ITW draw on the same manufacturers’ factory investment and maintenance spending: Ingersoll Rand sells equipment such as compressors and pumps plus parts and services, while ITW sells welding and industrial equipment. Its industrial equipment and aftermarket sales offer a view of both new investment and upkeep demand.

  • RPM International, Inc. competes with ITW’s Polymers & Fluids business in specialty sealants and industrial protective coatings bought for maintenance and improvement work. RPM’s industrial corrosion-control products are a concrete area to watch for this overlap.

  • Graco shares ITW’s exposure to construction, renovation and industrial spending: contractors and manufacturers buy Graco’s coating-application equipment and ITW’s fastening systems and industrial products. Graco’s Contractor segment, which sells paint sprayers to homeowners and professional contractors, is a useful window on building and renovation demand.

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  • Hillman Solutions Corp. competes with ITW to supply fasteners and anchors to national retail accounts. Watch Hillman’s pricing and in-store merchandising for these products: it identifies sourcing and price as the main competitive factors, with innovation and merchandising helping distinguish its offering.

Agenda

in 2 daysWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    Graco Inc earningsGGG

    Graco’s Contractor business shows demand for paint-spraying equipment among homeowners and professional contractors, offering a read on renovation markets that also buy ITW construction products.

in 3 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced

    Dover Corporation earningsDOV

    Dover’s performance in coding and marking and commercial refrigeration offers a read on markets that overlap with ITW’s Food Equipment and Specialty Products businesses.

in 8 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Illinois Tool Works Inc. earningsThis company

    ITW’s report will show whether organic sales growth is spreading across its businesses and whether operating margin is holding.

  2. Time to be announced

    Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc earningsLECO

    Lincoln Electric’s welding business competes with ITW’s Welding segment for industrial customers, showing how those customers’ buying is changing.

in 10 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Ingersoll Rand Inc. earningsIR

    Ingersoll Rand’s equipment and aftermarket businesses show manufacturers’ spending on new equipment and upkeep, offering demand clues for ITW’s welding and industrial equipment.

in 14 daysMon, Nov 2

  1. Time to be announced

    Hillman Solutions Corp. earningsHLMN

    Hillman Solutions Corp. competes with ITW for retail fastener business, and its sales and pricing performance can show how tough that market is.

in 51 daysWed, Dec 9

  1. Time to be announced

    Nordson Corp earningsNDSN

    Nordson’s testing and inspection business competes for manufacturers’ quality-control spending, offering a read on ITW’s Test & Measurement and Electronics segment.

in 80 daysThu, Jan 7

  1. Time to be announced

    RPM International, Inc. earningsRPM

    RPM International, Inc.’s industrial corrosion-control products compete with ITW’s Polymers & Fluids business for maintenance and improvement work, offering a read on demand in those markets.