Stock daily read

What happened with LECO today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

LECO in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Lincoln Electric serves manufacturers and other industrial users that need to join or cut metal, from fabrication shops to automotive, energy and infrastructure businesses. It sells equipment and the filler metals consumed in welding, brazing and soldering, and builds automated systems for customers’ production lines. These consumables account for most revenue, with equipment and automation supplying the rest. Customers buy through industrial distributors and retailers or directly from the company; its welding operations in the Americas generate most sales.

The business depends on industrial activity and manufacturers’ spending on production capacity. When that spending slows, demand for welding and cutting products tends to weaken. Lincoln Electric serves a broad customer base rather than depending on one customer or a small group.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in LECO’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

LECO says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • ESAB Corporation competes with Lincoln Electric for fabrication customers worldwide, selling welding filler metals, welding and cutting equipment, robotics and gas-control products. Its sales of welding consumables and equipment offer a comparison for Lincoln Electric’s same product lines, though the two do not compete in every market.

  • Illinois Tool Works competes with Lincoln Electric to sell welding equipment to industrial fabricators, but its other industrial businesses make its overall results a less direct comparison. Watch its Welding segment rather than group sales for the closer read on Lincoln Electric’s equipment business.

  • Kennametal and Lincoln Electric both depend on metalworking activity and factory utilization: manufacturers buy Kennametal’s metal-cutting tools and wear components, and Lincoln Electric’s welding filler metals and fabrication equipment. Kennametal’s Metal Cutting sales provide a comparison for factory activity affecting Lincoln Electric’s consumables demand, not a direct forecast.

  • Nordson and Lincoln Electric both depend on manufacturers investing in production lines: Nordson sells systems that automatically apply materials such as adhesives and inspect quality, while Lincoln Electric automates joining and fabrication. Demand for Nordson’s automated production-line systems offers a comparison for the spending that supports Lincoln Electric’s automation sales.

  • Graco and Lincoln Electric both sell equipment to manufacturers investing in production processes—Graco for moving fluids and applying finishes, Lincoln Electric for welding. Graco also has substantial contractor exposure, so its overall results are not a pure comparison for Lincoln Electric’s factory-equipment demand.

Agenda

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc earningsThis company

    Lincoln Electric’s report will show whether customers are buying more of its welding and cutting products, or sales growth is coming mainly from higher prices, and whether the company can protect its margins.

  2. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Durable Goods Orders MoM (Sep)

    Durable goods orders track purchases of long-lasting goods and equipment; stronger orders can lift demand for Lincoln Electric’s welding consumables, equipment and automation sold to manufacturers and integrators.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    ESAB Corporation earningsESAB

    ESAB Corporation’s report will show whether customers are buying more or less welding consumables and equipment in product markets it shares with Lincoln Electric.

  2. Time to be announced

    Kennametal Inc. earningsKMT

    Kennametal’s Metal Cutting business offers a read on factory activity that helps frame demand for the welding products Lincoln Electric sells to manufacturers.

in 28 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. 9:15 AMET pre-market

    Industrial Production MoM (Oct)

    Industrial production and capacity use track factory, mine and utility output and how much capacity is in use; stronger output can increase demand for Lincoln Electric’s welding consumables, equipment and automation from industrial customers.

in 50 daysWed, Dec 9

  1. Time to be announced

    Nordson Corp earningsNDSN

    Nordson’s report will show whether manufacturers are still buying automated production-line systems, a useful demand comparison for Lincoln Electric’s automation business.