Stock daily read

What happened with HOOD today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

HOOD in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Robinhood Markets lets individual investors trade stocks, options and cryptocurrencies through mobile apps and the Robinhood Legend desktop platform. Its business remains concentrated in the United States. It also owns Bitstamp, a cryptocurrency exchange serving retail and institutional customers.

Most revenue comes from transactions, with options and cryptocurrencies contributing the largest shares. Market makers pay Robinhood for routing stock and options orders to them, while liquidity providers pay rebates on routed cryptocurrency orders. This is how commission-free trading can generate revenue. Interest is the next-largest source: Robinhood earns it from customer margin loans, cash balances, securities lending and its own cash and investments. Customers also pay recurring fees for Robinhood Gold, a smaller revenue source.

The business depends heavily on how much customers trade and deposit, especially its most active brokerage customers. Interest earnings also depend on rates and interest-earning balances. Robinhood relies on liquidity providers to accept orders and keep paying for them; many arrangements are not binding contracts. Services are limited to jurisdictions where it has authorization, and its broker-dealers must maintain regulatory capital and customer-protection reserves. It could also have to stop trading a supported cryptocurrency if a court or regulator classifies it as a security.

Read allShow less
Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in HOOD’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

HOOD says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Beyond the retail trading, customer balances and interest rates that drive Robinhood’s results, watch privately held Kalshi and Polymarket for competition in its growing prediction-market business.

  • Coinbase Global competes with Robinhood for retail crypto traders, with growing overlap in derivatives, stocks and prediction markets. Coinbase charges consumers trading fees; its consumer transaction revenue is the line to watch alongside Robinhood’s crypto revenue.

  • Webull competes with Robinhood for investors trading on their phones, and both earn payments for sending customer trades to firms that execute them. Watch Webull’s U.S. order-routing revenue, paid by market makers and exchange partners rather than through customer brokerage commissions.

  • Interactive Brokers competes with Robinhood for individuals trading stocks, options, futures and contracts on event outcomes through low-cost online platforms. Its automated brokerage executes and settles trades for individuals and institutions; watch its product and pricing news for competition with Robinhood’s expanding trading tools.

  • Charles Schwab competes with Robinhood for retail assets and trades, while both earn substantial interest revenue from client cash and interest-bearing balances. Schwab provides brokerage, banking and asset-management services; watch its net interest revenue alongside Robinhood’s exposure to customer balances and interest rates.

  • eToro Group Ltd. competes with Robinhood for individuals trading stocks and cryptoassets on digital investing platforms. eToro earns revenue from its users’ trading platform; watch its CopyTrader offering, which lets users copy another investor, as a different way to attract those customers.

  • SoFi Technologies competes with Robinhood for consumers using financial apps to invest, hold cash and use credit products.

  • Futu Holdings overlaps with Robinhood in online brokerage, lending customers money to trade and lending securities. Watch Futu’s margin-financing and securities-lending business alongside Robinhood’s interest earned on trading loans and net securities-lending revenue.

  • Gemini Space Station, Inc. competes with Robinhood for U.S. customers buying, selling and holding crypto, earning most of its revenue from trading fees. Its February 2026 plans to wind down operations in Europe and Australia and focus more resources on the U.S. are worth watching for that rivalry.

Show 6 moreShow less
  • Morgan Stanley’s E-Trade business competes with Robinhood for retail customers who manage their own brokerage accounts and trade options.

  • UP Fintech and Robinhood both depend on customers’ securities trading to generate transaction revenue through their digital brokerages. UP Fintech charges customers commissions based on trading volume or order size, so watch its commission revenue and rates when assessing the trading activity behind Robinhood’s stock and options revenue.

  • Bullish competes with Robinhood’s Bitstamp business by providing institutional customers an exchange for crypto spot and derivatives trading. Watch Bullish’s exchange products and fees for the competition facing Robinhood’s move into institutional crypto services.

  • Virtu Financial and Robinhood earn money from securities trading in different ways: Virtu stands ready to buy and sell and keeps small price spreads, while Robinhood earns payments for routing retail orders to market makers. Watch Virtu’s market-making results as another view of trading conditions, not as evidence of a direct payment relationship with Robinhood.

  • Galaxy Digital and Robinhood both earn crypto trading revenue, with Robinhood’s Bitstamp acquisition extending its reach to institutional exchange customers. Galaxy charges clients trading and loan-structuring fees and earns lending interest; watch its Global Markets trading fees rather than its data-center business for this connection.

  • DraftKings competes with Robinhood’s growing event-contract offering for customers wagering on outcomes through sports betting and prediction markets. DraftKings keeps settled sports wagers minus payouts to winners; watch its prediction-market products rather than treating swings in sports-betting revenue as a direct signal for Robinhood.

Agenda

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Robinhood Markets, Inc. earningsThis company

    Robinhood earns most of its revenue from customer trading and interest, and this report will show whether trading activity and interest-earning balances still support both.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Robinhood earns interest on customer margin loans, cash held through Cash Sweep, corporate investments and securities lending, so Fed rate changes can shift what it earns on those balances.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Coinbase Global, Inc. earningsCOIN

    Coinbase’s consumer transaction revenue will show how active retail crypto traders are in the market it shares with Robinhood.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    DraftKings Inc. earningsDKNG

    DraftKings’ prediction-market products will show how strongly it is competing with Robinhood for customers trading event contracts.

  2. Time to be announced

    Virtu Financial, Inc. earningsVIRT

    Virtu Financial’s market-making results will show how trading conditions affect market makers, while Robinhood earns revenue by routing retail orders to them.

in 28 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. Time to be announced

    Futu Holdings Limited earningsFUTU

    Futu’s margin-financing and securities-lending results will show how customer borrowing and stock lending are supporting income streams Robinhood also has.

in 29 daysWed, Nov 18

  1. Time to be announced

    Bullish earningsBLSH

    Bullish’s exchange products and fees will show how institutional crypto trading demand is shaping competition with Robinhood’s Bitstamp business.

in 30 daysThu, Nov 19

  1. Time to be announced

    Webull Corporation earningsBULL

    Webull’s U.S. order-routing revenue will show how retail trading supports payments from market makers and exchange partners, a revenue path Robinhood also uses.