Stock daily read

What happened with HL today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

HL in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Hecla Mining Company operates mines in the United States and Canada. It processes mined ore into concentrates and unrefined gold-and-silver bars, which buyers further process to recover the metals. Buyers pay for the recoverable metals, with smelting and refining charges deducted from sales. Silver and gold generate most revenue; lead and zinc provide important additional income.

Its silver mines are Greens Creek in Alaska, Lucky Friday in Idaho and Keno Hill in Yukon. Greens Creek is the largest revenue source and also produces significant gold. Casa Berardi in Quebec is primarily a gold mine. Hecla has agreed to sell Casa Berardi to Orezone Gold Corporation, subject to closing conditions including regulatory approvals; part of the proceeds depends on later payments and milestones rather than cash at closing.

The business depends heavily on metal prices and access to buyers able to process its products. Only a limited number of smelters can effectively handle its concentrates, and its three largest customers together provide most revenue. Hecla sells most concentrates under long-term contracts. It must also continually find and develop more ore as mines are depleted. Keno Hill remains in production ramp-up and needs new or modified permits to reach the production level Hecla considers necessary for sustainable profitability.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in HL’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

HL says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Hecla’s results hinge chiefly on silver prices and mine performance, but its announced Casa Berardi sale also makes Orezone Gold worth watching because of equity, deferred payments and contingent consideration.

  • Pan American Silver shares Hecla’s exposure to silver and gold prices: both operate mines and sell those metals alongside zinc, lead and copper. Watch Pan American’s base-metal sales as well as silver, since by-product revenue also matters to Hecla’s silver-mine economics.

  • First Majestic and Hecla both run silver-focused mines with gold exposure and sell precious metals into overlapping markets, making silver and gold prices and mining costs useful points of comparison. Their sales channels differ: First Majestic also sells silver bars and rounds to shareholders and bullion customers through First Mint, while Hecla sells mine products to smelters, refiners and metal traders.

  • Coeur Mining and Hecla both earn money from mining silver and gold and selling into global precious-metal markets, so the same metal prices affect their results. Coeur has third parties refine its mine output and sells the bullion to banks, bullion trading houses and refiners; its realized silver and gold prices offer a comparison for Hecla’s metal sales.

  • Endeavour Silver and Hecla share exposure to silver and gold prices and underground mining costs, selling their mine output as bullion or metal-rich concentrates. Endeavour’s silver and gold concentrate sales to metal traders at Bolañitos and Terronera provide a closer comparison for Hecla’s concentrate business than bullion sales alone.

  • Silvercorp Metals and Hecla both run silver mines whose economics also depend on lead and zinc sales. Watch those metals alongside silver in Silvercorp’s Chinese mining operations: Hecla uses by-product revenue to offset operating costs in its reported per-ounce silver cost measures.

  • Santacruz Silver Mining and Hecla sell silver, zinc and lead contained in concentrates, so closely overlapping metal prices affect their mine revenues. Nearly all Santacruz revenue comes from silver and zinc, making those sales the clearest comparison for the metals that smelters and traders pay Hecla for in its concentrates.

  • Wheaton Precious Metals and Hecla share silver and gold price exposure, not an ongoing Keno Hill metal-purchase agreement, which ended when Hecla acquired Alexco. Wheaton pays miners upfront and on delivery for metals it resells under streaming agreements, rather than mining them itself; its realized silver and gold selling prices are the useful comparison for Hecla.

  • Fortuna Mining shares Hecla’s exposure to silver, gold, lead and zinc sales, although its operating mines are more gold-focused. Fortuna’s Caylloma mine in Peru produces silver, lead and zinc, making that revenue a closer comparison for Hecla’s silver operations than Fortuna’s gold mines.

Agenda

in 16 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    Coeur Mining, Inc. earningsCDE

    Coeur's report will show its realized silver and gold prices, giving readers a comparison for how shared metal markets are affecting Hecla's sales.

in 17 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Hecla Mining Company earningsThis company

    Hecla's Greens Creek and Lucky Friday mines are silver-focused, and this report will show whether their output and costs are turning silver sales into stronger mine economics.

  2. Time to be announced

    Silvercorp Metals Inc. earningsSVM

    Silvercorp also sells lead and zinc from its silver mines, so its report can show whether these by-product markets are supporting the economics of Hecla's silver operations.