Stock daily read

What happened with SVM today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

SVM in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Silvercorp Metals operates mines and processing plants in China, with most production and revenue coming from the Ying Mining District in Henan and a smaller contribution from the GC Mine in Guangdong. It processes ore into lead and zinc concentrates containing silver and other metals. Local smelters and mineral traders buy these concentrates; Silvercorp does not operate a smelter. Silver supplies most revenue, with lead, gold and zinc contributing less. Buyers pay prices linked to metal-market quotes and the metal content of shipments, less smelting and treatment charges.

A small group of customers supplies most revenue. Their framework agreements do not guarantee purchase volumes or prices, and purchases are negotiated monthly. Earnings therefore depend on metal prices, the grades of ore mined and the terms smelters offer. Operations also require mining and safety approvals: Ying's mining permits have been extended, but production-safety renewals remain in progress, while GC's current mine classification restricts how many production levels may operate at once.

Outside China, Silvercorp is building the El Domo copper-gold project in Ecuador and holds the Condor and Tulkubash/Kyzyltash development and exploration projects. These projects do not yet generate revenue. Wheaton Precious Metals International helps fund El Domo construction through conditional upfront payments in exchange for a share of future gold and silver deliveries. El Domo's environmental license remains subject to litigation.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in SVM’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

SVM says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Hecla and Silvercorp share exposure to silver, lead and zinc prices: both mine silver-bearing lead and zinc concentrates and sell them to smelters or metal traders. Hecla’s concentrate sales offer a comparison for Silvercorp’s silver revenue and the lead and zinc sales it deducts from production costs.

  • Endeavour Silver and Silvercorp share exposure to silver prices and underground mining costs, with both selling precious-metal-bearing concentrates to metal traders. Endeavour’s Kolpa mine also sells concentrates containing silver, lead, zinc and copper, making that product a closer comparison with Silvercorp’s silver-bearing lead and zinc concentrates.

  • First Majestic and Silvercorp both operate producing silver mines, so silver prices affect the economics of both businesses. First Majestic also sells silver bars and rounds to shareholders and bullion customers through First Mint; watch its silver-mining margins rather than treating those retail sales as equivalent to Silvercorp’s concentrate sales to smelters and traders.

  • Pan American Silver and Silvercorp both earn revenue from mining and selling silver alongside gold and base metals, making silver prices a common earnings driver. Pan American’s zinc and lead sales also provide context for the non-silver revenue Silvercorp uses to offset its reported silver production costs.

  • Santacruz Silver Mining and Silvercorp both sell silver-bearing base-metal concentrates, so silver, zinc and lead prices and concentrate-processing charges matter to both. Santacruz earns substantially all its revenue from silver and zinc concentrate sales, a useful comparison for Silvercorp’s concentrate revenue after smelting, refining and treatment charges.

  • Wheaton Precious Metals helps fund Silvercorp’s El Domo construction with up to US$175.5 million in conditional installments, in exchange for initially buying 50% of its gold and 75% of its silver production. Wheaton pays upfront and again when metals are delivered, then earns revenue by selling them; watch its El Domo funding and delivery updates for what they say about Silvercorp’s construction funding and future metal commitments.

  • Coeur Mining and Silvercorp both earn money by mining and selling precious metals, giving them shared exposure to silver and gold prices. Coeur sells refined bullion to banks, bullion traders and refiners; its Las Chispas silver-gold mine offers a comparison for precious-metal mining margins, rather than Silvercorp’s lead and zinc concentrate business.

  • Silvercorp’s minority investment in New Pacific Metals gives it exposure to Bolivian silver-development properties, not a supplier or customer relationship. New Pacific explores and develops mineral resources rather than operating a metal-sales business; watch progress at Silver Sand, Carangas and Silverstrike for developments affecting that investment.

Agenda

in 2 daysWed, Oct 21

  1. 10:30 AMET

    EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Oct/16)

    Silvercorp’s mines rely on crude oil, so EIA readings on US crude and fuel stocks indicate whether supply may ease or tighten and change the fuel costs it pays to operate and develop its mines.

in 17 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Silvercorp Metals Inc. earningsThis company

    Silvercorp sells silver, gold, lead and zinc concentrates to smelters and traders, and this report will show how metal prices, sales volumes and costs combine to shape mine operating income.

  2. Time to be announced

    Hecla Mining Company earningsHL

    Hecla also sells silver-bearing lead and zinc concentrates to smelters or metal traders, so its report offers a comparison for what silver, lead and zinc sales and concentrate costs may mean for Silvercorp.

  3. Time to be announced

    Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. earningsWPM

    Wheaton Precious Metals provides conditional stream financing for Silvercorp’s El Domo project in exchange for a share of future gold and silver production, and its report can show how that funding and delivery arrangement is progressing.

in 18 daysFri, Nov 6

  1. Time to be announced

    New Pacific Metals Corp. earningsNEWP

    New Pacific Metals is exploring and developing silver projects, and Silvercorp holds a minority investment in the company; its report can show how the projects behind that investment are progressing.