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What happened with EEFT today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

EEFT in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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Company

Company overview

Euronet Worldwide helps consumers and businesses send money across borders, access cash and buy digital content. Money Transfer is its largest revenue source. Ria handles person-to-person transfers through agents, company stores and online, while Xe handles international account-to-account payments. Dandelion processes payments for third-party partners. Customers pay transfer fees and a margin built into the exchange rate. Consumer transfers depend heavily on migrant-worker remittances and on agents and correspondents that collect and deliver money.

Its EFT business operates ATMs and manages ATM, checkout-payment and card networks for financial institutions. Banks pay management and transaction fees, and cardholders may pay withdrawal surcharges. When customers choose to convert currencies at an ATM or checkout, Euronet also earns all or part of the exchange margin. This business depends on bank and card-network agreements, including sponsor-bank access in some markets and banks that supply ATM cash.

Through epay, Euronet distributes mobile top-ups and other digital content through retailers. It earns processing fees or retains a commission from payments passed to content providers, sharing commissions with retailers. Content other than prepaid mobile airtime supplies most of epay’s revenue, and the business depends on retaining both provider and retailer contracts.

No single customer dominates company revenue. Money-transfer services require licenses in the jurisdictions where Euronet operates; local laws and card-network rules can restrict its services and pricing.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in EEFT’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

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Moat

EEFT says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

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Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Western Union can pressure Euronet’s Ria on prices by competing for cross-border senders, agents and payout partners; both move money for customers, while Euronet earns transfer fees and currency-exchange margins. Watch Western Union’s pricing for customers and agents: its greater resources could force Ria to cut prices or lose customers.

  • NCR Atleos competes for the banks and ATM locations that support Euronet’s ATM deployment, outsourced operations and transaction-service business; both provide banks with ATM services, earning contract and transaction revenue. Watch uptake of NCR Atleos’s fully outsourced ATM offering, where banks hand operations to one provider rather than manage multiple vendors.

  • Remitly competes with Euronet’s Ria and Xe for customers who start international transfers digitally, with delivery to bank accounts, wallets or cash-pickup locations; both earn customer fees and currency-exchange margins. Remitly’s send volume and active-customer growth show how this rival is expanding in the transfer market Ria and Xe serve.

  • International Money Express (Intermex) competes with Euronet’s Ria for senders and retail agents, particularly on Latin American transfer routes; senders pay Intermex fees that it shares with sending and payout agents. Watch its remittance business to Latin America and the Caribbean, especially Mexico and Guatemala, for competition facing Ria in those routes.

  • Shift4 competes for merchants that pay for payment processing, overlapping with Euronet’s merchant-payment business and, through Global Blue, retail currency conversion. Watch Global Blue’s service that lets shoppers pay in their own currency—dynamic currency conversion—because Euronet earns all or part of the exchange margin when it processes such payments.

  • Diebold Nixdorf competes with Euronet for financial institutions buying ATM software and services, where Euronet earns management and transaction fees. Watch Diebold Nixdorf’s Banking business and its relationships with financial institutions, rather than its separate Retail business, for this overlap.

  • Fiserv competes with Euronet for financial institutions outsourcing ATM operations and financial transaction processing; these customers pay for ongoing services and transaction handling. Watch Fiserv’s processing and services revenue, largely earned through account and transaction fees under multi-year contracts, for the business that overlaps with Euronet.

  • Global Payments competes with Euronet’s EFT business for merchants needing help accepting payments and processing checkout transactions—merchant acquiring and POS processing. Watch its Merchant Solutions transaction-fee revenue, charged mainly as a share of payment value or a fee per transaction, rather than software subscription revenue.

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  • ACI Worldwide competes with Euronet’s Ren for banks and payment intermediaries buying software to route and coordinate payments, known as payment switching and orchestration. Watch ACI’s software business with banks, processors, networks and fintechs: those customers overlap with Ren’s market more directly than its bill-payment customers.

Agenda

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Euronet Worldwide Inc earningsThis company

    Euronet's report will show how much activity in money transfers, ATM and payment networks, and digital-content distribution is turning into revenue and operating income.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    Global Payments, Inc. earningsGPN

    Global Payments's report will show whether merchant payment activity is supporting transaction-fee revenue, a signal about demand and competition for Euronet's merchant-payment business.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    NCR Atleos Corporation earningsNATL

    NCR Atleos's report will show whether banks are handing more ATM operations to outside providers, and how that demand intersects with Euronet's competition for ATM-management contracts.

  2. Time to be announced

    Remitly Global, Inc. earningsRELY

    Remitly's report will show how its active customers and send volume are growing in digital transfers, the channel where it competes with Euronet's Ria and Xe.

  3. Time to be announced

    The Western Union Company earningsWU

    Western Union's report will show the pricing pressure on cross-border senders and agents, which can affect the fees and foreign-exchange margins Euronet earns through Ria.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    Shift4 Payments, Inc. earningsFOUR

    Shift4's report will show demand for shoppers to pay in their own currency, a service through which Euronet can earn a foreign-exchange margin when it processes the payment.

  2. Time to be announced

    ACI Worldwide, Inc. earningsACIW

    ACI Worldwide's report will show demand for payment-routing software among banks, processors and fintechs, the market where it competes with Euronet's Ren.

in 20 daysMon, Nov 9

  1. Time to be announced

    International Money Express, Inc. earningsIMXI

    Intermex's report will show how it is competing for customers and agents on Latin American transfer routes where Euronet's Ria also operates.