Stock daily read

What happened with BBAR today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

BBAR in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. takes deposits from individuals and companies and uses that funding to lend to households and businesses and hold investments, including Argentine government securities. It serves customers ranging from small businesses to large corporations and multinationals. Net interest income carries most of the business; customers also pay fees for accounts, cards, collections and payments.

The bank is shifting its lending toward the private sector as government borrowing needs decline, but government securities remain an income source. Its funding relies heavily on deposits, which are mostly short-term, limiting its ability to fund long-term lending. Earnings depend on retaining those deposits, the gap between lending and funding rates, and borrowers’ ability to repay.

Most operations and customers are in Argentina, tying the business closely to domestic inflation, interest rates and economic conditions. Central Bank rules limit the foreign-currency exposure it may hold, while consumer-protection and card rules restrict certain fees and interest charges.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in BBAR’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

BBAR says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Grupo Financiero Galicia’s Banco Galicia competes with Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. for individual, SME and corporate customers across Argentina, taking deposits and making loans. Watch Galicia’s share of private-sector loans and deposits to gauge the competition facing BBVA Argentina’s push into SME lending.

  • Banco Macro S.A. competes with Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. for Argentine households’ and businesses’ loans, deposits and banking fees. Macro’s reliance on time deposits for funding makes their cost worth watching alongside BBVA Argentina’s expense of retaining peso deposits.

  • Grupo Supervielle S.A. competes with Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. for Argentine consumers and businesses through personal loans, cards and SME financing. Watch repayment trends among Supervielle’s payroll and pension customers, who dominate its new personal lending, as a comparison for BBVA Argentina’s rising personal-loan and card delinquencies.

  • Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. (BBVA) is Banco BBVA Argentina S.A.’s controlling parent, providing technology, expertise and relationships that support its banking business. The parent’s earnings span several countries, so they are not a direct readout of the Argentine bank’s performance.

Agenda

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Banco BBVA Argentina earns interest on peso- and dollar-denominated loans and pays interest on deposits, but its filing identifies Argentine—not U.S.—policy rates as a driver of the loan-deposit spread, so a Fed rate decision has no direct effect established here.

in 29 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. Time to be announced

    Grupo Supervielle S.A. earningsSUPV

    Grupo Supervielle’s report will show whether its payroll and pension customers are repaying personal loans, a useful comparison for the consumer-loan strain at BBVA Argentina.