SUPV in three months: buy, wait or sell?
Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.
- Buy / Wait / Sell rating
- 3-month target price
- Bear · Base · Bull
- vs. the market
What happened with SUPV today?
No read yet
Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.
Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.
Grupo Supervielle S.A. operates exclusively in Argentina, principally through Banco Supervielle. The bank takes deposits and lends to individuals, small and medium-sized businesses, and larger companies. Borrowers pay interest, and the bank earns the difference between returns on loans and investments and its funding costs. It also owns and trades securities, including Argentine government debt. These financial activities provide most of the group’s revenue; personal and business banking is its largest revenue segment, followed by bank treasury.
Payroll and pension customers are central to retail lending. By distributing social-security payments for ANSES, Argentina’s social-security agency, the bank gains access to pensioners who may buy financial services. Sales to senior citizens supply a substantial part of bank revenue. This relationship depends on the ANSES arrangement continuing; a replacement agreement was under negotiation at the annual report date.
Alongside banking, IOL invertironline provides online brokerage and investment services, Supervielle Asset Management manages mutual funds, and Supervielle Seguros sells insurance through channels including the bank. These businesses add service-fee and insurance income.
The main banking business depends on retaining deposits, borrowers repaying, and maintaining a profitable gap between lending returns and funding costs. Its government securities also tie income to Argentina’s repayment capacity. Central Bank rules require capital and reserves and restrict certain rates and fees. As a holding company, Grupo Supervielle depends on cash from subsidiaries, while bank dividend distributions require prior Central Bank authorization.
The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.
Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.
Grupo Financiero Galicia competes with Supervielle for Argentine individuals and SMEs buying banking, consumer credit, insurance and investment-management services. Watch deposits and retail and SME lending at Banco Galicia, its largest subsidiary: these show how Supervielle's larger rival is doing with the customers both seek.
Banco Macro competes with Supervielle for Argentine retail deposits and banking customers through branches and digital channels, earning interest and fees from those customers. Watch its time deposits: they fund Banco Macro's business, while deposits are also Supervielle's main funding source.
Banco BBVA Argentina competes with Supervielle to provide Argentine individuals, SMEs and corporations with loans, deposit accounts and investment services. Watch its push into SME lending: BBVA's shift toward business loans overlaps with Supervielle's own shift toward corporate and SME lending.
Mercado Libre's Mercado Pago competes with Supervielle for Argentine customers making payments and using digital financial services; that rivalry is separate from Supervielle's storefront on Mercado Libre. Watch Mercado Pago's monthly active users in Argentina, where it says it leads fintech companies, alongside Supervielle's efforts to attract payment activity and account balances.
Mercado Libre, Inc earningsMELI
Mercado Libre's report will show how Mercado Pago is attracting active users in Argentina, where it competes with Grupo Supervielle for payment activity and account balances.
Watch Mercado Pago's monthly active users in Argentina. Continued growth would show digital payments are reaching more people, while Mercado Libre captures more of the activity Grupo Supervielle also seeks; slower growth would ease that competitive pressure, but would not prove users are choosing Grupo Supervielle instead.
Grupo Supervielle S.A. earningsThis company
Grupo Supervielle earns mainly from financial services, and its report will show whether lending spreads are stabilizing as borrower stress affects bad loans.
Read net financial income alongside the non-performing-loan ratio and provision coverage. Rising income with stable or falling bad loans would show that better lending spreads are translating into healthier bank earnings; weak income, or growth alongside rising bad loans and falling coverage, would show borrower stress eroding the improvement.