Stock daily read

What happened with ABM today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

ABM in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

ABM Industries provides the people and services that keep clients’ facilities clean and running, mainly in the United States. Cleaning generates most of its revenue. Commercial properties are its largest business segment; it also serves factories, warehouses, data centers, schools, airlines and airports. Clients typically pay monthly service fees or reimburse agreed operating costs plus a profit margin, with additional charges for work outside the regular contract.

Beyond day-to-day facility services, ABM maintains mechanical and electrical systems and designs and installs energy infrastructure, including microgrids and backup power systems. Clients pay for installation and improvement projects at agreed milestones, and some contracts guarantee energy savings or system performance.

Most revenue comes from work won through competitive bids. Keeping clients and managing staffing costs matter because most service agreements allow cancellation on short notice, while some contracts limit the costs ABM can recover. No single customer supplies most of companywide revenue, but individual businesses have greater concentration: manufacturing and distribution and Technical Solutions each draw a substantial share from one client, while Aviation draws a substantial share from two.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in ABM’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

ABM says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

ABM’s results hinge chiefly on outsourced cleaning and facility-service contracts, making ISS A/S and Sodexo important rivals to watch beyond this list.

  • Aramark competes with ABM for education, healthcare and business clients paying for housekeeping, facility management and plant maintenance. Watch Aramark’s facilities business with these clients, rather than its food-service business, for the overlap with ABM’s cleaning and maintenance contracts.

  • EMCOR competes with ABM for clients outsourcing building services and paying to install and maintain mechanical and electrical systems. Its building-services work and heating, cooling and power-system contracts are the parts most relevant to ABM’s maintenance and technical-services business.

  • Cushman & Wakefield competes with ABM for property owners and occupiers paying to manage and service commercial facilities. Its Services fee revenue is more relevant to this rivalry than its leasing or property-sales business.

  • CBRE competes with ABM for corporate and commercial clients outsourcing the operation and maintenance of their facilities. Watch its Building Operations & Experience business for this overlap, rather than fees from leasing or property sales.

  • JLL competes with ABM for corporations and institutions paying to outsource facility management. Its Workplace Management contracts for large portfolios of occupied properties across multiple markets are the business to watch for this competition.

  • Ameresco competes with ABM for institutional and commercial customers funding energy-efficiency upgrades and local energy infrastructure. Its facility-upgrade and small-scale energy projects are the work to watch alongside ABM’s building and energy solutions business.

  • Comfort Systems USA competes with ABM for commercial, industrial and institutional customers paying to install, repair and maintain mechanical and electrical systems. Its heating, cooling and electrical service work is the closest comparison for ABM’s technical maintenance and building upgrades.

  • Legence competes with ABM for clients paying to engineer, install and maintain building systems, including energy upgrades for education and mission-critical facilities. Its work for education, data-center and technology clients is particularly relevant to ABM’s facility engineering and energy projects.

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  • Johnson Controls competes with ABM for commercial-building customers paying for heating and cooling service, technical maintenance and energy-efficiency projects. Watch the maintenance, retrofit and replacement work it wins from customers already using its equipment—the repeat business overlaps with ABM’s maintenance and building-energy services.

Agenda

in 3 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced

    CBRE GROUP, INC. earningsCBRE

    CBRE's Building Operations & Experience business will show how much corporate and commercial clients are outsourcing facility operations—and the competition ABM faces for that work.

  2. Time to be announced

    Comfort Systems USA, Inc. earningsFIX

    Comfort Systems USA's mechanical and electrical service work will show how much customers are spending to maintain building systems, where it competes with ABM's technical-services business.

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    ABM’s Fed rate decision matters because it can change the interest ABM pays on its $1.569 billion of credit-facility borrowings, including its floating-rate debt that swaps only partly hedge.

in 58 daysWed, Dec 16

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    ABM Industries, Inc. earningsThis company

    ABM's report will show whether its facility and technical-services businesses can protect operating margins as they grow.