Stock daily read

What happened with AMRC today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

AMRC in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Ameresco helps government agencies, institutions, utilities and businesses in North America and Europe reduce energy and operating costs. Most revenue comes from customer projects: it designs and installs building-system upgrades and energy plants. Under energy savings performance contracts, expected savings are designed to cover all or nearly all project costs, and Ameresco typically guarantees agreed efficiency performance. Third-party financing can limit customers’ upfront spending. After construction, customers may pay Ameresco to operate and maintain the facilities under multiyear contracts.

Ameresco also owns small renewable-energy plants and sells their electricity, heat and renewable gas to utilities, government bodies and other energy buyers, often under long-term contracts. It processes purchased biogas into energy or renewable fuel. Selling renewable-energy certificates and other environmental credits generated by its assets supplies a substantial part of earnings; their availability and value depend on regulatory programs as well as plant output.

Government entities supply most revenue, and the U.S. federal government is a significant customer. Project work depends on customer financing, public budgets and procurement rules that allow customers to pay for improvements from future savings. Federal contracting agreements alone do not authorize work: individual projects require agreed agency orders. Projects also require local permits and approvals before they can proceed.

Read allShow less
Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in AMRC’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

AMRC says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Ameresco’s results depend chiefly on turning government and institutional energy-upgrade awards into completed projects; privately held McKinstry is another important competitor to watch that this list cannot show.

  • Johnson Controls challenges Ameresco for commercial and government customers’ building-efficiency projects, controls upgrades and maintenance work. Watch its retrofit and service business, where selling and installing heating and cooling systems can lead to repeat maintenance revenue.

  • Legence’s CMTA business competes with Ameresco for institutional and government building-efficiency projects; Legence engineers, installs and maintains building systems. Its education and state-and-local-government revenue is more relevant to this overlap than its data-center business.

  • ABM Industries competes with Ameresco through its Technical Solutions business in facility-efficiency upgrades, heating and cooling services and microgrids. Watch those energy and infrastructure offerings for education and commercial customers, rather than ABM’s broader cleaning business.

  • Trane Technologies competes with Ameresco for customers’ building energy services, heating and cooling upgrades and efficiency improvements using controls. Its Americas commercial HVAC, building-controls and energy-services businesses are the relevant areas to watch, rather than transport refrigeration.

  • Honeywell’s building-automation business competes with Ameresco for customers’ smart-building efficiency projects and ongoing operations and maintenance. Watch its building-performance and smart-maintenance offerings, including Honeywell Forge software that connects building equipment data.

  • Montauk Renewables competes with Ameresco for landfill biogas rights, then processes that gas into renewable natural gas or electricity for sale. Watch its fuel-supply agreements: Montauk warns that competition can raise royalties on renewed or expanded agreements and reduce project profitability.

  • OPAL Fuels competes with Ameresco for biogas projects and operates plants that sell renewable natural gas and electricity, including power sold to public utilities. Watch its gas-rights and RNG marketing agreements, where its ability to both produce and dispense fuel helps it compete for projects.

  • EMCOR competes with Ameresco for customers’ building-energy maintenance work and also installs overlapping heating and cooling, controls and central-plant systems. Its building-services business is the area to watch for this maintenance rivalry, rather than treating all its electrical and mechanical construction as comparable.

Show 9 moreShow less
  • Limbach overlaps with Ameresco in engineering, upgrading and maintaining building owners’ mechanical, electrical and controls systems, with a stronger focus on existing facilities. Work contracted directly by owners, primarily for existing buildings, accounted for 75.1% of Limbach’s 2025 revenue and is the clearest business to watch.

  • Comfort Systems USA competes with Ameresco for building-system operations and maintenance, while also installing heating and cooling, electrical and controls systems for customers. Its healthcare, education and government work offers a closer comparison with Ameresco’s institutional customers than its larger technology business.

  • Carrier’s NORESCO unit competes directly with Ameresco for customers’ comprehensive building-efficiency projects. Keep the unit in focus: new equipment supplied 72% of Carrier’s 2025 net sales, so Carrier’s overall results are not a close readout of this project rivalry.

  • Project financing costs and investment demand matter to both HASI and Ameresco: HASI invests for long-term cash returns in energy-efficiency, distributed solar and storage assets of the kinds Ameresco builds and operates. Watch HASI’s investments in projects serving building owners or occupants, without assuming it finances Ameresco directly.

  • PowerBank overlaps with Ameresco in developing, building, maintaining and owning distributed solar and battery projects for North American power purchasers. Watch its construction and maintenance fees alongside revenue from selling power to corporate and utility customers, since it earns from both project delivery and ownership.

  • SolarMax overlaps with Ameresco in designing, procuring equipment for and constructing commercial battery-storage and solar projects for customers. Its Texas Longfellow battery contract generated 66.1% of 2025 revenue, all in the second half, making progress on that contract more informative than its California residential solar installations.

  • Argan overlaps with Ameresco in power-project engineering, construction and maintenance, including solar, battery and biofuel facilities, but focuses on larger plants. Watch its Power segment’s work for independent power producers and public utilities, keeping that scale difference in mind when comparing project delivery.

  • Clean Energy Fuels shows the fleet-demand side of Ameresco’s renewable-natural-gas market: it buys and distributes fuel to vehicles, while Ameresco produces RNG that can serve that market. Watch RNG dispensed to trucking, refuse and transit fleets, since environmental credits are generated when the fuel reaches vehicle tanks; this does not establish a direct supply agreement.

  • NextEra Energy competes with Ameresco for solar and battery-storage projects through its renewable-energy business. Focus on that business rather than FPL, its regulated utility selling electricity to Florida customers, which adds substantial exposure unrelated to this rivalry.

Agenda

in 2 daysWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    NextEra Energy, Inc. earningsNEE

    NextEra Energy’s renewable-energy business competes with Ameresco for solar and battery-storage projects, and its report will show whether that rivalry is intensifying or easing.

in 8 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    Johnson Controls International plc earningsJCI

    Johnson Controls competes with Ameresco for commercial and government building-efficiency upgrades and maintenance, and its report will show whether customers are still spending and rivals are winning work.

in 17 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    OPAL Fuels Inc. earningsOPAL

    OPAL Fuels competes with Ameresco for biogas projects and sells the gas as renewable natural gas or electricity; its project activity and agreements will show how that rivalry is changing.

  2. Time to be announced

    Clean Energy Fuels Corp. earningsCLNE

    Clean Energy Fuels sells and dispenses fuel to fleets, so its RNG volumes show whether truck, refuse and transit fleets are using more renewable natural gas—a potential outlet for Ameresco’s output.

  3. Time to be announced

    HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. earningsHASI

    HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital invests in efficiency, distributed-solar and storage projects, and its report will show whether outside capital is still backing the kinds of projects Ameresco builds.

in 21 daysMon, Nov 9

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Ameresco, Inc. earningsThis company

    Most of Ameresco’s revenue comes from projects, and this report will show whether its contracted work is becoming profitable revenue that also turns into cash.