ZUMZ in three months: buy, wait or sell?
Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.
- Buy / Wait / Sell rating
- 3-month target price
- Bear · Base · Bull
- vs. the market
What happened with ZUMZ today?
No read yet
Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.
Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.
Zumiez Inc. serves young men and women interested in action sports, streetwear and related lifestyles. Customers buy through its Zumiez, Blue Tomato and Fast Times stores and websites across North America, Europe and Australia. The United States supplies most revenue. Clothing accounts for most merchandise sales, with men’s apparel the largest category; footwear, accessories and hardgoods make up the rest.
Most sales come from third-party brands, supplemented by private-label merchandise, including options for more price-conscious shoppers. Zumiez collects payment from shoppers and pays vendors for inventory; its earnings depend on selling that inventory at prices that cover merchandise and operating costs.
The business relies on choosing products that match changing tastes and attracting shoppers to stores and websites. Back-to-school and winter-holiday shopping drive its busiest seasons. If merchandise fails to sell as expected, Zumiez may need markdowns that reduce what it earns.
The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.
Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.
Tilly's competes directly with Zumiez for young shoppers spending on branded casual clothing, footwear, accessories and action-sports gear. Its sales of that overlapping assortment offer a read on the customers Zumiez is trying to win in stores and online.
American Eagle Outfitters competes with Zumiez for young consumers' casual-clothing spending in stores and online. Watch sales of its American Eagle clothing rather than treating all of its brands as equally relevant to Zumiez.
Abercrombie & Fitch Co.'s Hollister brand competes with Zumiez for young shoppers buying casual fashion in stores and online. Hollister's store sales are particularly worth watching: stores accounted for most of its customer sales in fiscal 2025.
The Buckle, Inc. competes with Zumiez for fashion-conscious casual-clothing shoppers, with both selling outside brands and their own labels. Buckle's sales offer a more denim-heavy view of that spending: denim accounted for 42.5% of its fiscal 2025 net sales.
Genesco's Journeys and Schuh chains compete with Zumiez for young shoppers buying branded casual and lifestyle footwear. Those chains are the part of Genesco to watch for competition over Zumiez's footwear customers.
Retail Sales MoM (Oct)
Retail sales track how much consumers spend at retailers; for Zumiez, that spending can change demand for its apparel, footwear and hardgoods and the sales revenue those products bring in.
If retail sales strengthen, that points to firmer spending that may support demand for Zumiez’s branded and private-label goods; if they weaken, customers may spend less or shift toward cheaper goods, pressuring sales or requiring promotions.
Tilly's Inc. earningsTLYS
Tilly's report will show whether young shoppers are spending more or less on branded casual apparel, footwear and action-sports gear that overlap with Zumiez's assortment.
Look at Tilly's sales, especially for the branded apparel, footwear, accessories and action-sports gear that overlap with Zumiez. Stronger sales would show young shoppers are still buying in this shared market, supporting the demand backdrop for Zumiez; weaker sales would point to customers pulling back, putting pressure on Zumiez's comparable merchandise demand.
Zumiez Inc. earningsThis company
Zumiez's report will show whether back-to-school and holiday sales leave more profit after merchandise and store costs.
Read net sales alongside gross margin, the share of sales left after merchandise costs. Sales growth with a higher gross margin would show that customers bought the assortment without giving up as much to markdowns, while sales growth with a lower margin would show discounts or merchandise costs eating into the gain. Then see whether selling, general and administrative expenses grew more slowly than sales: that would indicate better leverage of store and labor costs; faster expense growth would mean sales did not cover those costs as well.