Stock daily read

What happened with WLK today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

WLK in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Westlake Corporation earns most of its revenue from materials sold to manufacturers for industrial and consumer products. These include PVC, polyethylene, epoxy resins and caustic soda. Its factories form a connected production chain: it makes basic chemicals, turns them into plastics, and uses some of its PVC to make construction products. It sells the remaining PVC to other fabricators and export markets.

The other major business supplies housing and infrastructure products. Westlake Royal Building Products sells items such as siding, roofing and windows, while Westlake Pipe & Fittings supplies piping products. Westlake Global Compounds makes polymer mixtures for further manufacturing. Westlake’s own chemical plants supply most of the PVC used by its North American housing-exterior and pipe-and-fittings plants.

Construction-product demand depends heavily on new homes, repairs and remodeling, as well as dealers’ and distributors’ stocking decisions. Materials earnings depend on global chemical supply and demand and the gap between selling prices and feedstock and energy costs; commodity prices can lag changes in input costs. A few key suppliers provide a significant share of raw materials. Chemical plants must meet emissions and other environmental operating requirements, while duties on U.S.-made commodity PVC restrict sales in the European Union, the United Kingdom and Brazil.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in WLK’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

WLK says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Alongside North American housing activity, global vinyls supply and demand are central to Westlake’s results, with Formosa Plastics and Shintech important competitors in chlor-alkali and PVC.

  • Olin competes for Westlake’s chemical sales in chlorine, caustic soda, materials used to make PVC, and epoxy materials. Its chlor-alkali and vinyls sales offer a closer read on Westlake’s chemical markets than its ammunition business does.

  • LyondellBasell and Westlake compete for ethylene and polyethylene sales in the same global plastics markets, where price is the main competitive factor. LyondellBasell’s polyethylene business is a useful place to watch the supply-and-demand conditions facing Westlake’s materials segment.

  • Dow competes with Westlake to sell ethylene and polyethylene to companies that turn plastics into finished goods and to industrial customers. Demand in Dow’s Packaging & Specialty Plastics business, including food, industrial and consumer packaging, helps gauge the customer markets behind Westlake’s polyethylene sales.

  • James Hardie competes with Westlake for siding, trim and outdoor-living spending on new homes and remodeling. Its U.S. and Canadian siding and trim sales, routed mainly through distributors, lumberyards and home-improvement retailers to builders and contractors, offer a read on demand for Westlake’s residential products.

  • Braskem and Westlake both sell polyethylene and PVC resins to companies that mold them into plastic products, exposing both to global resin prices and capacity cycles. Braskem’s PE and PVC business is the relevant comparison for Westlake, rather than its whole petrochemical portfolio.

  • WESTLAKE CHEMICAL PARTNERS LP owns an interest in OpCo, which supplies Westlake with 95% of its ethylene output for materials production. Westlake pays production cost plus an expected fixed margin of $0.10 per pound, limiting OpCo’s exposure to commodity margins and making it a supplier rather than a straightforward chemical-market comparison.

  • Huntsman competes with Westlake for industrial manufacturers’ purchases of epoxy formulations and thermoset resins. Its Advanced Materials epoxy business is the relevant signal for Westlake’s externally sold epoxy products, rather than Huntsman’s polyurethane sales.

  • Sasol competes with Westlake in ethylene and polyethylene sales, but its energy operations make overall results a less direct chemical-market comparison. Watch its ethylene and polyethylene business rather than gas sales to South African wholesalers and end-users.

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  • Avient competes with Westlake’s custom polymer compounds by buying resins and additives, tailoring them for specific uses, and selling the resulting materials to end-product makers; this rivalry is separate from their legacy remediation dispute. Its Specialty Engineered Materials business is a closer comparison for Westlake’s compounds than commodity base-resin production, which Avient does not undertake.

  • Boise Cascade’s structural wood products and building-material distribution share the North American housing and inventory cycle that affects Westlake’s residential products. Its building-material distribution sales offer a view of the construction-material channel, while its wood manufacturing business supplies that channel.

  • Weyerhaeuser’s wood products for building markets and Westlake’s residential products both depend on North American home-construction demand. Its Wood Products business is the useful housing comparison, rather than timberland sales or income from land leases and royalties.

Agenda

todayTue, Oct 20

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Housing Starts (Sep)

    Westlake’s housing products—such as siding, windows and roofing—and residential pipe and fittings depend on homebuilding, so more or fewer new homes can change what builders and contractors buy and Westlake’s sales.

in 2 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced

    Dow Inc. earningsDOW

    Dow's report will show whether demand in packaging and other plastics end markets is supporting the customers who buy Westlake's polyethylene.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Westlake Corporation earningsThis company

    Westlake's report will show whether prices and volumes for its chemical materials and building products can stabilize enough to ease the squeeze on profit from costs.

  2. Time to be announced

    Olin Corp. earningsOLN

    Olin's report will show how demand and sales are faring in chlor-alkali and vinyls, chemical markets where it competes with Westlake.

  3. Time to be announced

    WESTLAKE CHEMICAL PARTNERS LP earningsWLKP

    Westlake Chemical Partners' report will offer a view of its affiliated OpCo's ethylene production and supply, an input Westlake uses to make chemical materials.

in 10 daysFri, Oct 30

  1. Time to be announced

    LyondellBasell Industries N.V. earningsLYB

    LyondellBasell's report will show how polyethylene supply, demand and pricing are faring in the global market where it competes with Westlake.

in 13 daysMon, Nov 2

  1. Time to be announced

    Boise Cascade Company earningsBCC

    Boise Cascade's report will show how building-material distribution sales are faring in a North American construction channel that also serves Westlake's housing products.

  2. Time to be announced

    Huntsman Corporation earningsHUN

    Huntsman's report will show how industrial manufacturers are buying epoxy materials, a demand signal for Westlake's externally sold epoxy resins.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    Avient Corporation earningsAVNT

    Avient's report will show whether manufacturers are buying tailored polymer materials, a demand signal for Westlake's custom-compounds business.

in 20 daysMon, Nov 9

  1. Time to be announced

    James Hardie Industries plc earningsJHX

    James Hardie's report will show North American demand for siding and trim, where it competes with Westlake for builders' and homeowners' spending.

in 28 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. 9:15 AMET pre-market

    Industrial Production MoM (Oct)

    Factory, mine and utility output signals demand for industrial inputs; that can affect orders and prices for Westlake’s polyethylene, PVC, caustic soda and other chemicals sold to industrial customers, while oversupply can pressure what Westlake charges.