Stock daily read

What happened with WLKP today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

WLKP in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Westlake Chemical Partners LP owns a minority economic interest in OpCo, its only income-generating asset. OpCo operates ethylene plants in Louisiana and Kentucky. Westlake buys most of their output to make polyethylene and PVC, and its payments supply most of OpCo’s cash flow. Cash reaches the partnership through distributions from OpCo.

Westlake commits to pay for most of OpCo’s planned annual ethylene production, subject to contractual exceptions. The price is designed to recover feedstock, operating and maintenance costs and provide a fixed margin, rather than simply follow market ethylene prices. It does not cover expansion spending or the partnership’s own debt and public-company costs. OpCo also sells remaining ethylene and production co-products to other customers; net co-product proceeds reduce the price charged to Westlake.

The business depends on Westlake not just as its main customer, but also for feedstocks, employees and key operating services. Cash generation therefore relies on Westlake meeting its obligations and on the plants continuing to operate; certain shutdowns can suspend purchase obligations. OpCo is also subject to Westlake debt covenants that restrict additional borrowing, liens and major asset sales or mergers.

Read allShow less
Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in WLKP’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

WLKP says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Westlake Chemical Partners’ results depend chiefly on plant production, maintenance spending and Westlake’s minimum-purchase, cost-plus contract, rather than prices for ethylene sold to outside customers.

  • Westlake Corporation anchors Westlake Chemical Partners’ ethylene revenue: it commits to buy 95% of OpCo’s budgeted output, subject to exceptions and a 3.8-billion-pound annual cap, at a cost-plus price, and supplies ethane and other feedstocks. Its polyethylene and PVC plants consume most of OpCo’s ethylene, making news about those plants particularly relevant to the partnership’s main customer relationship.

  • LyondellBasell competes with Westlake Chemical Partners’ OpCo for ethylene sales to outside customers, but Westlake’s purchase agreement shields 95% of planned production from that rivalry. LyondellBasell’s ethylene sales are the relevant business to watch for competition over the remaining 5% and any excess volumes not sold to Westlake, rather than its broader polyethylene and polypropylene business.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Westlake Chemical Partners’ Fed-rate exposure comes through its SOFR-linked debt: higher rates can increase interest paid and leave less cash for distributions to partners.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    WESTLAKE CHEMICAL PARTNERS LP earningsThis company

    Westlake Chemical Partners owns a 22.8% limited-partner interest in OpCo, so its report shows how OpCo’s production and operating and maintenance costs shape cash available for distributions.

  2. Time to be announced

    Westlake Corporation earningsWLK

    Westlake Corporation is OpCo’s main customer and supplies its feedstocks; its report can show whether its polyethylene and PVC plants are sustaining demand for OpCo’s ethylene.

in 28 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. 9:15 AMET pre-market

    Industrial Production MoM (Oct)

    For Westlake Chemical Partners, factory, mine and utility output signals demand for the polyethylene and PVC made with OpCo’s ethylene, which can affect sales beyond Westlake’s committed purchases and the resulting cash flow.