VMI in three months: buy, wait or sell?
Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.
- Buy / Wait / Sell rating
- 3-month target price
- Bear · Base · Bull
- vs. the market
What happened with VMI today?
No read yet
Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.
Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.
Most of Valmont Industries’ revenue comes from infrastructure products, with electric-utility structures its largest product line. It designs and manufactures structures that support transmission lines, substations and electricity distribution, tailoring them to each project’s requirements. Utilities, developers and energy providers typically buy these products directly. Valmont also sells structures and components for lighting, transportation and wireless networks, and charges for coatings that protect metal products from corrosion.
Its other major business supplies growers with Valley irrigation machines and replacement parts through independent dealers. These dealers customize systems, install them and provide ongoing support. Valmont also sells agricultural technology, including AgSense, which lets growers monitor and control irrigation remotely. Equipment and parts account for most of its agricultural revenue, rather than technology services.
The business depends on utilities’ grid investment and on construction and public-infrastructure spending. Irrigation purchases depend on growers’ income, financing and expected returns; regional water-use rules also influence their decisions. Valmont does not depend on any single customer or small group of customers for a substantial share of revenue.
The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.
Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.
Arcosa competes with Valmont to sell utility, traffic, lighting and telecommunications structures to infrastructure customers. Its Engineered Structures sales are the part to watch for demand in markets where Valmont also sells poles and towers.
Hubbell and Valmont both depend on utilities spending on their grids: Hubbell sells components such as connectors, insulators and switches, while Valmont supplies the poles and structures. Watch Hubbell’s Utility Solutions sales for a read on spending to expand and reinforce the networks that also drive Valmont’s utility business.
Franklin Electric and Valmont both depend on growers investing in irrigation: Franklin sells pumps and controls that move water, while Valmont sells machines and technology that apply it to crops. Watch Franklin’s agricultural sales rather than its whole Water Systems business, since that business also serves homes, municipalities and industry.
Wesco and Valmont share exposure to utility and telecommunications spending: Wesco distributes products to those customers, while Valmont makes grid structures and wireless-site equipment. Wesco’s sales to utilities and telecommunications providers are the relevant signal, rather than its sales across unrelated customer groups.
Valmont Industries, Inc. earningsThis company
Valmont sells utility structures to power companies, and this report will show whether growth in its Infrastructure business is turning into more operating profit.
Read Infrastructure sales and operating income together, with utility-product sales as context. If both sales and operating income grow, demand is bringing in more business and more profit. If sales rise but operating income stalls or falls, costs or product mix are absorbing some of the gains. Operating income covers several Infrastructure product lines, so it cannot be attributed to utility products alone.
Hubbell Incorporated earningsHUBB
Hubbell’s Utility Solutions sales will show whether utilities are investing in grid expansion and reinforcement, spending that also supports demand for Valmont’s grid structures.
Watch Hubbell’s Utility Solutions sales. Growth would point to utilities moving ahead with grid projects, which can also support demand for Valmont’s poles and structures. A decline would suggest projects are slowing or being deferred, weakening the demand backdrop for Valmont’s grid orders.
Franklin Electric Co Inc earningsFELE
Franklin Electric’s agricultural sales will show whether growers are investing in irrigation, a useful signal for demand for Valmont’s irrigation equipment.
Focus on Franklin Electric’s agricultural sales, not its entire Water Systems business. Growth would indicate stronger grower purchases of agricultural pumps and controls, and may signal greater willingness to invest in irrigation. A decline would point to more cautious spending and possible pressure on Valmont’s irrigation demand. The companies sell different products, so this is not a direct count of Valmont orders.
Arcosa, Inc. earningsACA
Arcosa’s Engineered Structures sales will show demand in markets where it competes with Valmont, as well as how this rival is faring.
Focus on Arcosa’s Engineered Structures sales. Growth would point to firmer demand in overlapping infrastructure markets, but could also mean Arcosa is winning more orders. A decline could reflect a weaker shared market or lost business for Arcosa. Sales alone cannot distinguish those outcomes, so treat them as a signal about the market for Valmont’s poles and structures, not a substitute for Valmont’s own results.
Wesco International Inc. earningsWCC
Wesco’s sales to telecommunications customers will signal purchasing across the wireless-network supply channel, a demand clue for Valmont’s towers and wireless-site structures.
Watch Wesco’s sales to telecommunications customers, rather than its total sales across all customer groups. Growth would show more active purchasing through this distribution channel and a potentially firmer backdrop for Valmont’s wireless-site structures. A decline would point to slower purchasing. Wesco sells a broader range of products, so its sales do not establish that Valmont’s telecommunications orders will move by the same amount.