Stock daily read

What happened with VABK today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

VABK in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Virginia National Bankshares Corporation conducts most of its business through Virginia National Bank, serving individuals, businesses and charitable organizations in Virginia communities including Charlottesville and Richmond. Customers place deposits with the bank, which uses that funding to make business, property and consumer loans and hold interest-earning investments. Borrowers pay interest, and the bank retains the difference after paying interest on deposits and other funding. This net interest income supplies most of its revenue; banking-service fees provide additional income.

Most commercial business and commercial real estate borrowers are small and mid-sized businesses or nonprofit organizations. Most loans are secured by real estate in the bank’s market area, so repayment depends heavily on borrowers’ cash flows and local property conditions. The business also depends on retaining deposits and keeping funding costs below the returns on loans and investments. Banking regulations restrict permissible activities and impose capital requirements that constrain lending growth.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in VABK’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

VABK says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. competes with Virginia National for Northern Virginia household and business deposits and for commercial and property loans—the funding and borrowers both banks need.

  • Carter Bankshares, Inc. competes with Virginia National for Virginia businesses and consumers who deposit money and take out loans through their local banks. Watch Carter Bank & Trust’s loan and deposit rates: pricing helps determine who wins those customers.

  • National Bankshares Inc/VA shares Virginia National’s exposure to Virginia business conditions: both use local deposits to fund loans to businesses and property borrowers. Its commercial-property loan performance and deposit rates offer a read on credit quality and funding costs facing this banking model.

  • First Community Bankshares, Inc. (VA) and Virginia National both rely on banking relationships with Virginia businesses and households, with overlapping exposure to education, health services and retail customers. News about those customer groups at First Community is worth watching for clues to conditions affecting Virginia National’s customers.

  • City Holding Co shares Virginia National’s exposure to regional business borrowers: both operate community banks in Virginia and neighboring markets, lending to businesses and helping them manage cash. Watch City’s business-loan performance for clues to regional credit quality, rather than treating all its banking results as a match.

  • PNC Financial Services Group competes with Virginia National for Virginia household and business deposits and loans. Its national and institutional businesses make its overall results a less focused comparison for Virginia National’s local banking business.

Agenda

in 2 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced

    Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. earningsBHRB

    Burke & Herbert competes with Virginia National for Northern Virginia deposits and borrowers, and its report will show whether that contest is pressuring funding costs or loan pricing.

  2. Time to be announced

    National Bankshares Inc/VA earningsNKSH

    National Bankshares and Virginia National both use local deposits to fund business and property loans, so National Bankshares’ deposit costs and commercial-property loan performance offer a read on shared funding and credit pressures.

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    First Community Bankshares, Inc. earningsFCBC

    First Community and Virginia National both serve Virginia households and businesses, including customers in education, health services, and retail, so First Community’s loan growth and credit quality offer an indirect read on those customers.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Virginia National Bank earns most of its revenue from the spread between interest on loans and other earning assets and interest paid on deposits and borrowings, so the Fed’s policy-rate decision can change both sides of its net interest income.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Virginia National Bankshares Corporation earningsThis company

    Virginia National Bankshares earns most of its revenue from net interest income, and this report will show whether low-cost deposits still support the spread it earns on loans.