Stock daily read

What happened with UBCP today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

UBCP in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

United Bancorp is a bank holding company whose wholly owned Unified Bank serves individuals, businesses and other organizations in Ohio and West Virginia. Deposits from individuals and businesses provide its main funding source. The bank uses that funding to make loans and hold interest-paying securities. Business and commercial real estate loans dominate its lending, with residential mortgages a smaller part.

Borrowers pay most of its interest income, while securities provide another substantial source. After paying interest on deposits and other funding, the bank retains the difference, known as net interest income, which supplies most of its revenue. Customer service fees and other noninterest income contribute a smaller share.

Earnings depend on the interest earned on assets relative to funding costs, both of which Federal Reserve policy materially influences. Commercial borrowers are expected to repay from their business cash flows, but no single customer or related group is essential to continued earnings. Banking capital requirements constrain operations, and Unified Bank’s dividends to its parent are generally limited by recent earnings and prior distributions unless regulators approve otherwise.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in UBCP’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

UBCP says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

United Bancorp’s results hinge on local business borrowers’ credit quality and loan-versus-deposit pricing; Belmont Savings Bank is another local rival to watch that this list does not show.

  • WesBanco Inc competes directly with United Bancorp’s Unified Bank for loans and deposits from individuals and businesses in Unified’s primary Ohio and West Virginia markets. Its local loan and deposit offerings are worth watching for competition over the same customers.

  • Huntington Bancshares Inc is a leading rival to United Bancorp’s Unified Bank for deposits and loans in Unified’s primary markets, serving both consumers and businesses. Watch its customer-friendly checking products and locally delivered banking services as ways it competes for those customers.

  • PNC Financial Services Group competes through PNC Bank with United Bancorp’s Unified Bank for personal and business loans and deposits in Unified’s primary markets. Watch PNC’s loan pricing and deposit offers: PNC identifies pricing pressure and customers moving their money as key features of deposit competition.

  • Ohio Valley Banc Corp offers a comparison for United Bancorp’s community banking business: its Ohio Valley Bank and United Bancorp’s Unified Bank both take deposits and lend to individuals and businesses in Ohio and West Virginia.

  • United Bankshares Inc competes with United Bancorp in West Virginia: its United Bank and United Bancorp’s Unified Bank both seek commercial borrowers and household deposits.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    WesBanco Inc earningsWSBC

    WesBanco's report will show whether competing for depositors and borrowers in Ohio and West Virginia is putting pressure on the funding costs and loan pricing it shares with United Bancorp's Unified Bank.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    United Bancorp’s rate-sensitive loans and retail deposits link Federal Reserve policy to the interest it earns on loans and securities and the interest it pays depositors, shaping the spread that drives Unified Bank’s earnings.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    United Bancorp Inc/OH earningsThis company

    United Bancorp earns mainly from the spread between loan income and deposit costs, and this report will show whether that spread is holding up.