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What happened with SSTI today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

SSTI in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

SoundThinking’s main business is ShotSpotter, a service that detects and locates gunfire and alerts police and first responders. Outdoor sensors send sound data to cloud software, which locates possible gunshots; machine classification and human review confirm gunfire before an alert goes out. Customers pay annual subscriptions based on the area covered, and ShotSpotter supplies most of the company’s revenue.

The company also sells tools that help agencies use crime data and manage investigations, including CrimeTracer and CaseBuilder, plus SafePointe for concealed-weapons detection. These services generally earn subscription fees too. Nearly all revenue comes from government customers, especially major U.S. city police departments. New York City alone supplies a substantial share, making its contract renewal particularly important. Revenue depends on agencies retaining funding, renewing subscriptions and expanding deployments.

ShotSpotter deployments require permission to mount sensors on buildings, and its proprietary sensors come from a single contract manufacturer with no current alternative. Government procurement rules can delay purchases and renewals. Some CaseBuilder deployments require compliance with the FBI’s criminal-justice information security policy, while privacy laws restrict audio monitoring and the processing of personal information.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in SSTI’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

SSTI says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

SoundThinking’s results hinge mainly on municipal ShotSpotter deployments and renewals; privately held Flock Safety is a key rival to watch in gunfire detection and license-plate recognition that this list omits.

  • Motorola Solutions competes for public-safety agencies’ spending on deployment-planning software and license-plate recognition, putting it against SoundThinking’s ResourceRouter and PlateRanger. Watch its Command Center software and vehicle-identification offerings for signs of competition for those agency budgets.

  • Evolv Technologies Holdings competes directly with SoundThinking’s SafePointe for facility operators’ spending on detecting concealed weapons, selling screening equipment with software, cloud services and support. Watch its business with schools, healthcare facilities and venues for signs of the competition SafePointe faces.

  • Alarm.com Holdings competes with SoundThinking’s gunfire-detection offerings, particularly at campuses and commercial sites, selling gunshot sensors and security services through partners that resell the services and pay monthly fees. Its gunshot-detection business is the part to watch for competition with ShotSpotter for Campus and ShotSpotter for Corporate.

  • SoundThinking depends on Rekor Systems technology for PlateRanger, its vehicle-identification and license-plate recognition product. Rekor also sells roadway-intelligence software and data to municipalities and law-enforcement agencies, making its software and data subscriptions to those customers worth watching for demand in the market PlateRanger serves.

Agenda

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Motorola Solutions, Inc. earningsMSI

    Motorola Solutions’ report will show whether public-safety agencies are spending on deployment-planning and license-plate recognition tools that compete with SoundThinking for their budgets.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. earningsALRM

    Alarm.com Holdings’ report will show whether campuses and commercial sites are buying gunshot-detection services that compete with SoundThinking’s ShotSpotter for Campus and Corporate.

in 21 daysTue, Nov 10

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    SoundThinking, Inc. earningsThis company

    SoundThinking earns mainly from government and university subscriptions, and this report shows whether renewals, expansions and new deployments are sustaining that revenue.

  2. Time to be announced

    Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. earningsEVLV

    Evolv Technologies Holdings’ report will show whether schools, healthcare facilities and venues are spending on concealed-weapons screening that competes with SoundThinking’s SafePointe.

in 23 daysThu, Nov 12

  1. Time to be announced

    Rekor Systems, Inc. earningsREKR

    Rekor Systems’ report will show demand for vehicle-identification software and data among municipalities and law enforcement, while shedding light on the supplier SoundThinking relies on for PlateRanger.