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What happened with SPHR today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

SPHR in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Sphere Entertainment’s largest business is its sole operating Sphere venue, in Las Vegas, where a screen surrounding the audience, immersive sound and physical effects support original productions and live events. Guests buy tickets to The Sphere Experience, including The Wizard of Oz at Sphere; outside promoters pay to use the venue for their events. Advertisers buy space on the programmable exterior display, Exosphere, and inside the venue. The business depends heavily on demand for its original shows, Las Vegas tourism and advertiser interest. Operating the venue and its advertising displays requires permits and other authorizations.

The company also owns MSG Networks, whose MSG Network and MSG Sportsnet carry local games for teams including the Knicks and Rangers. Pay-TV distributors pay fees based on subscribers receiving the channels; those fees supply most of MSG Networks’ revenue and come almost entirely from a small group of distributors. Fans can also buy MSG+ subscriptions or individual games through Gotham Sports, while advertisers pay for commercial time. This business depends on retaining distribution agreements, paying subscribers and team media rights. League rules and national broadcasters’ game selections limit which games it can show exclusively.

Sphere Entertainment is working with DCT Abu Dhabi on a planned venue funded by that partner. It receives a franchise initiation fee for use of its designs, technology and intellectual property, and expects further licensing and operating-service fees after opening.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in SPHR’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

SPHR says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
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  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Sphere’s international expansion also depends on DCT Abu Dhabi, which will fund construction of the planned Abu Dhabi venue under a franchise model.

  • Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. competes with Sphere for audiences, artists and sponsorship spending through live-event venues and its own productions; both collect money from attendees and promoters using their venues. Attendance at its Christmas Spectacular offers a read on demand for company-owned live productions, a revenue source Sphere also pursues.

  • Sphere’s MSG Networks depends on Madison Square Garden Sports Corp.’s Knicks and Rangers for core programming through exclusive local game-broadcast rights. MSG Sports sells fans tickets to those teams’ games, while their loyal audiences underpin the programming MSG Networks sells to television distributors and streaming subscribers.

  • Live Nation Entertainment competes with Sphere for music fans’ ticket spending and brands’ sponsorship budgets, organizing concerts and tours while Sphere hosts concert experiences. Its concert ticket sales and sponsorship revenue offer a read on the two customer groups Sphere also seeks.

  • Venu Holding Corporation shares Sphere’s exposure to concert attendance, premium hospitality demand and new-venue development: both develop music venues that earn money from tickets, hospitality suites and brand sponsorships. Venu’s planned venues in Oklahoma and Texas offer a comparison for Sphere’s own venue expansion.

  • AMC Global Media and Sphere’s MSG Networks face the same shift away from pay television: both earn television-network subscription and advertising revenue while offering streaming services to retain viewers. AMC’s subscription revenue across its television networks and services such as AMC+ offers a comparison for MSG Networks’ efforts to retain paying viewers through Gotham Sports.

  • TKO Group Holdings is a venue customer for Sphere: its UFC paid to use Sphere for a marquee combat-sports production, demonstrating a use for the venue beyond Sphere’s own shows.

Agenda

in 7 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For Sphere Entertainment, the Fed’s decision on short-term interest rates matters because higher rates can raise the cost of its variable-rate borrowing and leave less cash for its Sphere and MSG Networks businesses.

in 9 daysFri, Oct 30

  1. Time to be announced

    Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. earningsMSGS

    MSG Sports’ report will show whether Knicks and Rangers fans are still buying tickets, offering a read on the audience behind the local game programming that Sphere’s MSG Networks sells.

in 13 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Sphere Entertainment Co. earningsThis company

    Sphere’s report will show whether revenue from its own immersive experiences and hosted events is supporting the cost of running the venue.

  2. Time to be announced

    Live Nation Entertainment Inc. earningsLYV

    Live Nation’s report will show how fans’ concert spending and brands’ sponsorship budgets are moving in customer markets that Sphere also seeks.

in 16 daysFri, Nov 6

  1. Time to be announced

    AMC Global Media Inc. earningsAMCX

    AMC’s report will show whether subscription revenue across its networks and streaming services is holding up as viewers shift away from pay TV, a comparison for Sphere’s MSG Networks.