Stock daily read

What happened with VENU today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

VENU in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Venu Holding Corporation combines restaurants with concert and event venues in Colorado and Georgia. Food and beverage sales account for most of its revenue. Its Bourbon Brothers Smokehouse & Tavern restaurants also cater concerts and private events at adjoining Bourbon Brothers Presents indoor music halls, linking dining sales to the venues’ event calendars.

At the indoor venues, concertgoers pay for tickets and related fees, while private-event customers pay to rent space. Brands provide additional income by buying naming rights and sponsorships. The Ford Amphitheater campus in Colorado Springs adds outdoor concerts, Roth’s Sea & Steak, Brohan’s bar and hospitality suites.

Ford Amphitheater relies on AEG Presents to operate its concerts. Venu receives a ticket-linked base fee and a share of venue profits after specified costs, rather than keeping all event proceeds; it also shares certain losses. AEG’s exclusive operating rights limit the events Venu can run itself, and the agreement restricts Venu from developing competing venues within a defined area. Bookings, attendance and operator performance therefore shape the money Venu receives.

Venu is developing additional amphitheaters in Oklahoma and Texas. Expansion depends on outside financing, municipal land and incentives, and meeting construction and event requirements. Upfront sales of Luxe FireSuite rights have helped fund construction, while outside investors in venue subsidiaries receive part of the available cash.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in VENU’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

VENU says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Privately held AEG Presents is a key company to watch outside this list: it operates Venu’s Ford Amphitheater and shares its profits and losses.

  • Live Nation competes for the concertgoers who buy Venu’s tickets, but will also operate Venu’s McKinney amphitheater and share the net profits from its events there. Watch ticket sales for those events: Live Nation pays artists, so attendance matters to the profits available to share, not just ticket revenue.

  • Venu relies on Aramark to provide food and beverage concessions, venue retail and facilities services at its Ford, Broken Arrow and McKinney amphitheaters. Aramark earns revenue serving venue clients; its rollout of these contracts is worth watching because food and beverage sales and operating costs enter Venu’s profit-sharing calculation at Ford.

  • Sphere Entertainment and Venu both earn venue revenue from concertgoers, premium-suite customers, food and beverage buyers, and sponsors, tying them to spending on premium live entertainment. Sphere’s suite bookings and sponsorship sales are worth watching as signs of demand for revenue sources Venu also pursues.

Agenda

in 15 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    Live Nation Entertainment Inc. earningsLYV

    Live Nation’s report will show whether concert ticket demand is strong enough to support attendance and the event profits it shares with Venu at McKinney.

  2. Time to be announced

    Sphere Entertainment Co. earningsSPHR

    Sphere Entertainment’s report will show whether premium-suite bookings and sponsorship sales have demand, offering a market read-through for Venu’s own suites and sponsors.

in 24 daysThu, Nov 12

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Venu Holding Corporation earningsThis company

    Venu Holding Corp’s report will show whether Ford Amphitheater’s concerts and ticket income are growing while restaurant and venue-rental revenue hold up.