Stock daily read

What happened with TKO today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

TKO in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

TKO Group Holdings stages UFC mixed martial arts events, WWE professional wrestling shows and PBR bull-riding competitions. UFC and WWE together account for most of its revenue. The company produces events and programming that broadcasters and streaming services pay to carry under long-term contracts; media rights, production and content are its largest revenue source. Those events also bring in money from fans buying tickets and premium experiences, hosts paying site fees, sponsors paying for exposure and manufacturers licensing its brands for merchandise.

TKO also serves other sports-rights owners through IMG, which sells media rights and sponsorships and produces and distributes content for commissions and fees. On Location sells premium event tickets and hospitality experiences and manages travel for sports and entertainment events.

A large part of the business depends on distribution partners, notably Paramount for UFC, Netflix for WWE's Raw and ESPN for WWE's U.S. premium live events. Maintaining those contracts and keeping fans interested in its events and performers are central to earning revenue. TKO must also obtain the required promoter and event licenses, medical clearances and permits; without them, it may be unable to stage events in a jurisdiction.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in TKO’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

TKO says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Netflix pays TKO to carry Raw globally and other WWE programming outside the United States, making its long-term agreements an important source of WWE media-rights growth. Netflix earns mainly monthly membership fees; watch its WWE distribution agreements, including the international deal's option to exit after the first five years.

  • Walt Disney's ESPN pays TKO for WWE premium live-event rights and earns from sports audiences through television and streaming. Its five-year agreement made ESPN the exclusive U.S. home for those events in September 2025, making that WWE programming deal the direct link to TKO's rights revenue.

  • Live Nation and TKO both rely on fans' discretionary spending and sponsors' budgets: Live Nation sells concert tickets and sponsorships, while TKO sells sports-event tickets, premium experiences and sponsorships. Watch Live Nation's concert-ticket sales and Sponsorship & Advertising revenue for a comparison with demand for TKO's live events.

  • Manchester United and TKO both turn global sports followings into payments from broadcasters, sponsors and fans through rights, merchandise and attendance. Manchester United's sponsorship revenue offers a comparison for TKO's partnership business: companies pay the club to associate their brands with its worldwide fan community.

  • Atlanta Braves Holdings and TKO both earn from broadcasters, sponsors and fans through sports rights, tickets, premium seating and branded merchandise. Watch the Braves' ticket and premium-seat demand as a comparison for TKO's live-event spending, while remembering that the Braves says its demand depends heavily on on-field success.

Agenda

todayTue, Oct 20

  1. Time to be announced

    NetFlix Inc earningsNFLX

    Netflix's report will show whether its membership business can support continued investment in WWE programming, an important buyer-side signal for TKO's WWE media-rights business.

in 2 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced

    MANCHESTER UNITED PLC earningsMANU

    Manchester United's report will show whether brands are still paying to reach a global sports audience, a comparison for TKO's partnerships and marketing business.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    For TKO, the Fed’s decision on short-term borrowing rates matters because higher rates can raise interest costs on its variable-rate term loans, leaving less cash for operations.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    Live Nation Entertainment Inc. earningsLYV

    Live Nation's concert-ticket and sponsorship results will show how fans and brands are spending on live entertainment, a demand comparison for TKO's event tickets and partnerships.

  2. Time to be announced

    Skydance Corporation earningsSKYD

    Skydance's report will show whether Paramount Skydance, the buyer of UFC's U.S. rights, can monetize its media and streaming audiences, a buyer-side signal for TKO's UFC rights business.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    TKO Group Holdings, Inc. earningsThis company

    TKO's report will show whether revenue from UFC, WWE and IMG is translating into stronger segment Adjusted EBITDA.