Stock daily read

What happened with AMCX today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

AMCX in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

AMC Global Media brings television and film programming to viewers through channels such as AMC and We TV, streaming services including AMC+, Acorn TV and Shudder, and an international channel portfolio. Its U.S. business generates most of its revenue. Cable and other television distributors pay to carry its networks, generally based on subscriber counts; streaming viewers pay directly or through platforms that sell its services. Together, these subscription fees provide most of its revenue.

Advertisers pay for commercial time, with pricing tied to audience size and appeal. AMC Studios also produces and licenses programming to other platforms. The company owns television and film properties including The Walking Dead Universe, allowing it to earn licensing income beyond its own channels and services.

The business relies on a small group of distributors for access to viewers and on appealing programming to retain subscribers and sell advertising. One unnamed U.S.-business customer supplies a substantial share of total revenue. Declining traditional television subscriptions and viewing weaken both subscription and advertising income. International operations must also follow local rules that can restrict advertising, require local content and constrain how services are offered.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in AMCX’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

AMCX says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Netflix competes with AMC's streaming services for paying viewers and for licensed and original shows; both collect subscription fees from viewers. Watch Netflix's content spending: competition for programming has raised AMC's costs, and AMC invests heavily upfront in original series.

  • Comcast both pays AMC for the right to carry its television networks and competes with it through NBCUniversal and Peacock. Its television distribution business is a customer for AMC's programming, while its media services vie for the same viewers, shows and advertisers.

  • Roku's ad-supported Roku Channel competes with AMC for television viewers and advertisers' spending as both expand streaming distribution. The Roku Channel's ability to attract audiences and advertising budgets is worth watching as advertising spending shifts from traditional television to streaming.

  • Amazon competes with AMC for viewers and programming through Prime Video, but also sells AMC+ subscriptions through Prime Video Channels. Watch its AMC+ offering: viewers can buy ad-supported or commercial-free plans there, giving AMC a route to subscription revenue through a rival's platform.

Agenda

todayTue, Oct 20

  1. Time to be announced

    NetFlix Inc earningsNFLX

    Netflix’s report will show how much it is investing to compete for viewers and shows, a signal of the programming pressure AMC faces when producing and acquiring content.

in 2 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced

    Comcast Corp earningsCMCSA

    Comcast’s report will show how its business paying to carry AMC’s networks is faring alongside its media businesses that compete for the same viewers, shows and advertisers.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    The Fed’s policy rate sets the economy-wide benchmark for borrowing costs, affecting how much AMC Networks pays on debt that reprices and on any new borrowing.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Amazon.Com Inc earningsAMZN

    Amazon’s report may shed light on its video business, helping readers assess whether Prime Video Channels remains a useful route for AMC+ subscriptions even as the companies compete for viewers and programming.

in 17 daysFri, Nov 6

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    AMC Global Media Inc. earningsThis company

    AMC’s report will show whether streaming subscription revenue can keep offsetting lower payments from television distributors and weaker linear-TV advertising.